Vienna Game: Stanley Variation

2.0M games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score52.9%Range (90% confident): 52.8% – 52.9%Based on 2.0M games
0%52.9%100%
Range (90% confident): 52.8% – 52.9%
Outcome Distribution
51.0%3.8%45.2%
Win
Draw
Loss
3.Bc4
Vienna Game: Stanley Variation
Analyzen=2.0M
Avg Length32 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate3.8%

What is the Vienna Game: Stanley Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Vienna Game: Stanley Variation has a 52.9% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 52.8% and 52.9%), based on 2.0M Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Stable across ratings (~50%)

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 49.7% win rate (207,068 games)
  • 1000-1199: 51.3% win rate (274,739 games)
  • 1200-1399: 51.3% win rate (352,854 games)
  • 1400-1599: 50.9% win rate (396,372 games)
  • 1600-1799: 51.0% win rate (365,983 games)
  • 1800-1999: 51.0% win rate (246,250 games)
  • 2000-2199: 51.6% win rate (92,850 games)
  • 2200-2499: 52.3% win rate (27,523 games)
  • 2500+: 51.3% win rate (4,187 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Similar across time controls (~51%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 51.3% win rate (2,153 games)
  • Bullet: 50.9% win rate (340,686 games)
  • Blitz: 51.2% win rate (1,038,785 games)
  • Rapid: 50.7% win rate (562,376 games)
  • Classical: 50.7% win rate (23,826 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 50.5% expected score (111 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 51.3% expected score (26,861 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 52.1% expected score (98,288 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 51.2% expected score (81,106 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 45.7% expected score (702 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 53.1% expected score (258 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 52.6% expected score (39,504 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 53.4% expected score (142,131 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 53.1% expected score (90,260 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 50.5% expected score (2,586 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 52.3% expected score (538 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 51.8% expected score (52,102 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 53.2% expected score (186,819 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 53.4% expected score (108,052 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 53.4% expected score (5,343 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 47.7% expected score (579 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 51.9% expected score (61,824 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 52.9% expected score (212,044 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 52.6% expected score (114,547 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 53.5% expected score (7,378 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 51.2% expected score (410 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 51.8% expected score (60,037 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 52.9% expected score (202,394 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 53.5% expected score (97,641 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 54.4% expected score (5,501 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 57.4% expected score (203 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 52.2% expected score (50,140 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 53.3% expected score (137,557 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 53.6% expected score (56,249 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 52.8% expected score (2,101 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 74.7% expected score (43 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 52.5% expected score (31,805 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 54.4% expected score (47,738 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 55.4% expected score (13,067 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 57.1% expected score (197 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 59.6% expected score (9 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 53.4% expected score (15,097 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 56.6% expected score (10,983 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 56.4% expected score (1,420 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 69.4% expected score (14 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 55.9% expected score (3,316 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 57.5% expected score (831 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 62.7% expected score (34 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 59.1% expected score (4 games)

Related Openings

Analyze Vienna Game: Stanley Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Vienna Game: Stanley Variation win rate?

The Vienna Game: Stanley Variation has a 51.0% (90% CI: 50.9%-51.0%) win rate for white, based on 2.0M rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Vienna Game: Stanley Variation perform best?

The Vienna Game: Stanley Variation performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 52.3% win rate for white (28K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Vienna Game: Stanley Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (51.2%) outperforms UltraBullet (51.3%) by -0.1%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Vienna Game: Stanley Variation?

The Vienna Game: Stanley Variation has a sharpness score of 96.2 (very decisive), meaning 96.2% of games end decisively. Average game length is 32 moves.

What is the Vienna Game: Stanley Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Vienna Game: Stanley Variation has a 49.7% (90% CI: 49.5%-49.8%) win rate for white, based on 207K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.

What is the Vienna Game: Stanley Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Vienna Game: Stanley Variation has a 51.3% (90% CI: 51.2%-51.5%) win rate for white, based on 275K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the Vienna Game: Stanley Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Vienna Game: Stanley Variation has a 51.3% (90% CI: 51.2%-51.5%) win rate for white, based on 353K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the Vienna Game: Stanley Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Vienna Game: Stanley Variation has a 50.9% (90% CI: 50.7%-51.0%) win rate for white, based on 396K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the Vienna Game: Stanley Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Vienna Game: Stanley Variation has a 51.0% (90% CI: 50.8%-51.1%) win rate for white, based on 366K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.

What is the Vienna Game: Stanley Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Vienna Game: Stanley Variation has a 51.0% (90% CI: 50.8%-51.2%) win rate for white, based on 246K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.3% draw rate.

What is the Vienna Game: Stanley Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Vienna Game: Stanley Variation has a 51.6% (90% CI: 51.3%-51.8%) win rate for white, based on 93K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.6% draw rate.

What is the Vienna Game: Stanley Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Vienna Game: Stanley Variation has a 52.3% (90% CI: 51.8%-52.8%) win rate for white, based on 28K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 5.0% draw rate.

What is the Vienna Game: Stanley Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Vienna Game: Stanley Variation has a 51.3% (90% CI: 50.0%-52.5%) win rate for white, based on 4.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 41 moves with a 10.0% draw rate.

What is the Vienna Game: Stanley Variation win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Vienna Game: Stanley Variation has a 51.3% (90% CI: 49.5%-53.1%) win rate for white (2.2K Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.0%.

What is the Vienna Game: Stanley Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Vienna Game: Stanley Variation has a 50.9% (90% CI: 50.7%-51.0%) win rate for white (341K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.4%.

What is the Vienna Game: Stanley Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Vienna Game: Stanley Variation has a 51.2% (90% CI: 51.1%-51.3%) win rate for white (1.0M Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.8%.

What is the Vienna Game: Stanley Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Vienna Game: Stanley Variation has a 50.7% (90% CI: 50.6%-50.8%) win rate for white (562K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.4%.

What is the Vienna Game: Stanley Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Vienna Game: Stanley Variation has a 50.7% (90% CI: 50.2%-51.2%) win rate for white (24K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.8%.

Is the Vienna Game: Stanley Variation a good opening?

The Vienna Game: Stanley Variation is statistically favors white with a 51.0% (90% CI: 50.9%-51.0%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.