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Semi-Slav Defense: Bogoljubov Variation

3.5K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score53.7%Range (90% confident): 52.3% – 55.1%Based on 3.5K games
0%53.7%100%
Range (90% confident): 52.3% – 55.1%
Outcome Distribution
51.5%4.4%44.1%
Win
Draw
Loss
No position data
Semi-Slav Defense: Bogoljubov Variation
n=3.5K
Avg Length37 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.4%

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Bogoljubov Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Semi-Slav Defense: Bogoljubov Variation has a 53.7% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 52.3% and 55.1%), based on 3.5K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 20% → 50%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 20.0% win rate (6 games)
  • 1000-1199: 55.2% win rate (32 games)
  • 1200-1399: 45.8% win rate (100 games)
  • 1400-1599: 48.2% win rate (338 games)
  • 1600-1799: 51.7% win rate (624 games)
  • 1800-1999: 53.0% win rate (1,040 games)
  • 2000-2199: 51.4% win rate (927 games)
  • 2200-2499: 51.5% win rate (374 games)
  • 2500+: 49.5% win rate (54 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (60%), worst in Rapid (48%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 60.0% win rate (1 games)
  • Bullet: 51.8% win rate (1,274 games)
  • Blitz: 51.7% win rate (1,890 games)
  • Rapid: 48.2% win rate (319 games)
  • Classical: 60.0% win rate (11 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999———
1000-1199——
1200-1399——
1400-1599
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499——
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 31.9% expected score (4 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 55.7% expected score (16 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 78.6% expected score (9 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 38.3% expected score (7 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 47.3% expected score (53 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 45.1% expected score (39 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (8 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 50.3% expected score (151 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 47.5% expected score (160 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 53.9% expected score (24 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 54.2% expected score (240 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 52.1% expected score (333 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (48 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 83.4% expected score (3 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 55.0% expected score (297 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 55.1% expected score (633 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 54.7% expected score (106 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 68.2% expected score (4 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 54.2% expected score (297 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 55.1% expected score (526 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 52.4% expected score (102 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 51.7% expected score (177 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 60.2% expected score (175 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 41.5% expected score (22 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 47.6% expected score (39 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 56.9% expected score (13 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 78.6% expected score (2 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Semi-Slav Defense
51.5%
Variations (5)
Semi-Slav Defense: Accelerated Meran Variation
50.4%
Semi-Slav Defense: Accelerated Move Order
50.8%
Semi-Slav Defense: Anti-Moscow Gambit
48.2%
Semi-Slav Defense: Anti-Noteboom, Stonewall Variation, Portisch Gambit
54.1%
Semi-Slav Defense: Bogoljubow Variation
51.0%

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Bogoljubov Variation win rate?

The Semi-Slav Defense: Bogoljubov Variation has a 51.5% (90% CI: 50.1%-52.9%) win rate for white, based on 3.5K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Semi-Slav Defense: Bogoljubov Variation perform best?

The Semi-Slav Defense: Bogoljubov Variation performs best at 1800-1999 Elo with a 53.0% win rate for white (1.0K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Semi-Slav Defense: Bogoljubov Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (51.7%) outperforms Rapid (48.2%) by 3.5%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Semi-Slav Defense: Bogoljubov Variation?

The Semi-Slav Defense: Bogoljubov Variation has a sharpness score of 95.6 (very decisive), meaning 95.6% of games end decisively. Average game length is 37 moves.

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Bogoljubov Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Semi-Slav Defense: Bogoljubov Variation has a 45.8% (90% CI: 37.8%-54.0%) win rate for white, based on 100 Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 1.5% draw rate.

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Bogoljubov Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Semi-Slav Defense: Bogoljubov Variation has a 48.2% (90% CI: 43.7%-52.6%) win rate for white, based on 338 Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Bogoljubov Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Semi-Slav Defense: Bogoljubov Variation has a 51.7% (90% CI: 48.4%-55.0%) win rate for white, based on 624 Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Bogoljubov Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Semi-Slav Defense: Bogoljubov Variation has a 53.0% (90% CI: 50.4%-55.5%) win rate for white, based on 1.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.3% draw rate.

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Bogoljubov Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Semi-Slav Defense: Bogoljubov Variation has a 51.4% (90% CI: 48.7%-54.1%) win rate for white, based on 927 Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 6.0% draw rate.

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Bogoljubov Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Semi-Slav Defense: Bogoljubov Variation has a 51.5% (90% CI: 47.3%-55.8%) win rate for white, based on 374 Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 7.1% draw rate.

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Bogoljubov Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Semi-Slav Defense: Bogoljubov Variation has a 51.8% (90% CI: 49.5%-54.1%) win rate for white (1.3K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.5%.

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Bogoljubov Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Semi-Slav Defense: Bogoljubov Variation has a 51.7% (90% CI: 49.8%-53.6%) win rate for white (1.9K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.2%.

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Bogoljubov Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Semi-Slav Defense: Bogoljubov Variation has a 48.2% (90% CI: 43.6%-52.8%) win rate for white (319 Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.6%.

Is the Semi-Slav Defense: Bogoljubov Variation a good opening?

The Semi-Slav Defense: Bogoljubov Variation is statistically favors white with a 51.5% (90% CI: 50.1%-52.9%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1800-1999 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.