12K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
At all ratings, the Vienna Gambit, with Max Lange Defense: Hamppe-Muzio Gambit has a 42.1% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 41.4% and 42.9%), based on 12K Lichess games.
Deep-dive datasets for this opening
Improves with rating: 36% → 41%
Best in Classical (80%), worst in Bullet (40%)
Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | — | — | |||
| 1000-1199 | — | — | |||
| 1200-1399 | — | — | |||
| 1400-1599 | |||||
| 1600-1799 | — | ||||
| 1800-1999 | |||||
| 2000-2199 | — | ||||
| 2200-2499 | — | ||||
| 2500+ | — | — | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
The Vienna Gambit, with Max Lange Defense: Hamppe-Muzio Gambit has a 56.7% (90% CI: 55.9%-57.5%) win rate for white, based on 12K rated games from Lichess.
The Vienna Gambit, with Max Lange Defense: Hamppe-Muzio Gambit performs best at 1400-1599 Elo with a 59.4% win rate for white (861 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.
Bullet (57.7%) outperforms Rapid (50.9%) by 6.8%. Choose your time control wisely.
The Vienna Gambit, with Max Lange Defense: Hamppe-Muzio Gambit has a sharpness score of 97.6 (very decisive), meaning 97.6% of games end decisively. Average game length is 27 moves.
At 1200-1399 Elo, the Vienna Gambit, with Max Lange Defense: Hamppe-Muzio Gambit has a 60.4% (90% CI: 55.1%-65.7%) win rate for white, based on 226 Lichess games. Average game length is 22 moves with a 0.7% draw rate.
At 1400-1599 Elo, the Vienna Gambit, with Max Lange Defense: Hamppe-Muzio Gambit has a 59.4% (90% CI: 56.7%-62.2%) win rate for white, based on 861 Lichess games. Average game length is 24 moves with a 1.6% draw rate.
At 1600-1799 Elo, the Vienna Gambit, with Max Lange Defense: Hamppe-Muzio Gambit has a 58.2% (90% CI: 56.3%-60.1%) win rate for white, based on 1.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 1.8% draw rate.
At 1800-1999 Elo, the Vienna Gambit, with Max Lange Defense: Hamppe-Muzio Gambit has a 56.6% (90% CI: 55.2%-58.0%) win rate for white, based on 3.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.3% draw rate.
At 2000-2199 Elo, the Vienna Gambit, with Max Lange Defense: Hamppe-Muzio Gambit has a 56.8% (90% CI: 55.2%-58.3%) win rate for white, based on 2.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.
At 2200-2499 Elo, the Vienna Gambit, with Max Lange Defense: Hamppe-Muzio Gambit has a 53.7% (90% CI: 51.9%-55.6%) win rate for white, based on 1.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.
At 2500+ Elo, the Vienna Gambit, with Max Lange Defense: Hamppe-Muzio Gambit has a 56.6% (90% CI: 52.9%-60.2%) win rate for white, based on 498 Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.
In Bullet games, the Vienna Gambit, with Max Lange Defense: Hamppe-Muzio Gambit has a 57.7% (90% CI: 56.6%-58.9%) win rate for white (5.0K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.0%.
In Blitz games, the Vienna Gambit, with Max Lange Defense: Hamppe-Muzio Gambit has a 56.9% (90% CI: 55.9%-58.0%) win rate for white (5.7K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.7%.
In Rapid games, the Vienna Gambit, with Max Lange Defense: Hamppe-Muzio Gambit has a 50.9% (90% CI: 48.2%-53.7%) win rate for white (922 Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.3%.
The Vienna Gambit, with Max Lange Defense: Hamppe-Muzio Gambit is statistically favors white with a 56.7% (90% CI: 55.9%-57.5%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1400-1599 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.