Ware Opening: Meadow Hay Trap

60K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

View As

Tough Sell

White Expected Score43.3%Range (90% confident): 43.0% – 43.7%Based on 60K games

0%43.3%100%

Range (90% confident): 43.0% – 43.7%

Outcome Distribution

41.5%3.6%54.9%

Win

Draw

Loss

2.Ra3

Ware Opening: Meadow Hay Trap

Analyzen=60K

Avg Length32 moves

Sharpness96%

Draw Rate3.6%

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Ware Opening: Meadow Hay Trap has a 43.3% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 43.0% and 43.7%), based on 60K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 32.7% · UltraBullet best · Classical worst

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 32% → 49%

1000

1200

1400

1600

1800

2000

2200

2500+

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (52%), worst in Classical (19%)

UltraBullet

Bullet

Blitz

Rapid

Classical

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

Rating	UB	Bulle	Blitz	Rapid	Class
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+					—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 48.0% expected score (47 games)
0-999 rating, Bullet: 37.1% expected score (2,592 games)
0-999 rating, Blitz: 36.1% expected score (3,753 games)
0-999 rating, Rapid: 30.0% expected score (2,827 games)
0-999 rating, Classical: 29.3% expected score (78 games)
1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 44.4% expected score (140 games)
1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 43.8% expected score (1,656 games)
1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 41.9% expected score (2,453 games)
1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 31.0% expected score (1,108 games)
1000-1199 rating, Classical: 20.3% expected score (96 games)
1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 52.9% expected score (417 games)
1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 47.5% expected score (2,338 games)
1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 46.2% expected score (4,397 games)
1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 38.3% expected score (1,171 games)
1200-1399 rating, Classical: 24.9% expected score (90 games)
1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 53.8% expected score (444 games)
1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 46.4% expected score (3,092 games)
1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 41.4% expected score (3,333 games)
1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 29.1% expected score (871 games)
1400-1599 rating, Classical: 12.3% expected score (143 games)
1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 55.9% expected score (177 games)
1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 47.9% expected score (2,653 games)
1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 42.9% expected score (2,043 games)
1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 42.0% expected score (497 games)
1600-1799 rating, Classical: 27.6% expected score (52 games)
1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 55.8% expected score (33 games)
1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 46.3% expected score (2,885 games)
1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 43.9% expected score (1,773 games)
1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 46.1% expected score (315 games)
1800-1999 rating, Classical: 44.7% expected score (8 games)
2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 42.4% expected score (5 games)
2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 48.7% expected score (5,335 games)
2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 44.5% expected score (1,370 games)
2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 45.7% expected score (136 games)
2000-2199 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 35.7% expected score (9 games)
2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 45.7% expected score (7,833 games)
2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 41.7% expected score (666 games)
2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 58.5% expected score (34 games)
2200-2499 rating, Classical: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
2500+ rating, Bullet: 52.6% expected score (2,386 games)
2500+ rating, Blitz: 40.7% expected score (234 games)
2500+ rating, Rapid: 38.7% expected score (25 games)

Related Openings

Parent

Ware Opening

46.2%

Variations (4)

Ware Opening: Crab Variation

43.4%

Ware Opening: Symmetric Variation

46.6%

Ware Opening: Ware Gambit

51.4%

Ware Opening: Wing Gambit

55.6%

Analyze Ware Opening: Meadow Hay Trap PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Ware Opening: Meadow Hay Trap win rate?

The Ware Opening: Meadow Hay Trap has a 41.5% (90% CI: 41.2%-41.8%) win rate for white, based on 60K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Ware Opening: Meadow Hay Trap perform best?

The Ware Opening: Meadow Hay Trap performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 49.0% win rate for white (2.6K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Ware Opening: Meadow Hay Trap better in blitz or rapid?

UltraBullet (51.9%) outperforms Classical (19.2%) by 32.7%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Ware Opening: Meadow Hay Trap?

The Ware Opening: Meadow Hay Trap has a sharpness score of 96.4 (very decisive), meaning 96.4% of games end decisively. Average game length is 32 moves.

What is the Ware Opening: Meadow Hay Trap win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Ware Opening: Meadow Hay Trap has a 31.9% (90% CI: 31.1%-32.7%) win rate for white, based on 9.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 5.3% draw rate.

What is the Ware Opening: Meadow Hay Trap win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Ware Opening: Meadow Hay Trap has a 38.3% (90% CI: 37.2%-39.3%) win rate for white, based on 5.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Ware Opening: Meadow Hay Trap win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Ware Opening: Meadow Hay Trap has a 44.0% (90% CI: 43.1%-44.9%) win rate for white, based on 8.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the Ware Opening: Meadow Hay Trap win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Ware Opening: Meadow Hay Trap has a 40.6% (90% CI: 39.7%-41.5%) win rate for white, based on 7.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the Ware Opening: Meadow Hay Trap win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Ware Opening: Meadow Hay Trap has a 44.1% (90% CI: 43.0%-45.2%) win rate for white, based on 5.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the Ware Opening: Meadow Hay Trap win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Ware Opening: Meadow Hay Trap has a 43.9% (90% CI: 42.7%-45.0%) win rate for white, based on 5.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Ware Opening: Meadow Hay Trap win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Ware Opening: Meadow Hay Trap has a 46.0% (90% CI: 45.0%-47.0%) win rate for white, based on 6.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the Ware Opening: Meadow Hay Trap win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Ware Opening: Meadow Hay Trap has a 43.5% (90% CI: 42.6%-44.4%) win rate for white, based on 8.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the Ware Opening: Meadow Hay Trap win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Ware Opening: Meadow Hay Trap has a 49.0% (90% CI: 47.4%-50.6%) win rate for white, based on 2.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 4.7% draw rate.

What is the Ware Opening: Meadow Hay Trap win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Ware Opening: Meadow Hay Trap has a 51.9% (90% CI: 49.6%-54.2%) win rate for white (1.3K Lichess games). Draw rate is 0.9%.

What is the Ware Opening: Meadow Hay Trap win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Ware Opening: Meadow Hay Trap has a 44.9% (90% CI: 44.4%-45.3%) win rate for white (31K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.9%.

What is the Ware Opening: Meadow Hay Trap win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Ware Opening: Meadow Hay Trap has a 40.0% (90% CI: 39.4%-40.6%) win rate for white (20K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.1%.

What is the Ware Opening: Meadow Hay Trap win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Ware Opening: Meadow Hay Trap has a 30.6% (90% CI: 29.7%-31.5%) win rate for white (7.0K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.7%.

What is the Ware Opening: Meadow Hay Trap win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Ware Opening: Meadow Hay Trap has a 19.2% (90% CI: 16.3%-22.2%) win rate for white (470 Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.3%.

Is the Ware Opening: Meadow Hay Trap a good opening?

The Ware Opening: Meadow Hay Trap is slightly favors black with a 41.5% (90% CI: 41.2%-41.8%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.

What is the Ware Opening: Meadow Hay Trap expected score for White?