1.6K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
At all ratings, the Vienna Gambit, with Max Lange Defense: Hamppe-Allgaier Gambit, Thorold Variation has a 59.2% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 57.2% and 61.2%), based on 1.6K Lichess games.
Deep-dive datasets for this opening
Improves with rating: 20% → 63%
Best in Classical (69%), worst in Rapid (42%)
Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1000-1199 | — | — | — | ||
| 1200-1399 | — | — | — | ||
| 1400-1599 | — | — | |||
| 1600-1799 | |||||
| 1800-1999 | — | — | |||
| 2000-2199 | — | ||||
| 2200-2499 | — | — | |||
| 2500+ | — | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
The Vienna Gambit, with Max Lange Defense: Hamppe-Allgaier Gambit, Thorold Variation has a 57.2% (90% CI: 55.2%-59.2%) win rate for white, based on 1.6K rated games from Lichess.
The Vienna Gambit, with Max Lange Defense: Hamppe-Allgaier Gambit, Thorold Variation performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 63.2% win rate for white (148 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.
Bullet (59.9%) outperforms Rapid (41.9%) by 18.0%. Choose your time control wisely.
The Vienna Gambit, with Max Lange Defense: Hamppe-Allgaier Gambit, Thorold Variation has a sharpness score of 96.1 (very decisive), meaning 96.1% of games end decisively. Average game length is 29 moves.
At 1600-1799 Elo, the Vienna Gambit, with Max Lange Defense: Hamppe-Allgaier Gambit, Thorold Variation has a 51.1% (90% CI: 43.4%-58.8%) win rate for white, based on 111 Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 2.2% draw rate.
At 1800-1999 Elo, the Vienna Gambit, with Max Lange Defense: Hamppe-Allgaier Gambit, Thorold Variation has a 59.6% (90% CI: 55.5%-63.7%) win rate for white, based on 385 Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.
At 2000-2199 Elo, the Vienna Gambit, with Max Lange Defense: Hamppe-Allgaier Gambit, Thorold Variation has a 55.9% (90% CI: 52.2%-59.6%) win rate for white, based on 484 Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.
At 2200-2499 Elo, the Vienna Gambit, with Max Lange Defense: Hamppe-Allgaier Gambit, Thorold Variation has a 55.2% (90% CI: 51.5%-58.9%) win rate for white, based on 487 Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 5.0% draw rate.
At 2500+ Elo, the Vienna Gambit, with Max Lange Defense: Hamppe-Allgaier Gambit, Thorold Variation has a 63.2% (90% CI: 56.6%-69.6%) win rate for white, based on 148 Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 5.7% draw rate.
In Bullet games, the Vienna Gambit, with Max Lange Defense: Hamppe-Allgaier Gambit, Thorold Variation has a 59.9% (90% CI: 56.3%-63.4%) win rate for white (512 Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.0%.
In Blitz games, the Vienna Gambit, with Max Lange Defense: Hamppe-Allgaier Gambit, Thorold Variation has a 57.4% (90% CI: 54.8%-60.0%) win rate for white (1.0K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.5%.
In Rapid games, the Vienna Gambit, with Max Lange Defense: Hamppe-Allgaier Gambit, Thorold Variation has a 41.9% (90% CI: 34.3%-49.5%) win rate for white (112 Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.0%.
The Vienna Gambit, with Max Lange Defense: Hamppe-Allgaier Gambit, Thorold Variation is statistically favors white with a 57.2% (90% CI: 55.2%-59.2%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.