Benoni Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Hastings Defense, Main Line
11K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
Black expected score · All ratings · All speeds
49.1%
the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. At best 49.8%.
Measured over 11K games at this level and clock.
Roughly even — the middlegame decides more than this opening choice does.
Outcomes for Black
Draw 5.9 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 11K games
- Rank among the families Black can choose here
- not ranked — this is a variation, not a family
- Games in this context
- 11K
- Best context
- 51.1% at 2500+ Blitz
- Worst context
- 46.5% at 2200-2499 Bullet
- Average game length
- 39 moves
- Games that end decisively
- 94.1%
- Draws
- 5.9%
Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.
Where it holds · Black score by rating × clock
Green is clearly ahead for Black, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It gets better as the rating rises: 42.9% at 1400-1599, 52.6% at 2500+.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1000-1199 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1200-1399 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1400-1599 | — | — | — | ||
| 1600-1799 | — | ||||
| 1800-1999 | — | ||||
| 2000-2199 | — | ||||
| 2200-2499 | — | ||||
| 2500+ | — | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
- 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 64.3% expected score (2 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 23.7% expected score (27 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 48.4% expected score (29 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 16.7% expected score (3 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 47.8% expected score (157 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 52.9% expected score (435 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 34.9% expected score (25 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 73.1% expected score (5 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 47.4% expected score (524 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 50.8% expected score (1,979 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 51.9% expected score (160 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 62.2% expected score (15 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 46.5% expected score (1,459 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 48.9% expected score (4,423 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 45.9% expected score (280 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 32.8% expected score (13 games)
- 2500+ rating, Bullet: 49.1% expected score (1,030 games)
- 2500+ rating, Blitz: 51.1% expected score (843 games)
- 2500+ rating, Rapid: 57.6% expected score (25 games)
Related Openings
Methodology
Across every rating and clock, the Benoni Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Hastings Defense, Main Line scores 49.1% for Black — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 48.3% and 49.8% — from 11K Lichess games. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.
How the figures are made
- Whose games these are
- 11K+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
- Which games we count
- Rated games only — nothing casual.
- Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
- At least 2 moves played.
- A game is filed under White’s rating.
- Why every number comes with a range
- A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
- How much we need before we say anything
- An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Benoni Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Hastings Defense, Main Line win rate?
Playing the Benoni Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Hastings Defense, Main Line, Black wins 46.1%, draws 5.9% and loses 48.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.1%. It rests on 11K rated games from Lichess.
At what rating does the Benoni Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Hastings Defense, Main Line perform best?
The Benoni Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Hastings Defense, Main Line performs best for Black at 2000-2199, with an Expected Score of 50.3% (2.7K games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read.
Is the Benoni Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Hastings Defense, Main Line better in blitz or rapid?
For Black, the Benoni Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Hastings Defense, Main Line scores higher in Blitz: an Expected Score of 49.9% in Blitz (7.7K games) against 47.6% in Rapid (493 games).
How sharp is the Benoni Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Hastings Defense, Main Line?
The Benoni Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Hastings Defense, Main Line has a sharpness score of 94.1 (decisive), meaning 94.1% of games end decisively. Average game length is 39 moves.
What is the Benoni Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Hastings Defense, Main Line win rate at 1800-1999?
At 1800-1999, Black wins 49.0%, draws 4.1% and loses 46.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 51.1%. It rests on 622 Lichess games, which average 35 moves.
What is the Benoni Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Hastings Defense, Main Line win rate at 2000-2199?
At 2000-2199, Black wins 47.9%, draws 4.8% and loses 47.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 50.3%. It rests on 2.7K Lichess games, which average 37 moves.
What is the Benoni Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Hastings Defense, Main Line win rate at 2200-2499?
At 2200-2499, Black wins 45.0%, draws 6.4% and loses 48.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.2%. It rests on 6.2K Lichess games, which average 40 moves.
What is the Benoni Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Hastings Defense, Main Line win rate at 2500+?
At 2500+, Black wins 46.6%, draws 6.9% and loses 46.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 50.1%. It rests on 1.9K Lichess games, which average 43 moves.
What is the Benoni Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Hastings Defense, Main Line win rate in Bullet?
In Bullet, Black wins 45.4%, draws 3.7% and loses 50.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.3%. It rests on 3.2K Lichess games.
What is the Benoni Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Hastings Defense, Main Line win rate in Blitz?
In Blitz, Black wins 46.5%, draws 6.7% and loses 46.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.9%. It rests on 7.7K Lichess games.
What is the Benoni Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Hastings Defense, Main Line win rate in Rapid?
In Rapid, Black wins 43.2%, draws 8.8% and loses 48.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.6%. It rests on 493 Lichess games.
Is the Benoni Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Hastings Defense, Main Line a good opening?
The Benoni Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Hastings Defense, Main Line is about level. Across all ratings, Black wins 46.1% of its games and loses 48.0%. It performs best at 2000-2199. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.