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Rapport-Jobava System

1 variations · 7.7M games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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a1
b
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3...g6
Analyze this line move by move

White expected score · Overall

54.4%

45%60%
Floor54.3%

the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. Its best is the same figure — the band is too tight to plot.

Measured over 7.7M games at this level and clock.

Play Thiswins clearly more often than it loses at this level

A strong opening choice for White at this level and clock.

Outcomes for White

Draw 3.9 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 7.7M games

Rank among the families White can choose here
#5 of 56
Games in this context
7.7M
Best context
59.0% at 2500+ Rapid
Worst context
49.1% at 1200-1399 UltraBullet
Variations measured
1
Average game length
33 moves

Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.

What to play from here

White · Overall
#1Rapport-Jobava SystemBest here
1.d4 d5 2.Nc3 Nf6 3.Bf4
Floor 54.3% · 7.7M games
54.4%

These are the moves players actually choose from here, ranked by how they score. A higher score is a better bet on the numbers alone — familiarity and playstyle still matter.

Where it holds · White score by rating × clock

Green is clearly ahead for White, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It gets better as the rating rises: 53.8% at 0-999, 62.2% at 2500+.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 52.7% expected score (183 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 56.1% expected score (84,739 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 55.3% expected score (194,087 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 54.4% expected score (93,926 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 50.6% expected score (533 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 55.5% expected score (307 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 56.2% expected score (199,317 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 55.9% expected score (383,562 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 55.6% expected score (186,255 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 51.5% expected score (2,684 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 49.1% expected score (980 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 55.3% expected score (292,178 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 54.9% expected score (591,231 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 55.1% expected score (261,011 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 54.8% expected score (8,060 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 53.1% expected score (1,706 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 54.6% expected score (370,981 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 53.9% expected score (707,812 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 53.9% expected score (302,346 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 53.6% expected score (14,897 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 52.6% expected score (1,496 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 54.6% expected score (421,189 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 53.4% expected score (747,000 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 53.5% expected score (253,373 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 52.2% expected score (12,432 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 54.3% expected score (1,469 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 54.4% expected score (395,019 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 53.3% expected score (626,213 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 53.1% expected score (178,219 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 51.4% expected score (8,998 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 56.4% expected score (452 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 54.1% expected score (298,865 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 53.6% expected score (422,875 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 53.1% expected score (93,657 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 53.4% expected score (2,567 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 56.6% expected score (150 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 54.1% expected score (213,863 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 54.7% expected score (221,981 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 55.1% expected score (32,050 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 58.9% expected score (784 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 86.8% expected score (8 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 54.9% expected score (78,937 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 56.3% expected score (35,559 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 59.0% expected score (1,424 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 54.0% expected score (36 games)

1 variations · ranked by floor

Floor — the worst score you would still get, 90% confident.

1
Rapport-Jobava System7.7M games
54.4%Floor 54.3%
Analyze Rapport-Jobava System PositionsSee what each move is worth at your rating, move by move

Methodology

Across every rating and clock, the Rapport-Jobava System family scores 54.4% for White — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 54.3% and 54.4% — from 7.7M Lichess games across 1 variations. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.

How the figures are made
Whose games these are
7.7M+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
Which games we count
  • Rated games only — nothing casual.
  • Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
  • At least 2 moves played.
  • A game is filed under White’s rating.
Why every number comes with a range
A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
How much we need before we say anything
An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Rapport-Jobava System win rate?

Across the Rapport-Jobava System's 1 variations, White wins 52.4%, draws 3.9% and loses 43.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 54.4%. It rests on 7.7M rated games from Lichess.

How many Rapport-Jobava System variations are there?

1 Rapport-Jobava System variations have a page of their own, each broken down by rating and by clock.

At what rating does the Rapport-Jobava System perform best?

The Rapport-Jobava System family performs best for White at 1000-1199, with an Expected Score of 55.9% (772K games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read. Performance may vary by specific variation.

Is the Rapport-Jobava System better in blitz or rapid?

For White, the Rapport-Jobava System scores about the same in both: an Expected Score of 54.2% in Blitz (3.9M games) against 54.2% in Rapid (1.4M games).

How sharp is the Rapport-Jobava System?

Rapport-Jobava System games are 96.1% decisive (non-draws), with an average length of 33 moves. Sharpness varies by specific variation.

Is the Rapport-Jobava System a good opening family?

The Rapport-Jobava System family is good for White overall. Across its games, White wins 52.4% and loses 43.7%. Results differ between its 1 variations, so open the one you play for its own figures.