TrueEloPlay what wins.
Analyzer

Zukertort Opening: St. George Defense

188K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
Black Expected Score46.8%Range (90% confident): 46.6% – 47.0%Based on 188K games
0%46.8%100%
Range (90% confident): 46.6% – 47.0%
Outcome Distribution
44.6%4.3%51.1%
Win
Draw
Loss
1...a6
Zukertort Opening: St. George Defense
Analyzen=188K
Avg Length37 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.3%

What is the Zukertort Opening: St. George Defense expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Zukertort Opening: St. George Defense has a 46.8% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 46.6% and 47.0%), based on 188K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 46% → 43%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 45.9% win rate (6,693 games)
  • 1000-1199: 45.4% win rate (11,291 games)
  • 1200-1399: 45.1% win rate (18,530 games)
  • 1400-1599: 45.5% win rate (25,752 games)
  • 1600-1799: 44.5% win rate (28,050 games)
  • 1800-1999: 44.5% win rate (28,608 games)
  • 2000-2199: 44.6% win rate (26,439 games)
  • 2200-2499: 44.1% win rate (25,376 games)
  • 2500+: 42.7% win rate (16,835 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Similar across time controls (~45%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 42.6% win rate (3,341 games)
  • Bullet: 45.2% win rate (93,557 games)
  • Blitz: 44.1% win rate (72,462 games)
  • Rapid: 43.5% win rate (17,495 games)
  • Classical: 44.6% win rate (719 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 64.8% expected score (83 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 49.5% expected score (2,268 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 48.5% expected score (3,333 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 44.1% expected score (1,000 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 45.2% expected score (9 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 43.7% expected score (260 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 49.1% expected score (3,601 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 46.2% expected score (5,827 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 46.1% expected score (1,569 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 43.0% expected score (34 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 39.0% expected score (401 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 48.4% expected score (6,053 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 46.2% expected score (8,963 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 46.1% expected score (3,002 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 46.5% expected score (111 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 41.5% expected score (581 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 48.0% expected score (8,053 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 46.8% expected score (12,801 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 47.8% expected score (4,099 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (218 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 45.0% expected score (638 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 46.1% expected score (10,828 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 46.9% expected score (12,652 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 46.3% expected score (3,715 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 40.2% expected score (217 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 46.4% expected score (890 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 46.7% expected score (12,685 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 46.4% expected score (12,286 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 45.8% expected score (2,660 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 55.1% expected score (87 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 41.0% expected score (397 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 47.2% expected score (15,626 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 46.7% expected score (9,332 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 44.8% expected score (1,058 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 48.2% expected score (26 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 40.0% expected score (83 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 47.4% expected score (18,496 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 45.6% expected score (6,401 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 37.4% expected score (380 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 64.3% expected score (16 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (8 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 46.3% expected score (15,947 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 43.8% expected score (867 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 31.5% expected score (12 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Zukertort Opening
49.5%
Variations (5)
Zukertort Opening: Tennison Gambit
48.2%
Zukertort Opening: Queen's Gambit Invitation
51.7%
Zukertort Opening: Sicilian Invitation
49.9%
Zukertort Opening: Kingside Fianchetto
49.3%
Zukertort Opening: Slav Invitation
50.4%
Analyze Zukertort Opening: St. George Defense PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Zukertort Opening: St. George Defense win rate?

The Zukertort Opening: St. George Defense has a 51.1% (90% CI: 50.9%-51.3%) win rate for white, based on 188K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Zukertort Opening: St. George Defense perform best?

The Zukertort Opening: St. George Defense performs best at 1600-1799 Elo with a 51.7% win rate for white (28K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Zukertort Opening: St. George Defense better in blitz or rapid?

UltraBullet (55.0%) outperforms Classical (50.7%) by 4.3%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Zukertort Opening: St. George Defense?

The Zukertort Opening: St. George Defense has a sharpness score of 95.7 (very decisive), meaning 95.7% of games end decisively. Average game length is 37 moves.

What is the Zukertort Opening: St. George Defense win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Zukertort Opening: St. George Defense has a 49.2% (90% CI: 48.2%-50.2%) win rate for white, based on 6.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 4.9% draw rate.

What is the Zukertort Opening: St. George Defense win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Zukertort Opening: St. George Defense has a 51.4% (90% CI: 50.6%-52.2%) win rate for white, based on 11K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Zukertort Opening: St. George Defense win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Zukertort Opening: St. George Defense has a 51.7% (90% CI: 51.1%-52.3%) win rate for white, based on 19K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the Zukertort Opening: St. George Defense win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Zukertort Opening: St. George Defense has a 51.1% (90% CI: 50.6%-51.6%) win rate for white, based on 26K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the Zukertort Opening: St. George Defense win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Zukertort Opening: St. George Defense has a 51.7% (90% CI: 51.2%-52.1%) win rate for white, based on 28K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.

What is the Zukertort Opening: St. George Defense win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Zukertort Opening: St. George Defense has a 51.6% (90% CI: 51.1%-52.1%) win rate for white, based on 29K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.

What is the Zukertort Opening: St. George Defense win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Zukertort Opening: St. George Defense has a 51.0% (90% CI: 50.5%-51.5%) win rate for white, based on 26K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 4.4% draw rate.

What is the Zukertort Opening: St. George Defense win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Zukertort Opening: St. George Defense has a 50.5% (90% CI: 50.0%-51.0%) win rate for white, based on 25K Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 5.4% draw rate.

What is the Zukertort Opening: St. George Defense win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Zukertort Opening: St. George Defense has a 50.5% (90% CI: 49.8%-51.1%) win rate for white, based on 17K Lichess games. Average game length is 43 moves with a 6.8% draw rate.

What is the Zukertort Opening: St. George Defense win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Zukertort Opening: St. George Defense has a 55.0% (90% CI: 53.6%-56.4%) win rate for white (3.3K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.4%.

What is the Zukertort Opening: St. George Defense win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Zukertort Opening: St. George Defense has a 51.0% (90% CI: 50.7%-51.2%) win rate for white (94K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.8%.

What is the Zukertort Opening: St. George Defense win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Zukertort Opening: St. George Defense has a 51.1% (90% CI: 50.8%-51.4%) win rate for white (72K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.8%.

What is the Zukertort Opening: St. George Defense win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Zukertort Opening: St. George Defense has a 51.3% (90% CI: 50.7%-51.9%) win rate for white (17K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.2%.

What is the Zukertort Opening: St. George Defense win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Zukertort Opening: St. George Defense has a 50.7% (90% CI: 47.7%-53.8%) win rate for white (719 Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.6%.

Is the Zukertort Opening: St. George Defense a good opening?

The Zukertort Opening: St. George Defense is statistically favors white with a 51.1% (90% CI: 50.9%-51.3%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1600-1799 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.