Russian Game: Moody Gambit

4.1K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
White Expected Score47.7%Range (90% confident): 46.4% – 49.0%Based on 4.1K games
0%47.7%100%
Range (90% confident): 46.4% – 49.0%
Outcome Distribution
46.0%3.4%50.6%
Win
Draw
Loss
No position data
Russian Game: Moody Gambit
n=4.1K
Avg Length29 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.4%

What is the Russian Game: Moody Gambit expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Russian Game: Moody Gambit has a 47.7% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 46.4% and 49.0%), based on 4.1K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 44% → 51%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 44.0% win rate (1,411 games)
  • 1000-1199: 46.1% win rate (1,183 games)
  • 1200-1399: 46.3% win rate (609 games)
  • 1400-1599: 41.6% win rate (375 games)
  • 1600-1799: 46.8% win rate (147 games)
  • 1800-1999: 60.4% win rate (213 games)
  • 2000-2199: 37.8% win rate (21 games)
  • 2200-2499: 56.9% win rate (82 games)
  • 2500+: 51.2% win rate (19 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (52%), worst in Classical (36%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 39.1% win rate (10 games)
  • Bullet: 51.5% win rate (963 games)
  • Blitz: 45.4% win rate (2,039 games)
  • Rapid: 42.4% win rate (1,012 games)
  • Classical: 36.0% win rate (36 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 43.6% expected score (218 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 47.5% expected score (788 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 45.3% expected score (402 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 16.7% expected score (3 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 51.0% expected score (156 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 47.2% expected score (720 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 47.7% expected score (294 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 28.3% expected score (10 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 48.1% expected score (156 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 50.6% expected score (271 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 43.8% expected score (166 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 42.6% expected score (12 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 55.1% expected score (137 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 36.6% expected score (132 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 36.5% expected score (95 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (49 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 45.8% expected score (57 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 45.0% expected score (38 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 63.4% expected score (155 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 55.0% expected score (49 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (9 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 54.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 38.3% expected score (7 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 16.7% expected score (3 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 68.4% expected score (64 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 32.8% expected score (13 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 42.4% expected score (5 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 60.9% expected score (17 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 21.5% expected score (2 games)

Related Openings

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Russian Game: Moody Gambit win rate?

The Russian Game: Moody Gambit has a 46.0% (90% CI: 44.7%-47.3%) win rate for white, based on 4.1K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Russian Game: Moody Gambit perform best?

The Russian Game: Moody Gambit performs best at 1800-1999 Elo with a 60.4% win rate for white (213 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Russian Game: Moody Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (51.5%) outperforms Rapid (42.4%) by 9.1%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Russian Game: Moody Gambit?

The Russian Game: Moody Gambit has a sharpness score of 96.6 (very decisive), meaning 96.6% of games end decisively. Average game length is 29 moves.

What is the Russian Game: Moody Gambit win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Russian Game: Moody Gambit has a 44.0% (90% CI: 41.8%-46.2%) win rate for white, based on 1.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 4.6% draw rate.

What is the Russian Game: Moody Gambit win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Russian Game: Moody Gambit has a 46.1% (90% CI: 43.7%-48.4%) win rate for white, based on 1.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the Russian Game: Moody Gambit win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Russian Game: Moody Gambit has a 46.3% (90% CI: 43.0%-49.6%) win rate for white, based on 609 Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Russian Game: Moody Gambit win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Russian Game: Moody Gambit has a 41.6% (90% CI: 37.4%-45.8%) win rate for white, based on 375 Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the Russian Game: Moody Gambit win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Russian Game: Moody Gambit has a 46.8% (90% CI: 40.1%-53.5%) win rate for white, based on 147 Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.

What is the Russian Game: Moody Gambit win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Russian Game: Moody Gambit has a 60.4% (90% CI: 54.8%-65.8%) win rate for white, based on 213 Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 1.2% draw rate.

What is the Russian Game: Moody Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Russian Game: Moody Gambit has a 51.5% (90% CI: 48.8%-54.1%) win rate for white (963 Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.6%.

What is the Russian Game: Moody Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Russian Game: Moody Gambit has a 45.4% (90% CI: 43.5%-47.2%) win rate for white (2.0K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.3%.

What is the Russian Game: Moody Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Russian Game: Moody Gambit has a 42.4% (90% CI: 39.8%-44.9%) win rate for white (1.0K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.7%.

Is the Russian Game: Moody Gambit a good opening?

The Russian Game: Moody Gambit is slightly favors black with a 46.0% (90% CI: 44.7%-47.3%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1800-1999 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.