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Van't Kruijs Opening: Keoni-Hiva Gambit, Akahi Variation

580 games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
White Expected Score49.5%Range (90% confident): 46.1% – 52.9%Based on 580 games
0%49.5%100%
Range (90% confident): 46.1% – 52.9%
Outcome Distribution
47.5%3.9%48.6%
Win
Draw
Loss
4.Nf3
Van't Kruijs Opening: Keoni-Hiva Gambit, Akahi Variation
Analyzen=580
Avg Length29 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate3.9%

What is the Van't Kruijs Opening: Keoni-Hiva Gambit, Akahi Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Van't Kruijs Opening: Keoni-Hiva Gambit, Akahi Variation has a 49.5% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 46.1% and 52.9%), based on 580 Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: -3.1% · Breakpoint: 1200-1399

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 47% → 82%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 46.5% win rate (34 games)
  • 1000-1199: 43.7% win rate (34 games)
  • 1200-1399: 43.9% win rate (52 games)
  • 1400-1599: 37.4% win rate (72 games)
  • 1600-1799: 53.2% win rate (165 games)
  • 1800-1999: 49.4% win rate (121 games)
  • 2000-2199: 43.9% win rate (68 games)
  • 2200-2499: 42.9% win rate (30 games)
  • 2500+: 81.8% win rate (4 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (49%), worst in UltraBullet (37%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid

  • UltraBullet: 36.8% win rate (8 games)
  • Bullet: 48.7% win rate (359 games)
  • Blitz: 47.7% win rate (163 games)
  • Rapid: 39.8% win rate (50 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199——
1200-1399——
1400-1599—
1600-1799——
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499———
2500+————

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 37.1% expected score (14 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 67.4% expected score (10 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 41.3% expected score (10 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (14 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 47.2% expected score (16 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 31.9% expected score (4 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 46.7% expected score (28 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 52.3% expected score (21 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 16.7% expected score (3 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 48.3% expected score (27 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 38.9% expected score (21 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 27.8% expected score (21 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 57.6% expected score (131 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 35.2% expected score (29 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 88.5% expected score (5 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 42.2% expected score (75 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 65.2% expected score (38 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 63.4% expected score (6 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 27.8% expected score (3 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 46.9% expected score (46 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 52.6% expected score (18 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 47.7% expected score (20 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (10 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 86.4% expected score (4 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Van't Kruijs Opening
48.5%
Variations (3)
Van't Kruijs Opening: Bouncing Bishop Variation
67.4%
Van't Kruijs Opening: Keoni-Hiva Gambit, Alua Variation
48.2%
Van't Kruijs Opening: Keoni-Hiva Gambit, Ekolu Variation
50.1%
Analyze Van't Kruijs Opening: Keoni-Hiva Gambit, Akahi Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Van't Kruijs Opening: Keoni-Hiva Gambit, Akahi Variation win rate?

The Van't Kruijs Opening: Keoni-Hiva Gambit, Akahi Variation has a 47.5% (90% CI: 44.2%-51.0%) win rate for white, based on 580 rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Van't Kruijs Opening: Keoni-Hiva Gambit, Akahi Variation perform best?

The Van't Kruijs Opening: Keoni-Hiva Gambit, Akahi Variation performs best at 1600-1799 Elo with a 53.2% win rate for white (165 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Van't Kruijs Opening: Keoni-Hiva Gambit, Akahi Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (48.7%) outperforms Rapid (39.8%) by 8.9%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Van't Kruijs Opening: Keoni-Hiva Gambit, Akahi Variation?

The Van't Kruijs Opening: Keoni-Hiva Gambit, Akahi Variation has a sharpness score of 96.1 (very decisive), meaning 96.1% of games end decisively. Average game length is 29 moves.

What is the Van't Kruijs Opening: Keoni-Hiva Gambit, Akahi Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Van't Kruijs Opening: Keoni-Hiva Gambit, Akahi Variation has a 53.2% (90% CI: 46.8%-59.5%) win rate for white, based on 165 Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Van't Kruijs Opening: Keoni-Hiva Gambit, Akahi Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Van't Kruijs Opening: Keoni-Hiva Gambit, Akahi Variation has a 49.4% (90% CI: 42.0%-56.8%) win rate for white, based on 121 Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 4.5% draw rate.

What is the Van't Kruijs Opening: Keoni-Hiva Gambit, Akahi Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Van't Kruijs Opening: Keoni-Hiva Gambit, Akahi Variation has a 48.7% (90% CI: 44.4%-53.0%) win rate for white (359 Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.9%.

What is the Van't Kruijs Opening: Keoni-Hiva Gambit, Akahi Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Van't Kruijs Opening: Keoni-Hiva Gambit, Akahi Variation has a 47.7% (90% CI: 41.3%-54.1%) win rate for white (163 Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.4%.

Is the Van't Kruijs Opening: Keoni-Hiva Gambit, Akahi Variation a good opening?

The Van't Kruijs Opening: Keoni-Hiva Gambit, Akahi Variation is slightly favors black with a 47.5% (90% CI: 44.2%-51.0%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1600-1799 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.