Slav Defense: Winawer Countergambit

100K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score49.6%Range (90% confident): 49.4% – 49.9%Based on 100K games
0%49.6%100%
Range (90% confident): 49.4% – 49.9%
Outcome Distribution
47.7%3.8%48.5%
Win
Draw
Loss
3...e5
Slav Defense: Winawer Countergambit
Analyzen=100K
Avg Length33 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate3.8%

What is the Slav Defense: Winawer Countergambit expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Slav Defense: Winawer Countergambit has a 49.6% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 49.4% and 49.9%), based on 100K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

White Win% by Rating

Stable across ratings (~52%)

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 51.9% win rate (1,327 games)
  • 1000-1199: 53.9% win rate (2,758 games)
  • 1200-1399: 52.5% win rate (4,821 games)
  • 1400-1599: 49.4% win rate (9,013 games)
  • 1600-1799: 47.7% win rate (14,796 games)
  • 1800-1999: 46.7% win rate (24,781 games)
  • 2000-2199: 46.2% win rate (21,778 games)
  • 2200-2499: 46.8% win rate (17,095 games)
  • 2500+: 50.9% win rate (3,390 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (54%), worst in Classical (44%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 53.8% win rate (609 games)
  • Bullet: 47.9% win rate (48,371 games)
  • Blitz: 47.4% win rate (43,610 games)
  • Rapid: 48.3% win rate (6,898 games)
  • Classical: 43.5% win rate (271 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 51.8% expected score (397 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 51.4% expected score (701 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 61.9% expected score (226 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 45.4% expected score (20 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 54.2% expected score (887 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 55.1% expected score (1,329 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 57.5% expected score (518 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 86.4% expected score (4 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 55.9% expected score (41 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 49.9% expected score (1,829 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 56.4% expected score (2,174 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 55.3% expected score (762 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 59.1% expected score (15 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 51.2% expected score (173 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 48.5% expected score (3,722 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 52.4% expected score (4,039 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 52.1% expected score (1,039 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 59.7% expected score (40 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 55.7% expected score (280 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 47.9% expected score (6,796 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 49.8% expected score (6,451 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 50.6% expected score (1,170 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 43.1% expected score (99 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 61.6% expected score (76 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 49.3% expected score (10,876 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 48.1% expected score (12,191 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 46.2% expected score (1,561 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 46.2% expected score (77 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 42.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 48.1% expected score (10,053 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 48.5% expected score (10,403 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 48.0% expected score (1,288 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 45.9% expected score (23 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 27.0% expected score (5 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 49.7% expected score (10,950 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 48.7% expected score (5,813 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 52.7% expected score (318 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 26.2% expected score (9 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 55.6% expected score (2,861 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 53.2% expected score (509 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 52.9% expected score (16 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 61.1% expected score (3 games)

Related Openings

Analyze Slav Defense: Winawer Countergambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Slav Defense: Winawer Countergambit win rate?

The Slav Defense: Winawer Countergambit has a 47.7% (90% CI: 47.4%-48.0%) win rate for white, based on 100K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Slav Defense: Winawer Countergambit perform best?

The Slav Defense: Winawer Countergambit performs best at 1000-1199 Elo with a 53.9% win rate for white (2.8K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Slav Defense: Winawer Countergambit better in blitz or rapid?

UltraBullet (53.8%) outperforms Classical (43.5%) by 10.3%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Slav Defense: Winawer Countergambit?

The Slav Defense: Winawer Countergambit has a sharpness score of 96.2 (very decisive), meaning 96.2% of games end decisively. Average game length is 33 moves.

What is the Slav Defense: Winawer Countergambit win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Slav Defense: Winawer Countergambit has a 51.9% (90% CI: 49.6%-54.2%) win rate for white, based on 1.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.

What is the Slav Defense: Winawer Countergambit win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Slav Defense: Winawer Countergambit has a 53.9% (90% CI: 52.3%-55.4%) win rate for white, based on 2.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.

What is the Slav Defense: Winawer Countergambit win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Slav Defense: Winawer Countergambit has a 52.5% (90% CI: 51.3%-53.7%) win rate for white, based on 4.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.

What is the Slav Defense: Winawer Countergambit win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Slav Defense: Winawer Countergambit has a 49.4% (90% CI: 48.6%-50.3%) win rate for white, based on 9.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.

What is the Slav Defense: Winawer Countergambit win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Slav Defense: Winawer Countergambit has a 47.7% (90% CI: 47.0%-48.3%) win rate for white, based on 15K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.

What is the Slav Defense: Winawer Countergambit win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Slav Defense: Winawer Countergambit has a 46.7% (90% CI: 46.2%-47.3%) win rate for white, based on 25K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the Slav Defense: Winawer Countergambit win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Slav Defense: Winawer Countergambit has a 46.2% (90% CI: 45.7%-46.8%) win rate for white, based on 22K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.1% draw rate.

What is the Slav Defense: Winawer Countergambit win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Slav Defense: Winawer Countergambit has a 46.8% (90% CI: 46.1%-47.4%) win rate for white, based on 17K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 5.2% draw rate.

What is the Slav Defense: Winawer Countergambit win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Slav Defense: Winawer Countergambit has a 50.9% (90% CI: 49.5%-52.3%) win rate for white, based on 3.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 41 moves with a 8.7% draw rate.

What is the Slav Defense: Winawer Countergambit win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Slav Defense: Winawer Countergambit has a 53.8% (90% CI: 50.5%-57.1%) win rate for white (609 Lichess games). Draw rate is 0.7%.

What is the Slav Defense: Winawer Countergambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Slav Defense: Winawer Countergambit has a 47.9% (90% CI: 47.5%-48.2%) win rate for white (48K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.0%.

What is the Slav Defense: Winawer Countergambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Slav Defense: Winawer Countergambit has a 47.4% (90% CI: 47.0%-47.8%) win rate for white (44K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.5%.

What is the Slav Defense: Winawer Countergambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Slav Defense: Winawer Countergambit has a 48.3% (90% CI: 47.3%-49.3%) win rate for white (6.9K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.1%.

What is the Slav Defense: Winawer Countergambit win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Slav Defense: Winawer Countergambit has a 43.5% (90% CI: 38.6%-48.4%) win rate for white (271 Lichess games). Draw rate is 9.4%.

Is the Slav Defense: Winawer Countergambit a good opening?

The Slav Defense: Winawer Countergambit is statistically balanced with a 47.7% (90% CI: 47.4%-48.0%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1000-1199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.