Russian Game: Modern Attack, Center Attack
25K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
White expected score · All ratings · All speeds
50.1%
the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. At best 50.6%.
Measured over 25K games at this level and clock.
Roughly even — the middlegame decides more than this opening choice does.
Outcomes for White
Draw 4.5 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 25K games
- Rank among the families White can choose here
- not ranked — this is a variation, not a family
- Games in this context
- 25K
- Best context
- 58.5% at 1200-1399 Blitz
- Worst context
- 46.0% at 2200-2499 Bullet
- Average game length
- 32 moves
- Games that end decisively
- 95.5%
- Draws
- 4.5%
Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.
Where it holds · White score by rating × clock
Green is clearly ahead for White, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It holds about the same all the way up, near 57.9%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | |||||
| 1000-1199 | |||||
| 1200-1399 | |||||
| 1400-1599 | |||||
| 1600-1799 | |||||
| 1800-1999 | |||||
| 2000-2199 | |||||
| 2200-2499 | — | ||||
| 2500+ | — | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
- 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
- 0-999 rating, Bullet: 64.3% expected score (195 games)
- 0-999 rating, Blitz: 59.1% expected score (258 games)
- 0-999 rating, Rapid: 66.1% expected score (126 games)
- 0-999 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 54.6% expected score (386 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 57.2% expected score (334 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 60.9% expected score (155 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 58.3% expected score (557 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 58.5% expected score (505 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 55.3% expected score (197 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 62.0% expected score (11 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 53.0% expected score (826 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 54.6% expected score (948 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 61.1% expected score (266 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 76.3% expected score (27 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 88.5% expected score (5 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 50.6% expected score (1,438 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 49.4% expected score (1,937 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 53.5% expected score (410 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 53.3% expected score (45 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 47.5% expected score (1,788 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 46.3% expected score (3,206 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 47.8% expected score (637 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 46.5% expected score (69 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 68.2% expected score (4 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 48.3% expected score (2,158 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 47.8% expected score (3,453 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 47.8% expected score (629 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 62.7% expected score (46 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 46.0% expected score (1,925 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 50.3% expected score (1,737 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 51.4% expected score (315 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (8 games)
- 2500+ rating, Bullet: 52.7% expected score (461 games)
- 2500+ rating, Blitz: 58.3% expected score (186 games)
- 2500+ rating, Rapid: 65.7% expected score (24 games)
Related Openings
Methodology
Across every rating and clock, the Russian Game: Modern Attack, Center Attack scores 50.1% for White — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 49.6% and 50.6% — from 25K Lichess games. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.
How the figures are made
- Whose games these are
- 25K+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
- Which games we count
- Rated games only — nothing casual.
- Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
- At least 2 moves played.
- A game is filed under White’s rating.
- Why every number comes with a range
- A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
- How much we need before we say anything
- An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Russian Game: Modern Attack, Center Attack win rate?
Playing the Russian Game: Modern Attack, Center Attack, White wins 47.8%, draws 4.5% and loses 47.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 50.1%. It rests on 25K rated games from Lichess.
At what rating does the Russian Game: Modern Attack, Center Attack perform best?
The Russian Game: Modern Attack, Center Attack performs best for White at 0-999, with an Expected Score of 62.4% (581 games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read.
Is the Russian Game: Modern Attack, Center Attack better in blitz or rapid?
For White, the Russian Game: Modern Attack, Center Attack scores higher in Rapid: an Expected Score of 49.6% in Blitz (13K games) against 52.6% in Rapid (2.8K games).
How sharp is the Russian Game: Modern Attack, Center Attack?
The Russian Game: Modern Attack, Center Attack has a sharpness score of 95.5 (very decisive), meaning 95.5% of games end decisively. Average game length is 32 moves.
What is the Russian Game: Modern Attack, Center Attack win rate at 0-999?
At 0-999, White wins 61.2%, draws 2.3% and loses 36.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 62.4%. It rests on 581 Lichess games, which average 23 moves.
What is the Russian Game: Modern Attack, Center Attack win rate at 1000-1199?
At 1000-1199, White wins 55.9%, draws 1.6% and loses 42.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 56.8%. It rests on 879 Lichess games, which average 23 moves.
What is the Russian Game: Modern Attack, Center Attack win rate at 1200-1399?
At 1200-1399, White wins 57.2%, draws 1.5% and loses 41.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 58.0%. It rests on 1.3K Lichess games, which average 25 moves.
What is the Russian Game: Modern Attack, Center Attack win rate at 1400-1599?
At 1400-1599, White wins 54.3%, draws 1.6% and loses 44.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 55.1%. It rests on 2.1K Lichess games, which average 26 moves.
What is the Russian Game: Modern Attack, Center Attack win rate at 1600-1799?
At 1600-1799, White wins 48.8%, draws 3.2% and loses 48.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 50.4%. It rests on 3.8K Lichess games, which average 29 moves.
What is the Russian Game: Modern Attack, Center Attack win rate at 1800-1999?
At 1800-1999, White wins 44.5%, draws 4.6% and loses 50.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 46.8%. It rests on 5.7K Lichess games, which average 33 moves.
What is the Russian Game: Modern Attack, Center Attack win rate at 2000-2199?
At 2000-2199, White wins 45.4%, draws 5.5% and loses 49.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.1%. It rests on 6.3K Lichess games, which average 36 moves.
What is the Russian Game: Modern Attack, Center Attack win rate at 2200-2499?
At 2200-2499, White wins 44.8%, draws 7.0% and loses 48.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.3%. It rests on 4.0K Lichess games, which average 38 moves.
What is the Russian Game: Modern Attack, Center Attack win rate at 2500+?
At 2500+, White wins 50.2%, draws 9.1% and loses 40.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 54.8%. It rests on 671 Lichess games, which average 42 moves.
What is the Russian Game: Modern Attack, Center Attack win rate in Bullet?
In Bullet, White wins 48.2%, draws 3.2% and loses 48.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.8%. It rests on 9.7K Lichess games.
What is the Russian Game: Modern Attack, Center Attack win rate in Blitz?
In Blitz, White wins 47.1%, draws 5.0% and loses 47.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.6%. It rests on 13K Lichess games.
What is the Russian Game: Modern Attack, Center Attack win rate in Rapid?
In Rapid, White wins 49.2%, draws 6.9% and loses 44.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 52.6%. It rests on 2.8K Lichess games.
What is the Russian Game: Modern Attack, Center Attack win rate in Classical?
In Classical, White wins 52.2%, draws 8.7% and loses 39.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 56.6%. It rests on 210 Lichess games.
Is the Russian Game: Modern Attack, Center Attack a good opening?
The Russian Game: Modern Attack, Center Attack is about level. Across all ratings, White wins 47.8% of its games and loses 47.7%. It performs best at 0-999. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.