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Queen's Pawn, Mengarini Attack

1 variations · 3.2K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

8
7
6
5
4
3
2
a1
b
c
d
e
f
g
h
3.Qc2
Analyze this line move by move

White expected score · Overall

46.3%

40%55%
Floor44.8%

the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. At best 47.7%.

Measured over 3.2K games at this level and clock.

Tough Sellloses more often than it wins at this level

White comes out behind here — there are better weapons in the ranked list.

Outcomes for White

Draw 3.6 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 3.2K games

Rank among the families White can choose here
#54 of 56
Games in this context
3.2K
Best context
not measured yet
Variations measured
1
Average game length
34 moves

Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.

What to play from here

White · Overall
#1Queen's Pawn, Mengarini AttackBest here
1.d4 Nf6 2.c4 g6 3.Qc2
Floor 44.8% · 3.2K games
46.3%

These are the moves players actually choose from here, ranked by how they score. A higher score is a better bet on the numbers alone — familiarity and playstyle still matter.

Where it holds · White score by rating × clock

Green is clearly ahead for White, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It gets better as the rating rises: 39.0% at 0-999, 47.1% at 2500+.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199——
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499——
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 38.2% expected score (28 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 39.4% expected score (69 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 39.5% expected score (27 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 41.7% expected score (65 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 48.2% expected score (107 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 36.2% expected score (42 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 47.8% expected score (89 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 47.9% expected score (235 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 45.7% expected score (102 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 41.9% expected score (84 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 53.5% expected score (313 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 44.2% expected score (119 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 16.7% expected score (3 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 58.7% expected score (10 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 43.9% expected score (104 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 50.4% expected score (294 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 49.2% expected score (182 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 47.3% expected score (17 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 43.3% expected score (171 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 48.5% expected score (287 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 43.3% expected score (170 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (14 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 42.6% expected score (146 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 43.1% expected score (259 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 40.7% expected score (79 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 73.1% expected score (5 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 40.4% expected score (56 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 48.4% expected score (89 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 41.3% expected score (10 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (5 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (1 games)

1 variations · ranked by floor

Floor — the worst score you would still get, 90% confident.

1
Queen's Pawn, Mengarini Attack3.2K games
46.3%Floor 44.8%
Analyze Queen's Pawn, Mengarini Attack PositionsSee what each move is worth at your rating, move by move

Methodology

Across every rating and clock, the Queen's Pawn, Mengarini Attack family scores 46.3% for White — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 44.8% and 47.7% — from 3.2K Lichess games across 1 variations. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.

How the figures are made
Whose games these are
3.2K+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
Which games we count
  • Rated games only — nothing casual.
  • Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
  • At least 2 moves played.
  • A game is filed under White’s rating.
Why every number comes with a range
A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
How much we need before we say anything
An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Queen's Pawn, Mengarini Attack win rate?

Across the Queen's Pawn, Mengarini Attack's 1 variations, White wins 44.5%, draws 3.6% and loses 52.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 46.3%. It rests on 3.2K rated games from Lichess.

How many Queen's Pawn, Mengarini Attack variations are there?

1 Queen's Pawn, Mengarini Attack variations have a page of their own, each broken down by rating and by clock.

At what rating does the Queen's Pawn, Mengarini Attack perform best?

The Queen's Pawn, Mengarini Attack family performs best for White at 1400-1599, with an Expected Score of 49.2% (521 games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read. Performance may vary by specific variation.

Is the Queen's Pawn, Mengarini Attack better in blitz or rapid?

For White, the Queen's Pawn, Mengarini Attack scores higher in Blitz: an Expected Score of 48.5% in Blitz (1.7K games) against 44.5% in Rapid (733 games).

How sharp is the Queen's Pawn, Mengarini Attack?

Queen's Pawn, Mengarini Attack games are 96.4% decisive (non-draws), with an average length of 34 moves. Sharpness varies by specific variation.

Is the Queen's Pawn, Mengarini Attack a good opening family?

The Queen's Pawn, Mengarini Attack family is hard work for White — it favours Black overall. Across its games, White wins 44.5% and loses 52.0%. Results differ between its 1 variations, so open the one you play for its own figures.