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Zukertort Opening: Lisitsyn Gambit Deferred

25K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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Analyze this line move by move

White expected score · All ratings · All speeds

58.1%

45%65%
Floor57.6%

the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. At best 58.6%.

Measured over 25K games at this level and clock.

Play Thiswins clearly more often than it loses at this level

A strong choice for White at this level and clock.

Outcomes for White

Draw 4.0 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 25K games

Rank among the families White can choose here
not ranked — this is a variation, not a family
Games in this context
25K
Best context
60.4% at 2500+ Bullet
Worst context
53.5% at 1400-1599 Blitz
Average game length
32 moves
Games that end decisively
96.0%
Draws
4.0%

Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +16.5% · Breakpoint: 0-999

Where it holds · White score by rating × clock

Green is clearly ahead for White, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It gets better as the rating rises: 49.1% at 0-999, 58.3% at 2500+.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 36.7% expected score (6 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 56.5% expected score (161 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 49.5% expected score (276 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 52.7% expected score (93 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 49.1% expected score (215 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 51.3% expected score (197 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 48.8% expected score (78 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 56.0% expected score (341 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 52.4% expected score (275 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 62.2% expected score (64 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (6 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 45.1% expected score (49 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 53.5% expected score (453 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 53.5% expected score (500 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 52.6% expected score (96 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 16.7% expected score (3 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 59.1% expected score (54 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 56.2% expected score (686 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 57.4% expected score (1,062 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 61.5% expected score (121 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 40.5% expected score (9 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 61.4% expected score (86 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 57.7% expected score (1,391 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 58.8% expected score (2,935 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 60.8% expected score (352 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 63.3% expected score (25 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (35 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 57.7% expected score (2,053 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 58.4% expected score (4,884 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 65.7% expected score (466 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 61.3% expected score (34 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 32.6% expected score (10 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 57.8% expected score (2,066 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 59.6% expected score (4,231 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 65.5% expected score (324 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (5 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (20 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 60.4% expected score (1,218 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 59.7% expected score (415 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 62.9% expected score (18 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Zukertort Opening
49.5%
Variations (5)
Zukertort Opening: Tennison Gambit
48.2%
Zukertort Opening: Queen's Gambit Invitation
51.7%
Zukertort Opening: Sicilian Invitation
49.9%
Zukertort Opening: Kingside Fianchetto
49.3%
Zukertort Opening: Slav Invitation
50.4%
Analyze Zukertort Opening: Lisitsyn Gambit Deferred PositionsSee what each move is worth at your rating, move by move

Methodology

Across every rating and clock, the Zukertort Opening: Lisitsyn Gambit Deferred scores 58.1% for White — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 57.6% and 58.6% — from 25K Lichess games. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.

How the figures are made
Whose games these are
25K+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
Which games we count
  • Rated games only — nothing casual.
  • Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
  • At least 2 moves played.
  • A game is filed under White’s rating.
Why every number comes with a range
A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
How much we need before we say anything
An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Zukertort Opening: Lisitsyn Gambit Deferred win rate?

Playing the Zukertort Opening: Lisitsyn Gambit Deferred, White wins 56.1%, draws 4.0% and loses 39.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 58.1%. It rests on 25K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Zukertort Opening: Lisitsyn Gambit Deferred perform best?

The Zukertort Opening: Lisitsyn Gambit Deferred performs best for White at 2200-2499, with an Expected Score of 59.3% (6.6K games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read.

Is the Zukertort Opening: Lisitsyn Gambit Deferred better in blitz or rapid?

For White, the Zukertort Opening: Lisitsyn Gambit Deferred scores higher in Rapid: an Expected Score of 58.3% in Blitz (15K games) against 61.8% in Rapid (1.6K games).

How sharp is the Zukertort Opening: Lisitsyn Gambit Deferred?

The Zukertort Opening: Lisitsyn Gambit Deferred has a sharpness score of 96.0 (very decisive), meaning 96.0% of games end decisively. Average game length is 32 moves.

What is the Zukertort Opening: Lisitsyn Gambit Deferred win rate at 0-999?

At 0-999, White wins 50.9%, draws 2.1% and loses 47.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 52.0%. It rests on 538 Lichess games, which average 26 moves.

What is the Zukertort Opening: Lisitsyn Gambit Deferred win rate at 1000-1199?

At 1000-1199, White wins 48.4%, draws 2.7% and loses 48.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.8%. It rests on 497 Lichess games, which average 27 moves.

What is the Zukertort Opening: Lisitsyn Gambit Deferred win rate at 1200-1399?

At 1200-1399, White wins 53.9%, draws 2.1% and loses 44.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 55.0%. It rests on 689 Lichess games, which average 27 moves.

What is the Zukertort Opening: Lisitsyn Gambit Deferred win rate at 1400-1599?

At 1400-1599, White wins 51.7%, draws 2.3% and loses 45.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 52.9%. It rests on 1.1K Lichess games, which average 28 moves.

What is the Zukertort Opening: Lisitsyn Gambit Deferred win rate at 1600-1799?

At 1600-1799, White wins 55.7%, draws 2.9% and loses 41.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 57.2%. It rests on 1.9K Lichess games, which average 29 moves.

What is the Zukertort Opening: Lisitsyn Gambit Deferred win rate at 1800-1999?

At 1800-1999, White wins 57.0%, draws 3.4% and loses 39.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 58.7%. It rests on 4.8K Lichess games, which average 30 moves.

What is the Zukertort Opening: Lisitsyn Gambit Deferred win rate at 2000-2199?

At 2000-2199, White wins 56.6%, draws 4.0% and loses 39.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 58.6%. It rests on 7.5K Lichess games, which average 32 moves.

What is the Zukertort Opening: Lisitsyn Gambit Deferred win rate at 2200-2499?

At 2200-2499, White wins 56.6%, draws 5.3% and loses 38.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 59.3%. It rests on 6.6K Lichess games, which average 34 moves.

What is the Zukertort Opening: Lisitsyn Gambit Deferred win rate at 2500+?

At 2500+, White wins 57.5%, draws 5.2% and loses 37.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 60.1%. It rests on 1.7K Lichess games, which average 38 moves.

What is the Zukertort Opening: Lisitsyn Gambit Deferred win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet, White wins 52.7%, draws 1.3% and loses 46.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 53.4%. It rests on 267 Lichess games.

What is the Zukertort Opening: Lisitsyn Gambit Deferred win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet, White wins 55.9%, draws 3.2% and loses 41.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 57.5%. It rests on 8.6K Lichess games.

What is the Zukertort Opening: Lisitsyn Gambit Deferred win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz, White wins 56.0%, draws 4.5% and loses 39.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 58.3%. It rests on 15K Lichess games.

What is the Zukertort Opening: Lisitsyn Gambit Deferred win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid, White wins 59.7%, draws 4.1% and loses 36.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 61.8%. It rests on 1.6K Lichess games.

Is the Zukertort Opening: Lisitsyn Gambit Deferred a good opening?

The Zukertort Opening: Lisitsyn Gambit Deferred is good for White. Across all ratings, White wins 56.1% of its games and loses 39.9%. It performs best at 2200-2499. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.