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Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Classical Variation

141K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score48.9%Range (90% confident): 48.7% – 49.1%Based on 141K games
0%48.9%100%
Range (90% confident): 48.7% – 49.1%
Outcome Distribution
46.7%4.3%48.9%
Win
Draw
Loss
4.Nf3
Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Classical Variation
Analyzen=141K
Avg Length32 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.3%

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Classical Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Classical Variation has a 48.9% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 48.7% and 49.1%), based on 141K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Stable across ratings (~48%)

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 48.1% win rate (218 games)
  • 1000-1199: 50.0% win rate (678 games)
  • 1200-1399: 49.6% win rate (2,391 games)
  • 1400-1599: 48.6% win rate (7,953 games)
  • 1600-1799: 47.6% win rate (20,992 games)
  • 1800-1999: 46.0% win rate (40,018 games)
  • 2000-2199: 45.5% win rate (40,535 games)
  • 2200-2499: 47.7% win rate (24,918 games)
  • 2500+: 49.3% win rate (3,683 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Similar across time controls (~47%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 45.9% win rate (1,006 games)
  • Bullet: 47.4% win rate (58,944 games)
  • Blitz: 46.1% win rate (67,590 games)
  • Rapid: 46.5% win rate (13,215 games)
  • Classical: 47.0% win rate (631 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 35.7% expected score (2 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 46.7% expected score (104 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 48.8% expected score (77 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 61.3% expected score (34 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 63.4% expected score (6 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 51.9% expected score (353 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 50.8% expected score (270 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 45.0% expected score (48 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 43.7% expected score (30 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 50.1% expected score (1,119 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 51.4% expected score (1,052 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 54.6% expected score (185 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 42.4% expected score (5 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 40.9% expected score (119 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 50.5% expected score (3,233 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 49.8% expected score (3,919 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 51.5% expected score (662 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 59.3% expected score (20 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 43.0% expected score (234 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 49.2% expected score (7,087 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 49.4% expected score (11,253 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 49.7% expected score (2,259 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (159 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 46.4% expected score (363 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 48.4% expected score (11,911 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 47.9% expected score (23,080 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 48.1% expected score (4,369 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 50.2% expected score (295 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 54.9% expected score (195 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 48.3% expected score (16,420 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 47.3% expected score (19,435 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 48.3% expected score (4,351 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 48.9% expected score (134 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 66.5% expected score (53 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 49.8% expected score (15,562 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 51.2% expected score (8,009 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 52.4% expected score (1,279 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 65.2% expected score (15 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 52.8% expected score (3,155 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 49.3% expected score (495 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 53.4% expected score (28 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Scandinavian Defense
48.5%
Variations (5)
Scandinavian Defense: Anderssen Counterattack
51.7%
Scandinavian Defense: Anderssen Counterattack, Collijn Variation
52.9%
Scandinavian Defense: Anderssen Counterattack, Goteborg System
54.6%
Scandinavian Defense: Anderssen Counterattack, Orthodox Attack
44.3%
Scandinavian Defense: Blackburne Gambit
47.6%
Analyze Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Classical Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Classical Variation win rate?

The Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Classical Variation has a 46.7% (90% CI: 46.5%-46.9%) win rate for white, based on 141K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Classical Variation perform best?

The Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Classical Variation performs best at 1200-1399 Elo with a 49.6% win rate for white (2.4K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Classical Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (47.4%) outperforms UltraBullet (45.9%) by 1.5%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Classical Variation?

The Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Classical Variation has a sharpness score of 95.7 (very decisive), meaning 95.7% of games end decisively. Average game length is 32 moves.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Classical Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Classical Variation has a 48.1% (90% CI: 42.5%-53.6%) win rate for white, based on 218 Lichess games. Average game length is 23 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Classical Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Classical Variation has a 50.0% (90% CI: 46.8%-53.1%) win rate for white, based on 678 Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 2.3% draw rate.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Classical Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Classical Variation has a 49.6% (90% CI: 48.0%-51.3%) win rate for white, based on 2.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Classical Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Classical Variation has a 48.6% (90% CI: 47.7%-49.5%) win rate for white, based on 8.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Classical Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Classical Variation has a 47.6% (90% CI: 47.1%-48.2%) win rate for white, based on 21K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Classical Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Classical Variation has a 46.0% (90% CI: 45.6%-46.4%) win rate for white, based on 40K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 4.1% draw rate.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Classical Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Classical Variation has a 45.5% (90% CI: 45.1%-45.9%) win rate for white, based on 41K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 4.7% draw rate.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Classical Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Classical Variation has a 47.7% (90% CI: 47.2%-48.2%) win rate for white, based on 25K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 5.5% draw rate.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Classical Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Classical Variation has a 49.3% (90% CI: 47.9%-50.6%) win rate for white, based on 3.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 6.1% draw rate.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Classical Variation win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Classical Variation has a 45.9% (90% CI: 43.3%-48.5%) win rate for white (1.0K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.5%.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Classical Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Classical Variation has a 47.4% (90% CI: 47.1%-47.7%) win rate for white (59K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.6%.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Classical Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Classical Variation has a 46.1% (90% CI: 45.8%-46.5%) win rate for white (68K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.8%.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Classical Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Classical Variation has a 46.5% (90% CI: 45.8%-47.2%) win rate for white (13K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.3%.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Classical Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Classical Variation has a 47.0% (90% CI: 43.8%-50.3%) win rate for white (631 Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.0%.

Is the Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Classical Variation a good opening?

The Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Classical Variation is statistically balanced with a 46.7% (90% CI: 46.5%-46.9%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1200-1399 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.