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Analyzer

Russian Game: Modern Attack, Steinitz Variation

504 games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score60.0%Range (90% confident): 56.4% – 63.6%Based on 504 games
0%60.0%100%
Range (90% confident): 56.4% – 63.6%
Outcome Distribution
58.9%2.3%38.9%
Win
Draw
Loss
No position data
Russian Game: Modern Attack, Steinitz Variation
n=504
Avg Length28 moves
Sharpness98%
Draw Rate2.3%

What is the Russian Game: Modern Attack, Steinitz Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Russian Game: Modern Attack, Steinitz Variation has a 60.0% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 56.4% and 63.6%), based on 504 Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 8.8% · Blitz best · Bullet worst

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 67% → 33%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 67.0% win rate (50 games)
  • 1000-1199: 63.2% win rate (61 games)
  • 1200-1399: 69.0% win rate (63 games)
  • 1400-1599: 52.4% win rate (72 games)
  • 1600-1799: 46.6% win rate (94 games)
  • 1800-1999: 55.1% win rate (92 games)
  • 2000-2199: 61.3% win rate (45 games)
  • 2200-2499: 72.5% win rate (24 games)
  • 2500+: 33.3% win rate (3 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Blitz (62%), worst in UltraBullet (33%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 33.3% win rate (3 games)
  • Bullet: 53.2% win rate (161 games)
  • Blitz: 62.0% win rate (230 games)
  • Rapid: 61.1% win rate (104 games)
  • Classical: 46.7% win rate (6 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199—
1200-1399—
1400-1599
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199——
2200-2499——
2500+————

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (8 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 69.3% expected score (27 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 74.3% expected score (15 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 72.6% expected score (14 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 58.8% expected score (27 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 67.1% expected score (19 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 67.2% expected score (16 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 65.4% expected score (31 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 75.8% expected score (14 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 61.8% expected score (24 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 57.1% expected score (34 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 34.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 39.9% expected score (28 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 51.9% expected score (51 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 46.8% expected score (14 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 48.9% expected score (43 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 69.1% expected score (30 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 58.2% expected score (17 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 56.5% expected score (14 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 67.8% expected score (21 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 58.7% expected score (10 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 58.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 83.4% expected score (9 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 86.4% expected score (4 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 38.9% expected score (3 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Russian Game
48.9%
Variations (5)
Russian Game: Classical Attack
50.6%
Russian Game: Classical Attack, Berger Variation
45.9%
Russian Game: Classical Attack, Chigorin Variation
44.5%
Russian Game: Classical Attack, Chigorin Variation, Browne Attack
47.4%
Russian Game: Classical Attack, Chigorin Variation, Main Line
44.6%

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Russian Game: Modern Attack, Steinitz Variation win rate?

The Russian Game: Modern Attack, Steinitz Variation has a 58.9% (90% CI: 55.2%-62.4%) win rate for white, based on 504 rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Russian Game: Modern Attack, Steinitz Variation perform best?

The Russian Game: Modern Attack, Steinitz Variation performs best at 1200-1399 Elo with a 69.0% win rate for white (63 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Russian Game: Modern Attack, Steinitz Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (62.0%) outperforms Bullet (53.2%) by 8.8%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Russian Game: Modern Attack, Steinitz Variation?

The Russian Game: Modern Attack, Steinitz Variation has a sharpness score of 97.7 (very decisive), meaning 97.7% of games end decisively. Average game length is 28 moves.

What is the Russian Game: Modern Attack, Steinitz Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Russian Game: Modern Attack, Steinitz Variation has a 53.2% (90% CI: 46.8%-59.6%) win rate for white (161 Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.8%.

What is the Russian Game: Modern Attack, Steinitz Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Russian Game: Modern Attack, Steinitz Variation has a 62.0% (90% CI: 56.7%-67.2%) win rate for white (230 Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.9%.

What is the Russian Game: Modern Attack, Steinitz Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Russian Game: Modern Attack, Steinitz Variation has a 61.1% (90% CI: 53.2%-68.8%) win rate for white (104 Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.3%.

Is the Russian Game: Modern Attack, Steinitz Variation a good opening?

The Russian Game: Modern Attack, Steinitz Variation is statistically favors white with a 58.9% (90% CI: 55.2%-62.4%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1200-1399 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.