What is the Benko Gambit: Nd2 Variation expected score for White?
Snapshot
At all ratings, the Benko Gambit: Nd2 Variation has a 48.5% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 46.6% and 50.3%), based on 1.9K Lichess games.
Benko Gambit: Nd2 Variation
1.9K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
View As
Tough SellWhite Expected Score48.5%Range (90% confident): 46.6% – 50.3%Based on 1.9K games
0%48.5%100%
Range (90% confident): 46.6% – 50.3%
Outcome Distribution
46.0%4.9%49.1%
Win
Draw
Loss
8.Nd2
Benko Gambit: Nd2 Variation
Analyzen=1.9K
Avg Length38 moves
Sharpness95%
Draw Rate4.9%
White Win% by Rating
Improves with rating: 33% → 54%
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+
- 1000-1199: 33.3% win rate (3 games)
- 1200-1399: 52.4% win rate (9 games)
- 1400-1599: 44.3% win rate (29 games)
- 1600-1799: 31.9% win rate (138 games)
- 1800-1999: 42.1% win rate (442 games)
- 2000-2199: 45.2% win rate (703 games)
- 2200-2499: 52.6% win rate (562 games)
- 2500+: 53.5% win rate (48 games)
White Win% by Time Control
Best in Bullet (50%), worst in Classical (20%)
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical
- Bullet: 49.5% win rate (616 games)
- Blitz: 44.9% win rate (1,221 games)
- Rapid: 38.4% win rate (91 games)
- Classical: 20.0% win rate (6 games)
White% by Rating × Time Control
Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1000-1199 | — | — | |||
| 1200-1399 | — | — | |||
| 1400-1599 | — | — | |||
| 1600-1799 | — | ||||
| 1800-1999 | — | ||||
| 2000-2199 | — | ||||
| 2200-2499 | — | — | |||
| 2500+ | — | — | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
- 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (6 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 59.7% expected score (14 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 40.4% expected score (14 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 27.9% expected score (55 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 36.3% expected score (75 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (7 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 51.2% expected score (87 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 41.9% expected score (318 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 48.6% expected score (34 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 27.8% expected score (3 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 49.0% expected score (148 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 47.8% expected score (521 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 29.1% expected score (32 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 64.3% expected score (2 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 55.1% expected score (277 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 57.9% expected score (270 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (15 games)
- 2500+ rating, Bullet: 60.2% expected score (28 games)
- 2500+ rating, Blitz: 54.7% expected score (20 games)
Related Openings
Parent
Benko Gambit44.3%
Analyze Benko Gambit: Nd2 Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Benko Gambit: Nd2 Variation win rate?
The Benko Gambit: Nd2 Variation has a 46.0% (90% CI: 44.1%-47.8%) win rate for white, based on 1.9K rated games from Lichess.
At what rating does the Benko Gambit: Nd2 Variation perform best?
The Benko Gambit: Nd2 Variation performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 52.6% win rate for white (562 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.
Is the Benko Gambit: Nd2 Variation better in blitz or rapid?
Bullet (49.5%) outperforms Rapid (38.4%) by 11.1%. Choose your time control wisely.
How sharp is the Benko Gambit: Nd2 Variation?
The Benko Gambit: Nd2 Variation has a sharpness score of 95.1 (very decisive), meaning 95.1% of games end decisively. Average game length is 38 moves.
What is the Benko Gambit: Nd2 Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?
At 1600-1799 Elo, the Benko Gambit: Nd2 Variation has a 31.9% (90% CI: 25.6%-38.5%) win rate for white, based on 138 Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.
What is the Benko Gambit: Nd2 Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?
At 1800-1999 Elo, the Benko Gambit: Nd2 Variation has a 42.1% (90% CI: 38.2%-45.9%) win rate for white, based on 442 Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.
What is the Benko Gambit: Nd2 Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?
At 2000-2199 Elo, the Benko Gambit: Nd2 Variation has a 45.2% (90% CI: 42.1%-48.3%) win rate for white, based on 703 Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.0% draw rate.
What is the Benko Gambit: Nd2 Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?
At 2200-2499 Elo, the Benko Gambit: Nd2 Variation has a 52.6% (90% CI: 49.2%-56.1%) win rate for white, based on 562 Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 7.4% draw rate.
What is the Benko Gambit: Nd2 Variation win rate in Bullet?
In Bullet games, the Benko Gambit: Nd2 Variation has a 49.5% (90% CI: 46.2%-52.8%) win rate for white (616 Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.7%.
What is the Benko Gambit: Nd2 Variation win rate in Blitz?
In Blitz games, the Benko Gambit: Nd2 Variation has a 44.9% (90% CI: 42.5%-47.2%) win rate for white (1.2K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.8%.
Is the Benko Gambit: Nd2 Variation a good opening?
The Benko Gambit: Nd2 Variation is slightly favors black with a 46.0% (90% CI: 44.1%-47.8%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.