TrueEloPlay what wins.
Analyzer

Vienna Gambit, with Max Lange Defense: Steinitz Gambit, Fraser-Minckwitz Defense

661 games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
White Expected Score43.0%Range (90% confident): 39.9% – 46.2%Based on 661 games
0%43.0%100%
Range (90% confident): 39.9% – 46.2%
Outcome Distribution
41.3%3.4%55.3%
Win
Draw
Loss
5...b6
Vienna Gambit, with Max Lange Defense: Steinitz Gambit, Fraser-Minckwitz Defense
Analyzen=661
Avg Length31 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.4%

What is the Vienna Gambit, with Max Lange Defense: Steinitz Gambit, Fraser-Minckwitz Defense expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Vienna Gambit, with Max Lange Defense: Steinitz Gambit, Fraser-Minckwitz Defense has a 43.0% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 39.9% and 46.2%), based on 661 Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: -20.5% · Breakpoint: 1800-1999

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 11.3% · Blitz best · Rapid worst

White Win% by Rating

Stable across ratings (~43%)

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 42.9% win rate (2 games)
  • 1000-1199: 44.0% win rate (11 games)
  • 1200-1399: 36.0% win rate (11 games)
  • 1400-1599: 26.8% win rate (34 games)
  • 1600-1799: 30.7% win rate (36 games)
  • 1800-1999: 47.8% win rate (56 games)
  • 2000-2199: 40.6% win rate (150 games)
  • 2200-2499: 42.7% win rate (276 games)
  • 2500+: 43.4% win rate (85 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (54%), worst in Rapid (34%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 36.7% win rate (169 games)
  • Blitz: 45.0% win rate (386 games)
  • Rapid: 33.7% win rate (101 games)
  • Classical: 53.8% win rate (5 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999————
1000-1199——
1200-1399——
1400-1599—
1600-1799——
1800-1999—
2000-2199——
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (7 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 31.9% expected score (4 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 43.3% expected score (6 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 29.5% expected score (18 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 16.7% expected score (12 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 54.8% expected score (9 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 26.2% expected score (9 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 24.4% expected score (18 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 32.4% expected score (7 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 51.7% expected score (29 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 47.3% expected score (17 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 32.4% expected score (41 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 46.6% expected score (85 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 44.2% expected score (24 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 36.1% expected score (63 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 48.0% expected score (194 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 39.8% expected score (18 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 42.1% expected score (43 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 52.6% expected score (38 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 40.9% expected score (4 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Vienna Gambit, with Max Lange Defense
52.9%
Variations (5)
Vienna Gambit, with Max Lange Defense: Cunningham Defense
45.3%
Vienna Gambit, with Max Lange Defense: Hamppe-Allgaier Gambit
54.7%
Vienna Gambit, with Max Lange Defense: Hamppe-Allgaier Gambit, Alapin Variation
55.5%
Vienna Gambit, with Max Lange Defense: Hamppe-Allgaier Gambit, Thorold Variation
57.2%
Vienna Gambit, with Max Lange Defense: Hamppe-Muzio Gambit
56.7%
Analyze Vienna Gambit, with Max Lange Defense: Steinitz Gambit, Fraser-Minckwitz Defense PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Vienna Gambit, with Max Lange Defense: Steinitz Gambit, Fraser-Minckwitz Defense win rate?

The Vienna Gambit, with Max Lange Defense: Steinitz Gambit, Fraser-Minckwitz Defense has a 41.3% (90% CI: 38.2%-44.4%) win rate for white, based on 661 rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Vienna Gambit, with Max Lange Defense: Steinitz Gambit, Fraser-Minckwitz Defense perform best?

The Vienna Gambit, with Max Lange Defense: Steinitz Gambit, Fraser-Minckwitz Defense performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 42.7% win rate for white (276 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Vienna Gambit, with Max Lange Defense: Steinitz Gambit, Fraser-Minckwitz Defense better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (45.0%) outperforms Rapid (33.7%) by 11.3%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Vienna Gambit, with Max Lange Defense: Steinitz Gambit, Fraser-Minckwitz Defense?

The Vienna Gambit, with Max Lange Defense: Steinitz Gambit, Fraser-Minckwitz Defense has a sharpness score of 96.6 (very decisive), meaning 96.6% of games end decisively. Average game length is 31 moves.

What is the Vienna Gambit, with Max Lange Defense: Steinitz Gambit, Fraser-Minckwitz Defense win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Vienna Gambit, with Max Lange Defense: Steinitz Gambit, Fraser-Minckwitz Defense has a 40.6% (90% CI: 34.1%-47.2%) win rate for white, based on 150 Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the Vienna Gambit, with Max Lange Defense: Steinitz Gambit, Fraser-Minckwitz Defense win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Vienna Gambit, with Max Lange Defense: Steinitz Gambit, Fraser-Minckwitz Defense has a 42.7% (90% CI: 37.9%-47.6%) win rate for white, based on 276 Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.

What is the Vienna Gambit, with Max Lange Defense: Steinitz Gambit, Fraser-Minckwitz Defense win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Vienna Gambit, with Max Lange Defense: Steinitz Gambit, Fraser-Minckwitz Defense has a 36.7% (90% CI: 30.7%-42.8%) win rate for white (169 Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.2%.

What is the Vienna Gambit, with Max Lange Defense: Steinitz Gambit, Fraser-Minckwitz Defense win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Vienna Gambit, with Max Lange Defense: Steinitz Gambit, Fraser-Minckwitz Defense has a 45.0% (90% CI: 40.9%-49.2%) win rate for white (386 Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.2%.

What is the Vienna Gambit, with Max Lange Defense: Steinitz Gambit, Fraser-Minckwitz Defense win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Vienna Gambit, with Max Lange Defense: Steinitz Gambit, Fraser-Minckwitz Defense has a 33.7% (90% CI: 26.2%-41.5%) win rate for white (101 Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.4%.

Is the Vienna Gambit, with Max Lange Defense: Steinitz Gambit, Fraser-Minckwitz Defense a good opening?

The Vienna Gambit, with Max Lange Defense: Steinitz Gambit, Fraser-Minckwitz Defense is slightly favors black with a 41.3% (90% CI: 38.2%-44.4%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.