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Scandinavian Defense: Grünfeld Variation

5.7K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score56.7%Range (90% confident): 55.6% – 57.8%Based on 5.7K games
0%56.7%100%
Range (90% confident): 55.6% – 57.8%
Outcome Distribution
54.6%4.1%41.3%
Win
Draw
Loss
7.g4
Scandinavian Defense: Grünfeld Variation
Analyzen=5.7K
Avg Length35 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.1%

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Grünfeld Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Scandinavian Defense: Grünfeld Variation has a 56.7% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 55.6% and 57.8%), based on 5.7K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 71% → 58%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 71.4% win rate (2 games)
  • 1000-1199: 51.5% win rate (15 games)
  • 1200-1399: 50.9% win rate (27 games)
  • 1400-1599: 67.4% win rate (66 games)
  • 1600-1799: 64.0% win rate (215 games)
  • 1800-1999: 53.8% win rate (639 games)
  • 2000-2199: 55.0% win rate (1,952 games)
  • 2200-2499: 52.1% win rate (2,107 games)
  • 2500+: 57.9% win rate (649 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (58%), worst in Blitz (53%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 56.7% win rate (1,824 games)
  • Blitz: 53.4% win rate (3,528 games)
  • Rapid: 55.6% win rate (305 games)
  • Classical: 57.6% win rate (15 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999———
1000-1199——
1200-1399——
1400-1599——
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 44.2% expected score (7 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 63.4% expected score (6 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 64.3% expected score (2 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 60.4% expected score (13 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 41.3% expected score (10 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 77.7% expected score (22 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 64.7% expected score (36 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 60.6% expected score (8 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 64.0% expected score (81 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 67.0% expected score (102 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 63.6% expected score (28 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 77.3% expected score (4 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 59.0% expected score (144 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 54.2% expected score (446 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 59.1% expected score (48 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 55.7% expected score (414 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 56.8% expected score (1,445 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 60.6% expected score (84 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 59.6% expected score (9 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 56.0% expected score (678 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 53.8% expected score (1,308 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 53.7% expected score (120 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 60.9% expected score (465 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 58.6% expected score (174 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 54.4% expected score (10 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Scandinavian Defense
48.5%
Variations (5)
Scandinavian Defense: Anderssen Counterattack
51.7%
Scandinavian Defense: Anderssen Counterattack, Collijn Variation
52.9%
Scandinavian Defense: Anderssen Counterattack, Goteborg System
54.6%
Scandinavian Defense: Anderssen Counterattack, Orthodox Attack
44.3%
Scandinavian Defense: Blackburne Gambit
47.6%
Analyze Scandinavian Defense: Grünfeld Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Grünfeld Variation win rate?

The Scandinavian Defense: Grünfeld Variation has a 54.6% (90% CI: 53.5%-55.7%) win rate for white, based on 5.7K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Scandinavian Defense: Grünfeld Variation perform best?

The Scandinavian Defense: Grünfeld Variation performs best at 1600-1799 Elo with a 64.0% win rate for white (215 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Scandinavian Defense: Grünfeld Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (56.7%) outperforms Rapid (55.6%) by 1.1%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Scandinavian Defense: Grünfeld Variation?

The Scandinavian Defense: Grünfeld Variation has a sharpness score of 95.9 (very decisive), meaning 95.9% of games end decisively. Average game length is 35 moves.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Grünfeld Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Scandinavian Defense: Grünfeld Variation has a 64.0% (90% CI: 58.5%-69.3%) win rate for white, based on 215 Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Grünfeld Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Scandinavian Defense: Grünfeld Variation has a 53.8% (90% CI: 50.5%-57.0%) win rate for white, based on 639 Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Grünfeld Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Scandinavian Defense: Grünfeld Variation has a 55.0% (90% CI: 53.1%-56.8%) win rate for white, based on 2.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Grünfeld Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Scandinavian Defense: Grünfeld Variation has a 52.1% (90% CI: 50.3%-53.8%) win rate for white, based on 2.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.8% draw rate.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Grünfeld Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Scandinavian Defense: Grünfeld Variation has a 57.9% (90% CI: 54.7%-61.0%) win rate for white, based on 649 Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 4.5% draw rate.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Grünfeld Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Scandinavian Defense: Grünfeld Variation has a 56.7% (90% CI: 54.8%-58.6%) win rate for white (1.8K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.7%.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Grünfeld Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Scandinavian Defense: Grünfeld Variation has a 53.4% (90% CI: 52.0%-54.8%) win rate for white (3.5K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.8%.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Grünfeld Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Scandinavian Defense: Grünfeld Variation has a 55.6% (90% CI: 50.9%-60.3%) win rate for white (305 Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.7%.

Is the Scandinavian Defense: Grünfeld Variation a good opening?

The Scandinavian Defense: Grünfeld Variation is statistically favors white with a 54.6% (90% CI: 53.5%-55.7%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1600-1799 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.