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Zukertort Opening: Drunken Cavalry Variation

9.4K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
Black Expected Score43.1%Range (90% confident): 42.3% – 43.9%Based on 9.4K games
0%43.1%100%
Range (90% confident): 42.3% – 43.9%
Outcome Distribution
41.1%3.9%55.0%
Win
Draw
Loss
2...Nh6
Zukertort Opening: Drunken Cavalry Variation
Analyzen=9.4K
Avg Length30 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate3.9%

What is the Zukertort Opening: Drunken Cavalry Variation expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Zukertort Opening: Drunken Cavalry Variation has a 43.1% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 42.3% and 43.9%), based on 9.4K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 40% → 49%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 40.4% win rate (2,671 games)
  • 1000-1199: 39.7% win rate (1,808 games)
  • 1200-1399: 41.1% win rate (1,551 games)
  • 1400-1599: 39.5% win rate (1,510 games)
  • 1600-1799: 40.9% win rate (796 games)
  • 1800-1999: 47.8% win rate (533 games)
  • 2000-2199: 44.2% win rate (330 games)
  • 2200-2499: 50.1% win rate (181 games)
  • 2500+: 48.6% win rate (53 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (43%), worst in Classical (26%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 38.9% win rate (46 games)
  • Bullet: 43.1% win rate (3,223 games)
  • Blitz: 41.9% win rate (4,534 games)
  • Rapid: 35.3% win rate (1,568 games)
  • Classical: 26.0% win rate (62 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 44.2% expected score (7 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 43.4% expected score (868 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 43.4% expected score (1,079 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 41.1% expected score (708 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 31.0% expected score (9 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 35.2% expected score (12 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 44.3% expected score (642 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 42.2% expected score (788 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 36.3% expected score (358 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 23.7% expected score (8 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 44.3% expected score (16 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 44.0% expected score (501 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 43.9% expected score (876 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 28.8% expected score (142 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 35.7% expected score (16 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 45.3% expected score (9 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 41.1% expected score (480 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 44.3% expected score (757 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 35.6% expected score (245 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 35.4% expected score (19 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 42.7% expected score (244 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 43.7% expected score (468 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 36.9% expected score (75 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 26.2% expected score (9 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 49.2% expected score (193 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 50.4% expected score (311 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (28 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 49.3% expected score (143 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 45.5% expected score (176 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 54.4% expected score (10 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 52.2% expected score (113 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 53.7% expected score (66 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 48.8% expected score (39 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 53.5% expected score (13 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 30.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Zukertort Opening
49.5%
Variations (5)
Zukertort Opening: Tennison Gambit
48.2%
Zukertort Opening: Queen's Gambit Invitation
51.7%
Zukertort Opening: Sicilian Invitation
49.9%
Zukertort Opening: Kingside Fianchetto
49.3%
Zukertort Opening: Slav Invitation
50.4%
Analyze Zukertort Opening: Drunken Cavalry Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Zukertort Opening: Drunken Cavalry Variation win rate?

The Zukertort Opening: Drunken Cavalry Variation has a 55.0% (90% CI: 54.1%-55.8%) win rate for white, based on 9.4K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Zukertort Opening: Drunken Cavalry Variation perform best?

The Zukertort Opening: Drunken Cavalry Variation performs best at 1000-1199 Elo with a 56.6% win rate for white (1.8K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Zukertort Opening: Drunken Cavalry Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Rapid (59.3%) outperforms Blitz (53.5%) by 5.8%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Zukertort Opening: Drunken Cavalry Variation?

The Zukertort Opening: Drunken Cavalry Variation has a sharpness score of 96.1 (very decisive), meaning 96.1% of games end decisively. Average game length is 30 moves.

What is the Zukertort Opening: Drunken Cavalry Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Zukertort Opening: Drunken Cavalry Variation has a 55.0% (90% CI: 53.4%-56.6%) win rate for white, based on 2.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 4.6% draw rate.

What is the Zukertort Opening: Drunken Cavalry Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Zukertort Opening: Drunken Cavalry Variation has a 56.6% (90% CI: 54.6%-58.5%) win rate for white, based on 1.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the Zukertort Opening: Drunken Cavalry Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Zukertort Opening: Drunken Cavalry Variation has a 56.3% (90% CI: 54.3%-58.4%) win rate for white, based on 1.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the Zukertort Opening: Drunken Cavalry Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Zukertort Opening: Drunken Cavalry Variation has a 56.1% (90% CI: 54.0%-58.2%) win rate for white, based on 1.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 4.4% draw rate.

What is the Zukertort Opening: Drunken Cavalry Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Zukertort Opening: Drunken Cavalry Variation has a 56.0% (90% CI: 53.1%-58.9%) win rate for white, based on 796 Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the Zukertort Opening: Drunken Cavalry Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Zukertort Opening: Drunken Cavalry Variation has a 48.0% (90% CI: 44.4%-51.5%) win rate for white, based on 533 Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.2% draw rate.

What is the Zukertort Opening: Drunken Cavalry Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Zukertort Opening: Drunken Cavalry Variation has a 49.6% (90% CI: 45.1%-54.1%) win rate for white, based on 330 Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 6.2% draw rate.

What is the Zukertort Opening: Drunken Cavalry Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Zukertort Opening: Drunken Cavalry Variation has a 44.7% (90% CI: 38.7%-50.7%) win rate for white, based on 181 Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 5.2% draw rate.

What is the Zukertort Opening: Drunken Cavalry Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Zukertort Opening: Drunken Cavalry Variation has a 54.7% (90% CI: 53.2%-56.1%) win rate for white (3.2K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.2%.

What is the Zukertort Opening: Drunken Cavalry Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Zukertort Opening: Drunken Cavalry Variation has a 53.5% (90% CI: 52.3%-54.7%) win rate for white (4.5K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.6%.

What is the Zukertort Opening: Drunken Cavalry Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Zukertort Opening: Drunken Cavalry Variation has a 59.3% (90% CI: 57.2%-61.3%) win rate for white (1.6K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.4%.

Is the Zukertort Opening: Drunken Cavalry Variation a good opening?

The Zukertort Opening: Drunken Cavalry Variation is statistically favors white with a 55.0% (90% CI: 54.1%-55.8%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1000-1199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.