What is the Russian Game: Modern Attack expected score for White?
At all ratings, the Russian Game: Modern Attack has a 53.2% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 53.1% and 53.3%), based on 890K Lichess games.
890K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
At all ratings, the Russian Game: Modern Attack has a 53.2% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 53.1% and 53.3%), based on 890K Lichess games.
Declines with rating: 52% → 49%
Best in UltraBullet (55%), worst in Blitz (51%)
Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | |||||
| 1000-1199 | |||||
| 1200-1399 | |||||
| 1400-1599 | |||||
| 1600-1799 | |||||
| 1800-1999 | |||||
| 2000-2199 | |||||
| 2200-2499 | |||||
| 2500+ | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
The Russian Game: Modern Attack has a 51.5% (90% CI: 51.4%-51.6%) win rate for white, based on 890K rated games from Lichess.
The Russian Game: Modern Attack performs best at 1400-1599 Elo with a 52.0% win rate for white (171K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.
UltraBullet (55.4%) outperforms Classical (51.8%) by 3.6%. Choose your time control wisely.
The Russian Game: Modern Attack has a sharpness score of 96.6 (very decisive), meaning 96.6% of games end decisively. Average game length is 30 moves.
At 0-999 Elo, the Russian Game: Modern Attack has a 51.5% (90% CI: 51.1%-51.8%) win rate for white, based on 69K Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.
At 1000-1199 Elo, the Russian Game: Modern Attack has a 52.0% (90% CI: 51.7%-52.3%) win rate for white, based on 92K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.
At 1200-1399 Elo, the Russian Game: Modern Attack has a 51.9% (90% CI: 51.7%-52.2%) win rate for white, based on 127K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.
At 1400-1599 Elo, the Russian Game: Modern Attack has a 52.0% (90% CI: 51.8%-52.2%) win rate for white, based on 171K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.
At 1600-1799 Elo, the Russian Game: Modern Attack has a 51.6% (90% CI: 51.4%-51.8%) win rate for white, based on 180K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.
At 1800-1999 Elo, the Russian Game: Modern Attack has a 51.0% (90% CI: 50.8%-51.2%) win rate for white, based on 143K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 4.0% draw rate.
At 2000-2199 Elo, the Russian Game: Modern Attack has a 50.1% (90% CI: 49.8%-50.4%) win rate for white, based on 76K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.9% draw rate.
At 2200-2499 Elo, the Russian Game: Modern Attack has a 50.1% (90% CI: 49.6%-50.5%) win rate for white, based on 29K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 5.8% draw rate.
At 2500+ Elo, the Russian Game: Modern Attack has a 49.1% (90% CI: 47.8%-50.5%) win rate for white, based on 3.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 8.0% draw rate.
In UltraBullet games, the Russian Game: Modern Attack has a 55.4% (90% CI: 54.0%-56.8%) win rate for white (3.4K Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.4%.
In Bullet games, the Russian Game: Modern Attack has a 51.7% (90% CI: 51.6%-51.9%) win rate for white (351K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.6%.
In Blitz games, the Russian Game: Modern Attack has a 51.2% (90% CI: 51.1%-51.3%) win rate for white (404K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.9%.
In Rapid games, the Russian Game: Modern Attack has a 51.6% (90% CI: 51.4%-51.8%) win rate for white (127K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.3%.
In Classical games, the Russian Game: Modern Attack has a 51.8% (90% CI: 50.7%-53.0%) win rate for white (4.8K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.1%.
The Russian Game: Modern Attack is statistically favors white with a 51.5% (90% CI: 51.4%-51.6%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1400-1599 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.