Zukertort Opening: Queenside Fianchetto Variation
2.0M games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
Black expected score · All ratings · All speeds
47.1%
the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. Its best is the same figure — the band is too tight to plot.
Measured over 2.0M games at this level and clock.
Black comes out behind here — there are better weapons in the list.
Outcomes for Black
Draw 4.0 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 2.0M games
- Rank among the families Black can choose here
- not ranked — this is a variation, not a family
- Games in this context
- 2.0M
- Best context
- 52.5% at 1000-1199 UltraBullet
- Worst context
- 41.0% at 2200-2499 Rapid
- Average game length
- 36 moves
- Games that end decisively
- 96.0%
- Draws
- 4.0%
Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.
Where it holds · Black score by rating × clock
Green is clearly ahead for Black, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It falls away as the rating rises: 51.4% at 0-999, 45.6% at 2500+.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | |||||
| 1000-1199 | |||||
| 1200-1399 | |||||
| 1400-1599 | |||||
| 1600-1799 | |||||
| 1800-1999 | |||||
| 2000-2199 | |||||
| 2200-2499 | |||||
| 2500+ |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
- 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 56.4% expected score (194 games)
- 0-999 rating, Bullet: 51.4% expected score (15,076 games)
- 0-999 rating, Blitz: 49.6% expected score (28,039 games)
- 0-999 rating, Rapid: 48.7% expected score (8,083 games)
- 0-999 rating, Classical: 50.7% expected score (72 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 52.5% expected score (1,011 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 48.9% expected score (29,638 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 47.9% expected score (49,930 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 46.2% expected score (12,729 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 46.8% expected score (250 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 52.5% expected score (2,716 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 48.9% expected score (63,221 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 47.9% expected score (85,960 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 46.4% expected score (21,451 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 46.6% expected score (717 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 47.5% expected score (7,032 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 48.5% expected score (108,089 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 47.9% expected score (138,449 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 47.4% expected score (34,327 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 48.5% expected score (1,662 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 47.3% expected score (12,981 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 48.0% expected score (142,699 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 47.7% expected score (174,339 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 46.3% expected score (37,904 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 45.8% expected score (2,027 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 42.8% expected score (11,811 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 47.3% expected score (190,353 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 47.1% expected score (149,077 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 45.8% expected score (29,495 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 43.5% expected score (1,029 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 41.6% expected score (5,029 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 46.5% expected score (190,593 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 45.6% expected score (101,129 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 44.1% expected score (11,404 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 39.8% expected score (268 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 41.6% expected score (1,883 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 45.7% expected score (172,082 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 44.4% expected score (45,841 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 41.0% expected score (3,285 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 45.4% expected score (52 games)
- 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 36.8% expected score (161 games)
- 2500+ rating, Bullet: 45.2% expected score (72,813 games)
- 2500+ rating, Blitz: 43.3% expected score (6,005 games)
- 2500+ rating, Rapid: 32.5% expected score (130 games)
- 2500+ rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
Related Openings
Methodology
Across every rating and clock, the Zukertort Opening: Queenside Fianchetto Variation scores 47.1% for Black — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 47.0% and 47.1% — from 2.0M Lichess games. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.
How the figures are made
- Whose games these are
- 2.0M+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
- Which games we count
- Rated games only — nothing casual.
- Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
- At least 2 moves played.
- A game is filed under White’s rating.
- Why every number comes with a range
- A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
- How much we need before we say anything
- An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Zukertort Opening: Queenside Fianchetto Variation win rate?
Playing the Zukertort Opening: Queenside Fianchetto Variation, Black wins 45.1%, draws 4.0% and loses 50.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.1%. It rests on 2.0M rated games from Lichess.
At what rating does the Zukertort Opening: Queenside Fianchetto Variation perform best?
The Zukertort Opening: Queenside Fianchetto Variation performs best for Black at 0-999, with an Expected Score of 50.0% (51K games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read.
Is the Zukertort Opening: Queenside Fianchetto Variation better in blitz or rapid?
