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Trompowsky Attack: Raptor Variation

107K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score53.4%Range (90% confident): 53.2% – 53.7%Based on 107K games
0%53.4%100%
Range (90% confident): 53.2% – 53.7%
Outcome Distribution
50.9%5.1%44.1%
Win
Draw
Loss
3.h4
Trompowsky Attack: Raptor Variation
Analyzen=107K
Avg Length35 moves
Sharpness95%
Draw Rate5.1%

What is the Trompowsky Attack: Raptor Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Trompowsky Attack: Raptor Variation has a 53.4% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 53.2% and 53.7%), based on 107K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Stable across ratings (~51%)

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 50.8% win rate (427 games)
  • 1000-1199: 54.3% win rate (1,039 games)
  • 1200-1399: 51.0% win rate (2,332 games)
  • 1400-1599: 51.7% win rate (4,753 games)
  • 1600-1799: 50.4% win rate (9,437 games)
  • 1800-1999: 49.5% win rate (18,408 games)
  • 2000-2199: 50.6% win rate (31,181 games)
  • 2200-2499: 51.5% win rate (33,343 games)
  • 2500+: 52.3% win rate (5,835 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (82%), worst in Rapid (50%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 81.8% win rate (4 games)
  • Bullet: 51.5% win rate (27,143 games)
  • Blitz: 50.8% win rate (68,949 games)
  • Rapid: 49.5% win rate (10,073 games)
  • Classical: 49.6% win rate (586 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—
1000-1199—
1200-1399—
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 54.6% expected score (75 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 54.8% expected score (262 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 47.8% expected score (89 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 57.2% expected score (255 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 55.1% expected score (577 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 53.7% expected score (201 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 63.4% expected score (6 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 55.6% expected score (430 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 52.5% expected score (1,408 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 53.2% expected score (479 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 47.0% expected score (15 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 54.5% expected score (968 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 53.7% expected score (2,772 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 50.8% expected score (938 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 53.4% expected score (74 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 50.9% expected score (2,035 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 52.2% expected score (5,598 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 53.8% expected score (1,679 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 50.4% expected score (124 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 52.2% expected score (3,765 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 51.5% expected score (12,260 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 51.7% expected score (2,214 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 55.4% expected score (167 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 54.4% expected score (6,252 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 52.9% expected score (21,813 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 51.7% expected score (2,935 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 53.3% expected score (181 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 53.5% expected score (10,004 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 55.3% expected score (21,856 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 52.9% expected score (1,467 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 58.6% expected score (16 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 53.5% expected score (3,359 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 58.9% expected score (2,403 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 64.5% expected score (71 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 35.7% expected score (2 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Trompowsky Attack
49.3%
Variations (5)
Trompowsky Attack: Borg Variation
55.7%
Trompowsky Attack: Classical Defense
49.2%
Trompowsky Attack: Classical Defense, Big Center Variation
49.5%
Trompowsky Attack: Edge Variation
50.9%
Trompowsky Attack: Edge Variation, Hergert Gambit
46.2%
Continuations (1)
Trompowsky Attack: Raptor Variation, Hergert Gambit
52.7%
Analyze Trompowsky Attack: Raptor Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Trompowsky Attack: Raptor Variation win rate?

The Trompowsky Attack: Raptor Variation has a 50.9% (90% CI: 50.6%-51.1%) win rate for white, based on 107K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Trompowsky Attack: Raptor Variation perform best?

The Trompowsky Attack: Raptor Variation performs best at 1000-1199 Elo with a 54.3% win rate for white (1.0K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Trompowsky Attack: Raptor Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (51.5%) outperforms Classical (49.6%) by 1.9%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Trompowsky Attack: Raptor Variation?

The Trompowsky Attack: Raptor Variation has a sharpness score of 94.9 (decisive), meaning 94.9% of games end decisively. Average game length is 35 moves.

What is the Trompowsky Attack: Raptor Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Trompowsky Attack: Raptor Variation has a 50.8% (90% CI: 46.8%-54.7%) win rate for white, based on 427 Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 4.8% draw rate.

What is the Trompowsky Attack: Raptor Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Trompowsky Attack: Raptor Variation has a 54.3% (90% CI: 51.7%-56.8%) win rate for white, based on 1.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.3% draw rate.

What is the Trompowsky Attack: Raptor Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Trompowsky Attack: Raptor Variation has a 51.0% (90% CI: 49.3%-52.7%) win rate for white, based on 2.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 4.2% draw rate.

What is the Trompowsky Attack: Raptor Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Trompowsky Attack: Raptor Variation has a 51.7% (90% CI: 50.5%-52.9%) win rate for white, based on 4.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Trompowsky Attack: Raptor Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Trompowsky Attack: Raptor Variation has a 50.4% (90% CI: 49.6%-51.3%) win rate for white, based on 9.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the Trompowsky Attack: Raptor Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Trompowsky Attack: Raptor Variation has a 49.5% (90% CI: 48.9%-50.1%) win rate for white, based on 18K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 4.3% draw rate.

What is the Trompowsky Attack: Raptor Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Trompowsky Attack: Raptor Variation has a 50.6% (90% CI: 50.1%-51.0%) win rate for white, based on 31K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 5.0% draw rate.

What is the Trompowsky Attack: Raptor Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Trompowsky Attack: Raptor Variation has a 51.5% (90% CI: 51.1%-52.0%) win rate for white, based on 33K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 6.2% draw rate.

What is the Trompowsky Attack: Raptor Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Trompowsky Attack: Raptor Variation has a 52.3% (90% CI: 51.2%-53.4%) win rate for white, based on 5.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 7.1% draw rate.

What is the Trompowsky Attack: Raptor Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Trompowsky Attack: Raptor Variation has a 51.5% (90% CI: 51.0%-52.0%) win rate for white (27K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.7%.

What is the Trompowsky Attack: Raptor Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Trompowsky Attack: Raptor Variation has a 50.8% (90% CI: 50.5%-51.1%) win rate for white (69K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.5%.

What is the Trompowsky Attack: Raptor Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Trompowsky Attack: Raptor Variation has a 49.5% (90% CI: 48.7%-50.3%) win rate for white (10K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.6%.

What is the Trompowsky Attack: Raptor Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Trompowsky Attack: Raptor Variation has a 49.6% (90% CI: 46.2%-53.0%) win rate for white (586 Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.2%.

Is the Trompowsky Attack: Raptor Variation a good opening?

The Trompowsky Attack: Raptor Variation is statistically favors white with a 50.9% (90% CI: 50.6%-51.1%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1000-1199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.