What is the Vienna Game: Stanley Variation expected score for White?
At all ratings, the Vienna Game: Stanley Variation has a 52.9% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 52.8% and 52.9%), based on 2.0M Lichess games.
2.0M games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
At all ratings, the Vienna Game: Stanley Variation has a 52.9% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 52.8% and 52.9%), based on 2.0M Lichess games.
Stable across ratings (~50%)
Similar across time controls (~51%)
Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | |||||
| 1000-1199 | |||||
| 1200-1399 | |||||
| 1400-1599 | |||||
| 1600-1799 | |||||
| 1800-1999 | |||||
| 2000-2199 | |||||
| 2200-2499 | |||||
| 2500+ |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
The Vienna Game: Stanley Variation has a 51.0% (90% CI: 50.9%-51.0%) win rate for white, based on 2.0M rated games from Lichess.
The Vienna Game: Stanley Variation performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 52.3% win rate for white (28K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.
Blitz (51.2%) outperforms UltraBullet (51.3%) by -0.1%. Choose your time control wisely.
The Vienna Game: Stanley Variation has a sharpness score of 96.2 (very decisive), meaning 96.2% of games end decisively. Average game length is 32 moves.
At 0-999 Elo, the Vienna Game: Stanley Variation has a 49.7% (90% CI: 49.5%-49.8%) win rate for white, based on 207K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.
At 1000-1199 Elo, the Vienna Game: Stanley Variation has a 51.3% (90% CI: 51.2%-51.5%) win rate for white, based on 275K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.
At 1200-1399 Elo, the Vienna Game: Stanley Variation has a 51.3% (90% CI: 51.2%-51.5%) win rate for white, based on 353K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.
At 1400-1599 Elo, the Vienna Game: Stanley Variation has a 50.9% (90% CI: 50.7%-51.0%) win rate for white, based on 396K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.
At 1600-1799 Elo, the Vienna Game: Stanley Variation has a 51.0% (90% CI: 50.8%-51.1%) win rate for white, based on 366K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.
At 1800-1999 Elo, the Vienna Game: Stanley Variation has a 51.0% (90% CI: 50.8%-51.2%) win rate for white, based on 246K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.3% draw rate.
At 2000-2199 Elo, the Vienna Game: Stanley Variation has a 51.6% (90% CI: 51.3%-51.8%) win rate for white, based on 93K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.6% draw rate.
At 2200-2499 Elo, the Vienna Game: Stanley Variation has a 52.3% (90% CI: 51.8%-52.8%) win rate for white, based on 28K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 5.0% draw rate.
At 2500+ Elo, the Vienna Game: Stanley Variation has a 51.3% (90% CI: 50.0%-52.5%) win rate for white, based on 4.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 41 moves with a 10.0% draw rate.
In UltraBullet games, the Vienna Game: Stanley Variation has a 51.3% (90% CI: 49.5%-53.1%) win rate for white (2.2K Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.0%.
In Bullet games, the Vienna Game: Stanley Variation has a 50.9% (90% CI: 50.7%-51.0%) win rate for white (341K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.4%.
In Blitz games, the Vienna Game: Stanley Variation has a 51.2% (90% CI: 51.1%-51.3%) win rate for white (1.0M Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.8%.
In Rapid games, the Vienna Game: Stanley Variation has a 50.7% (90% CI: 50.6%-50.8%) win rate for white (562K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.4%.
In Classical games, the Vienna Game: Stanley Variation has a 50.7% (90% CI: 50.2%-51.2%) win rate for white (24K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.8%.
The Vienna Game: Stanley Variation is statistically favors white with a 51.0% (90% CI: 50.9%-51.0%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.