Benko Gambit: Mutkin Countergambit
392 games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
White expected score · All ratings · All speeds
48.3%
the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. At best 52.4%.
Measured over 392 games at this level and clock.
Roughly even — the middlegame decides more than this opening choice does.
Outcomes for White
Draw 3.7 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 392 games
- Rank among the families White can choose here
- not ranked — this is a variation, not a family
- Games in this context
- 392
- Best context
- not measured yet
- Average game length
- 34 moves
- Games that end decisively
- 96.3%
- Draws
- 3.7%
Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.
Extra Analysis
Deep-dive datasets for this opening
Where it holds · White score by rating × clock
Green is clearly ahead for White, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It gets better as the rating rises: 50.0% at 1400-1599, 60.7% at 2500+.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1000-1199 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1200-1399 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1400-1599 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1600-1799 | — | — | — | ||
| 1800-1999 | — | — | — | ||
| 2000-2199 | — | — | |||
| 2200-2499 | — | — | |||
| 2500+ | — | — | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
- 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 68.2% expected score (4 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (6 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 51.5% expected score (32 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 34.1% expected score (33 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 47.6% expected score (124 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (81 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 44.3% expected score (69 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 42.4% expected score (5 games)
- 2500+ rating, Bullet: 55.1% expected score (18 games)
- 2500+ rating, Blitz: 66.2% expected score (14 games)
Related Openings
Methodology
Across every rating and clock, the Benko Gambit: Mutkin Countergambit scores 48.3% for White — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 44.1% and 52.4% — from 392 Lichess games. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.
How the figures are made
- Whose games these are
- 392+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
- Which games we count
- Rated games only — nothing casual.
- Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
- At least 2 moves played.
- A game is filed under White’s rating.
- Why every number comes with a range
- A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
- How much we need before we say anything
- An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Benko Gambit: Mutkin Countergambit win rate?
Playing the Benko Gambit: Mutkin Countergambit, White wins 46.4%, draws 3.7% and loses 49.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.3%. It rests on 392 rated games from Lichess.
At what rating does the Benko Gambit: Mutkin Countergambit perform best?
The Benko Gambit: Mutkin Countergambit performs best for White at 2200-2499, with an Expected Score of 47.2% (155 games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read.
How sharp is the Benko Gambit: Mutkin Countergambit?
The Benko Gambit: Mutkin Countergambit has a sharpness score of 96.3 (very decisive), meaning 96.3% of games end decisively. Average game length is 34 moves.
What is the Benko Gambit: Mutkin Countergambit win rate at 2000-2199?
At 2000-2199, White wins 42.1%, draws 5.3% and loses 52.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 44.8%. It rests on 159 Lichess games, which average 33 moves.
What is the Benko Gambit: Mutkin Countergambit win rate at 2200-2499?
At 2200-2499, White wins 45.7%, draws 2.9% and loses 51.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.2%. It rests on 155 Lichess games, which average 37 moves.
What is the Benko Gambit: Mutkin Countergambit win rate in Bullet?
In Bullet, White wins 47.0%, draws 1.0% and loses 51.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.6%. It rests on 142 Lichess games.
What is the Benko Gambit: Mutkin Countergambit win rate in Blitz?
In Blitz, White wins 46.0%, draws 5.5% and loses 48.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.8%. It rests on 243 Lichess games.
Is the Benko Gambit: Mutkin Countergambit a good opening?
The Benko Gambit: Mutkin Countergambit is hard work for White — it favours Black. Across all ratings, White wins 46.4% of its games and loses 49.9%. It performs best at 2200-2499. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.