Valencia Opening

1 variations · 245K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Key Finding

Valencia Opening is balanced for White at 51.5% expected score.

This opening produces roughly even results, with outcomes depending more on middlegame play than opening choice.

You play

Playable

Rating

Time

White Expected Score0.0%Range (90% confident): 51.3% – 51.6%Aggregated from 1 variations

0%51.5%100%

Range (90% confident): 51.3% – 51.6%

ContextOverall · n=245K

Outcome Distribution

49.9%3.2%46.9%

Win

Draw

Loss

2.Nd2

Valencia Opening

Variations1

Games (Context)245K

Avg Length35 moves

Draw Rate3.2%

What Should I Play?

Player-controlled continuations for White · Overall

#1Valencia OpeningTop Pick

1.d3 e5 2.Nd2

Min adv +2.6% · n=245K

51.5%

Continuations show the most common variations from this opening. Higher expected scores indicate better statistical outcomes, but familiarity and playstyle matter too.

Snapshot

Overall, the Valencia Opening family has a 51.5% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 51.3% and 51.6%), aggregated from 1 variations and 245K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 47% → 51%

1000

1200

1400

1600

1800

2000

2200

2500+

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (53%), worst in Classical (45%)

UltraBullet

Bullet

Blitz

Rapid

Classical

Rating vs Time Control Matrix

Click cells to filter · White expected scores

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

Rating	UB	Bulle	Blitz	Rapid	Class
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499					—
2500+					—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 45.2% expected score (40 games)
0-999 rating, Bullet: 50.6% expected score (2,043 games)
0-999 rating, Blitz: 48.2% expected score (3,167 games)
0-999 rating, Rapid: 47.6% expected score (1,370 games)
0-999 rating, Classical: 32.6% expected score (10 games)
1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 54.5% expected score (145 games)
1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 52.5% expected score (4,331 games)
1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 51.5% expected score (5,097 games)
1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 48.3% expected score (1,626 games)
1000-1199 rating, Classical: 52.6% expected score (38 games)
1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 51.9% expected score (627 games)
1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 51.7% expected score (11,144 games)
1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 50.1% expected score (8,388 games)
1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 49.7% expected score (2,328 games)
1200-1399 rating, Classical: 42.5% expected score (58 games)
1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 54.6% expected score (1,888 games)
1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 51.0% expected score (18,666 games)
1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 51.1% expected score (11,741 games)
1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 50.5% expected score (2,286 games)
1400-1599 rating, Classical: 47.2% expected score (1,875 games)
1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 52.3% expected score (3,769 games)
1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 49.6% expected score (26,446 games)
1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 51.4% expected score (15,270 games)
1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 48.4% expected score (2,317 games)
1600-1799 rating, Classical: 43.8% expected score (904 games)
1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 54.0% expected score (1,583 games)
1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 50.2% expected score (25,881 games)
1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 52.1% expected score (16,075 games)
1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 53.4% expected score (1,795 games)
1800-1999 rating, Classical: 52.3% expected score (411 games)
2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 58.9% expected score (592 games)
2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 52.0% expected score (24,971 games)
2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 52.9% expected score (10,142 games)
2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 51.6% expected score (1,725 games)
2000-2199 rating, Classical: 56.0% expected score (40 games)
2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 53.1% expected score (880 games)
2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 54.2% expected score (25,389 games)
2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 55.1% expected score (3,082 games)
2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 49.1% expected score (204 games)
2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 48.0% expected score (48 games)
2500+ rating, Bullet: 53.9% expected score (6,768 games)
2500+ rating, Blitz: 50.4% expected score (112 games)
2500+ rating, Rapid: 72.3% expected score (3 games)

Matrix view reveals how performance varies across rating brackets and time controls. Green indicates favorable, red indicates challenging contexts.

Variations (1)

Valencia Opening245K games

Balanced51.5%

Analyze Valencia Opening PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Valencia Opening win rate?

The Valencia Opening family has a 49.9% (90% CI: 49.7%-50.0%) win rate for white, aggregated from 1 variations and 245K rated games from Lichess.

How many Valencia Opening variations are there?

This analysis covers 1 Valencia Opening variations with sufficient game data. Each variation has its own statistics page with detailed win rates by rating and time control.

At what rating does the Valencia Opening perform best?

The Valencia Opening family performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 52.2% win rate for white (30K games). Performance may vary by specific variation.

Is the Valencia Opening better in blitz or rapid?

UltraBullet (52.6%) outperforms Classical (45.2%) by 7.4% across all Valencia Opening variations.

How sharp is the Valencia Opening?

Valencia Opening games are 96.8% decisive (non-draws), with an average length of 35 moves. Sharpness varies by specific variation.

Is the Valencia Opening a good opening family?

The Valencia Opening family is statistically balanced overall with a 49.9% (90% CI: 49.7%-50.0%) aggregated win rate. However, win rates vary significantly between the 1 variations—explore individual lines to find the best fit for your style.