What is the Slav Defense: Winawer Countergambit expected score for White?
At all ratings, the Slav Defense: Winawer Countergambit has a 49.6% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 49.4% and 49.9%), based on 100K Lichess games.
100K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
At all ratings, the Slav Defense: Winawer Countergambit has a 49.6% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 49.4% and 49.9%), based on 100K Lichess games.
Deep-dive datasets for this opening
Stable across ratings (~52%)
Best in UltraBullet (54%), worst in Classical (44%)
Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | |||||
| 1000-1199 | |||||
| 1200-1399 | |||||
| 1400-1599 | |||||
| 1600-1799 | |||||
| 1800-1999 | |||||
| 2000-2199 | |||||
| 2200-2499 | |||||
| 2500+ |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
The Slav Defense: Winawer Countergambit has a 47.7% (90% CI: 47.4%-48.0%) win rate for white, based on 100K rated games from Lichess.
The Slav Defense: Winawer Countergambit performs best at 1000-1199 Elo with a 53.9% win rate for white (2.8K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.
UltraBullet (53.8%) outperforms Classical (43.5%) by 10.3%. Choose your time control wisely.
The Slav Defense: Winawer Countergambit has a sharpness score of 96.2 (very decisive), meaning 96.2% of games end decisively. Average game length is 33 moves.
At 0-999 Elo, the Slav Defense: Winawer Countergambit has a 51.9% (90% CI: 49.6%-54.2%) win rate for white, based on 1.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.
At 1000-1199 Elo, the Slav Defense: Winawer Countergambit has a 53.9% (90% CI: 52.3%-55.4%) win rate for white, based on 2.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.
At 1200-1399 Elo, the Slav Defense: Winawer Countergambit has a 52.5% (90% CI: 51.3%-53.7%) win rate for white, based on 4.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.
At 1400-1599 Elo, the Slav Defense: Winawer Countergambit has a 49.4% (90% CI: 48.6%-50.3%) win rate for white, based on 9.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.
At 1600-1799 Elo, the Slav Defense: Winawer Countergambit has a 47.7% (90% CI: 47.0%-48.3%) win rate for white, based on 15K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.
At 1800-1999 Elo, the Slav Defense: Winawer Countergambit has a 46.7% (90% CI: 46.2%-47.3%) win rate for white, based on 25K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.
At 2000-2199 Elo, the Slav Defense: Winawer Countergambit has a 46.2% (90% CI: 45.7%-46.8%) win rate for white, based on 22K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.1% draw rate.
At 2200-2499 Elo, the Slav Defense: Winawer Countergambit has a 46.8% (90% CI: 46.1%-47.4%) win rate for white, based on 17K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 5.2% draw rate.
At 2500+ Elo, the Slav Defense: Winawer Countergambit has a 50.9% (90% CI: 49.5%-52.3%) win rate for white, based on 3.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 41 moves with a 8.7% draw rate.
In UltraBullet games, the Slav Defense: Winawer Countergambit has a 53.8% (90% CI: 50.5%-57.1%) win rate for white (609 Lichess games). Draw rate is 0.7%.
In Bullet games, the Slav Defense: Winawer Countergambit has a 47.9% (90% CI: 47.5%-48.2%) win rate for white (48K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.0%.
In Blitz games, the Slav Defense: Winawer Countergambit has a 47.4% (90% CI: 47.0%-47.8%) win rate for white (44K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.5%.
In Rapid games, the Slav Defense: Winawer Countergambit has a 48.3% (90% CI: 47.3%-49.3%) win rate for white (6.9K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.1%.
In Classical games, the Slav Defense: Winawer Countergambit has a 43.5% (90% CI: 38.6%-48.4%) win rate for white (271 Lichess games). Draw rate is 9.4%.
The Slav Defense: Winawer Countergambit is statistically balanced with a 47.7% (90% CI: 47.4%-48.0%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1000-1199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.