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Queen's Pawn Game: Zurich Gambit

35K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
White Expected Score39.0%Range (90% confident): 38.6% – 39.4%Based on 35K games
0%39.0%100%
Range (90% confident): 38.6% – 39.4%
Outcome Distribution
36.6%4.8%58.6%
Win
Draw
Loss
2.g4
Queen's Pawn Game: Zurich Gambit
Analyzen=35K
Avg Length30 moves
Sharpness95%
Draw Rate4.8%

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Zurich Gambit expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Queen's Pawn Game: Zurich Gambit has a 39.0% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 38.6% and 39.4%), based on 35K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +4.0% · Breakpoint: 0-999

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 25.1% · UltraBullet best · Classical worst

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 34% → 52%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 34.3% win rate (11,131 games)
  • 1000-1199: 35.8% win rate (5,590 games)
  • 1200-1399: 35.9% win rate (4,470 games)
  • 1400-1599: 28.3% win rate (4,969 games)
  • 1600-1799: 39.4% win rate (2,927 games)
  • 1800-1999: 42.8% win rate (1,986 games)
  • 2000-2199: 47.3% win rate (1,668 games)
  • 2200-2499: 52.5% win rate (1,627 games)
  • 2500+: 52.4% win rate (633 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (47%), worst in Classical (22%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 47.3% win rate (484 games)
  • Bullet: 41.7% win rate (9,152 games)
  • Blitz: 36.7% win rate (15,058 games)
  • Rapid: 32.1% win rate (9,643 games)
  • Classical: 22.2% win rate (664 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 44.2% expected score (7 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 36.4% expected score (1,534 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 39.0% expected score (5,265 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 37.1% expected score (4,231 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 28.0% expected score (94 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 13.7% expected score (4 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 40.1% expected score (914 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 40.2% expected score (2,602 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 35.2% expected score (1,935 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 24.7% expected score (135 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 57.5% expected score (12 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 40.2% expected score (839 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 38.8% expected score (2,102 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 35.4% expected score (1,383 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 32.7% expected score (134 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 38.1% expected score (32 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 28.1% expected score (1,253 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 34.9% expected score (2,176 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 26.3% expected score (1,251 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 20.4% expected score (257 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 42.3% expected score (174 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 42.9% expected score (743 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 41.1% expected score (1,476 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 38.9% expected score (504 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 24.6% expected score (30 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 45.3% expected score (30 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 45.3% expected score (824 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 44.9% expected score (859 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 41.0% expected score (259 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 30.7% expected score (14 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 56.5% expected score (207 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 49.7% expected score (977 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 44.0% expected score (417 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 50.8% expected score (67 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 47.3% expected score (17 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 54.3% expected score (1,470 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 52.8% expected score (127 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 53.5% expected score (13 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 56.7% expected score (598 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 19.0% expected score (34 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Queen's Pawn Game
50.0%
Variations (5)
Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System
51.6%
Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit
49.6%
Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit Accepted
45.9%
Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit, Morris Countergambit
49.9%
Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit, Morris Countergambit Accepted
49.8%
Analyze Queen's Pawn Game: Zurich Gambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Zurich Gambit win rate?

The Queen's Pawn Game: Zurich Gambit has a 36.6% (90% CI: 36.2%-37.0%) win rate for white, based on 35K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Queen's Pawn Game: Zurich Gambit perform best?

The Queen's Pawn Game: Zurich Gambit performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 52.5% win rate for white (1.6K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Queen's Pawn Game: Zurich Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

UltraBullet (47.3%) outperforms Classical (22.2%) by 25.1%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Queen's Pawn Game: Zurich Gambit?

The Queen's Pawn Game: Zurich Gambit has a sharpness score of 95.2 (very decisive), meaning 95.2% of games end decisively. Average game length is 30 moves.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Zurich Gambit win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Queen's Pawn Game: Zurich Gambit has a 34.3% (90% CI: 33.6%-35.1%) win rate for white, based on 11K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 6.9% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Zurich Gambit win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Queen's Pawn Game: Zurich Gambit has a 35.8% (90% CI: 34.7%-36.8%) win rate for white, based on 5.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 4.5% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Zurich Gambit win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Queen's Pawn Game: Zurich Gambit has a 35.9% (90% CI: 34.7%-37.1%) win rate for white, based on 4.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Zurich Gambit win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Queen's Pawn Game: Zurich Gambit has a 28.3% (90% CI: 27.3%-29.4%) win rate for white, based on 5.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Zurich Gambit win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Queen's Pawn Game: Zurich Gambit has a 39.4% (90% CI: 37.9%-40.9%) win rate for white, based on 2.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Zurich Gambit win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Queen's Pawn Game: Zurich Gambit has a 42.8% (90% CI: 41.0%-44.6%) win rate for white, based on 2.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Zurich Gambit win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Queen's Pawn Game: Zurich Gambit has a 47.3% (90% CI: 45.3%-49.3%) win rate for white, based on 1.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Zurich Gambit win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Queen's Pawn Game: Zurich Gambit has a 52.5% (90% CI: 50.5%-54.6%) win rate for white, based on 1.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Zurich Gambit win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Queen's Pawn Game: Zurich Gambit has a 52.4% (90% CI: 49.1%-55.7%) win rate for white, based on 633 Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 4.2% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Zurich Gambit win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Queen's Pawn Game: Zurich Gambit has a 47.3% (90% CI: 43.6%-51.0%) win rate for white (484 Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.2%.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Zurich Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Queen's Pawn Game: Zurich Gambit has a 41.7% (90% CI: 40.9%-42.6%) win rate for white (9.2K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.3%.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Zurich Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Queen's Pawn Game: Zurich Gambit has a 36.7% (90% CI: 36.0%-37.3%) win rate for white (15K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.2%.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Zurich Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Queen's Pawn Game: Zurich Gambit has a 32.1% (90% CI: 31.3%-32.9%) win rate for white (9.6K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.6%.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Zurich Gambit win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Queen's Pawn Game: Zurich Gambit has a 22.2% (90% CI: 19.6%-24.9%) win rate for white (664 Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.6%.

Is the Queen's Pawn Game: Zurich Gambit a good opening?

The Queen's Pawn Game: Zurich Gambit is slightly favors black with a 36.6% (90% CI: 36.2%-37.0%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.