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Scandinavian Defense: Lasker Variation

148K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score54.0%Range (90% confident): 53.8% – 54.2%Based on 148K games
0%54.0%100%
Range (90% confident): 53.8% – 54.2%
Outcome Distribution
52.0%4.0%44.0%
Win
Draw
Loss
6.h3
Scandinavian Defense: Lasker Variation
Analyzen=148K
Avg Length33 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.0%

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Lasker Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Scandinavian Defense: Lasker Variation has a 54.0% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 53.8% and 54.2%), based on 148K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Stable across ratings (~50%)

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 50.4% win rate (1,804 games)
  • 1000-1199: 49.0% win rate (5,542 games)
  • 1200-1399: 50.1% win rate (10,644 games)
  • 1400-1599: 50.8% win rate (17,268 games)
  • 1600-1799: 50.8% win rate (23,573 games)
  • 1800-1999: 52.8% win rate (29,132 games)
  • 2000-2199: 53.4% win rate (28,826 games)
  • 2200-2499: 52.9% win rate (25,291 games)
  • 2500+: 52.1% win rate (5,994 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (55%), worst in Blitz (51%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 52.1% win rate (44,681 games)
  • Blitz: 51.3% win rate (82,718 games)
  • Rapid: 54.4% win rate (19,998 games)
  • Classical: 54.8% win rate (677 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199—
1200-1399—
1400-1599—
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 47.8% expected score (731 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 53.1% expected score (878 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 58.7% expected score (195 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 47.3% expected score (1,767 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 51.2% expected score (2,851 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 54.3% expected score (920 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 31.9% expected score (4 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 50.2% expected score (2,399 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 51.3% expected score (5,845 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 54.0% expected score (2,368 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (32 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 49.8% expected score (3,956 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 52.2% expected score (9,323 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 55.5% expected score (3,879 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 53.6% expected score (110 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 52.7% expected score (5,764 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 51.7% expected score (13,249 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 55.0% expected score (4,336 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 59.1% expected score (224 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 54.9% expected score (6,717 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 54.1% expected score (17,844 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 57.5% expected score (4,372 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 58.5% expected score (199 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 54.0% expected score (7,342 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 55.5% expected score (18,885 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 59.6% expected score (2,502 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 62.2% expected score (97 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 56.1% expected score (11,634 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 53.9% expected score (12,255 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 63.2% expected score (1,391 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 55.3% expected score (4,371 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 55.6% expected score (1,588 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 61.0% expected score (35 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Scandinavian Defense
48.5%
Variations (5)
Scandinavian Defense: Anderssen Counterattack
51.7%
Scandinavian Defense: Anderssen Counterattack, Collijn Variation
52.9%
Scandinavian Defense: Anderssen Counterattack, Goteborg System
54.6%
Scandinavian Defense: Anderssen Counterattack, Orthodox Attack
44.3%
Scandinavian Defense: Blackburne Gambit
47.6%
Analyze Scandinavian Defense: Lasker Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Lasker Variation win rate?

The Scandinavian Defense: Lasker Variation has a 52.0% (90% CI: 51.8%-52.2%) win rate for white, based on 148K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Scandinavian Defense: Lasker Variation perform best?

The Scandinavian Defense: Lasker Variation performs best at 2000-2199 Elo with a 53.4% win rate for white (29K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Scandinavian Defense: Lasker Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Rapid (54.4%) outperforms Blitz (51.3%) by 3.1%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Scandinavian Defense: Lasker Variation?

The Scandinavian Defense: Lasker Variation has a sharpness score of 96.0 (very decisive), meaning 96.0% of games end decisively. Average game length is 33 moves.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Lasker Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Scandinavian Defense: Lasker Variation has a 50.4% (90% CI: 48.5%-52.4%) win rate for white, based on 1.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 2.2% draw rate.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Lasker Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Scandinavian Defense: Lasker Variation has a 49.0% (90% CI: 47.9%-50.1%) win rate for white, based on 5.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Lasker Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Scandinavian Defense: Lasker Variation has a 50.1% (90% CI: 49.3%-50.9%) win rate for white, based on 11K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Lasker Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Scandinavian Defense: Lasker Variation has a 50.8% (90% CI: 50.1%-51.4%) win rate for white, based on 17K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Lasker Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Scandinavian Defense: Lasker Variation has a 50.8% (90% CI: 50.3%-51.4%) win rate for white, based on 24K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Lasker Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Scandinavian Defense: Lasker Variation has a 52.8% (90% CI: 52.3%-53.3%) win rate for white, based on 29K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Lasker Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Scandinavian Defense: Lasker Variation has a 53.4% (90% CI: 52.9%-53.9%) win rate for white, based on 29K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.1% draw rate.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Lasker Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Scandinavian Defense: Lasker Variation has a 52.9% (90% CI: 52.4%-53.4%) win rate for white, based on 25K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 5.0% draw rate.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Lasker Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Scandinavian Defense: Lasker Variation has a 52.1% (90% CI: 51.1%-53.2%) win rate for white, based on 6.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 6.5% draw rate.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Lasker Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Scandinavian Defense: Lasker Variation has a 52.1% (90% CI: 51.8%-52.5%) win rate for white (45K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.1%.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Lasker Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Scandinavian Defense: Lasker Variation has a 51.3% (90% CI: 51.0%-51.6%) win rate for white (83K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.3%.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Lasker Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Scandinavian Defense: Lasker Variation has a 54.4% (90% CI: 53.8%-55.0%) win rate for white (20K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.5%.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Lasker Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Scandinavian Defense: Lasker Variation has a 54.8% (90% CI: 51.6%-57.9%) win rate for white (677 Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.7%.

Is the Scandinavian Defense: Lasker Variation a good opening?

The Scandinavian Defense: Lasker Variation is statistically favors white with a 52.0% (90% CI: 51.8%-52.2%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2000-2199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.