For Black, the Zukertort Opening: Queenside Fianchetto Variation scores about the same in both: an Expected Score of 47.2% in Blitz (779K games) against 46.3% in Rapid (159K games).
How sharp is the Zukertort Opening: Queenside Fianchetto Variation?
The Zukertort Opening: Queenside Fianchetto Variation has a sharpness score of 96.0 (very decisive), meaning 96.0% of games end decisively. Average game length is 36 moves.
What is the Zukertort Opening: Queenside Fianchetto Variation win rate at 0-999?
At 0-999, Black wins 48.2%, draws 3.6% and loses 48.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 50.0%. It rests on 51K Lichess games, which average 28 moves.
What is the Zukertort Opening: Queenside Fianchetto Variation win rate at 1000-1199?
At 1000-1199, Black wins 46.5%, draws 3.0% and loses 50.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.0%. It rests on 94K Lichess games, which average 31 moves.
What is the Zukertort Opening: Queenside Fianchetto Variation win rate at 1200-1399?
At 1200-1399, Black wins 46.6%, draws 3.0% and loses 50.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.1%. It rests on 174K Lichess games, which average 32 moves.
What is the Zukertort Opening: Queenside Fianchetto Variation win rate at 1400-1599?
At 1400-1599, Black wins 46.4%, draws 3.2% and loses 50.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.0%. It rests on 290K Lichess games, which average 34 moves.
What is the Zukertort Opening: Queenside Fianchetto Variation win rate at 1600-1799?
At 1600-1799, Black wins 45.8%, draws 3.8% and loses 50.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.7%. It rests on 370K Lichess games, which average 36 moves.
What is the Zukertort Opening: Queenside Fianchetto Variation win rate at 1800-1999?
At 1800-1999, Black wins 44.9%, draws 4.1% and loses 51.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.0%. It rests on 382K Lichess games, which average 37 moves.
What is the Zukertort Opening: Queenside Fianchetto Variation win rate at 2000-2199?
At 2000-2199, Black wins 43.8%, draws 4.5% and loses 51.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 46.1%. It rests on 308K Lichess games, which average 38 moves.
What is the Zukertort Opening: Queenside Fianchetto Variation win rate at 2200-2499?
At 2200-2499, Black wins 42.8%, draws 5.0% and loses 52.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 45.4%. It rests on 223K Lichess games, which average 39 moves.
What is the Zukertort Opening: Queenside Fianchetto Variation win rate at 2500+?
At 2500+, Black wins 41.8%, draws 6.3% and loses 51.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 45.0%. It rests on 79K Lichess games, which average 42 moves.
What is the Zukertort Opening: Queenside Fianchetto Variation win rate in UltraBullet?
In UltraBullet, Black wins 44.5%, draws 2.2% and loses 53.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 45.6%. It rests on 43K Lichess games.
What is the Zukertort Opening: Queenside Fianchetto Variation win rate in Bullet?
In Bullet, Black wins 45.4%, draws 3.4% and loses 51.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.1%. It rests on 985K Lichess games.
What is the Zukertort Opening: Queenside Fianchetto Variation win rate in Blitz?
In Blitz, Black wins 44.9%, draws 4.6% and loses 50.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.2%. It rests on 779K Lichess games.
What is the Zukertort Opening: Queenside Fianchetto Variation win rate in Rapid?
In Rapid, Black wins 43.8%, draws 4.9% and loses 51.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 46.3%. It rests on 159K Lichess games.
What is the Zukertort Opening: Queenside Fianchetto Variation win rate in Classical?
In Classical, Black wins 43.1%, draws 6.0% and loses 51.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 46.1%. It rests on 6.1K Lichess games.
Is the Zukertort Opening: Queenside Fianchetto Variation a good opening?
The Zukertort Opening: Queenside Fianchetto Variation is hard work for Black — it favours White. Across all ratings, Black wins 45.1% of its games and loses 50.9%. It performs best at 0-999. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.