TrueEloPlay what wins.
Analyzer

Queen's Pawn Game: Zukertort Variation

13M games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Play This
White Expected Score53.3%Range (90% confident): 53.3% – 53.3%Based on 13M games
0%53.3%100%
Range (90% confident): 53.3% – 53.3%
Outcome Distribution
51.1%4.4%44.5%
Win
Draw
Loss
5.b3
Queen's Pawn Game: Zukertort Variation
Analyzen=13M
Avg Length35 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.4%

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Zukertort Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Queen's Pawn Game: Zukertort Variation has a 53.3% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 53.3% and 53.3%), based on 13M Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Stable across ratings (~50%)

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 49.9% win rate (691,307 games)
  • 1000-1199: 51.4% win rate (1,067,819 games)
  • 1200-1399: 51.4% win rate (1,637,645 games)
  • 1400-1599: 51.1% win rate (2,267,330 games)
  • 1600-1799: 51.0% win rate (2,637,813 games)
  • 1800-1999: 50.9% win rate (2,519,432 games)
  • 2000-2199: 51.4% win rate (1,667,618 games)
  • 2200-2499: 51.6% win rate (851,811 games)
  • 2500+: 51.7% win rate (155,737 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (54%), worst in Rapid (50%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 54.2% win rate (41,175 games)
  • Bullet: 52.0% win rate (5,010,155 games)
  • Blitz: 50.6% win rate (6,524,575 games)
  • Rapid: 50.4% win rate (1,843,546 games)
  • Classical: 50.9% win rate (77,061 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 47.0% expected score (876 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 52.0% expected score (162,103 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 51.8% expected score (368,937 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 51.9% expected score (157,915 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 48.8% expected score (1,476 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 53.3% expected score (2,660 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 53.5% expected score (296,033 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 53.0% expected score (549,733 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 53.1% expected score (214,339 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 53.5% expected score (5,054 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 53.2% expected score (5,443 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 53.3% expected score (489,809 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 52.9% expected score (832,783 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 53.2% expected score (296,187 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 53.4% expected score (13,423 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 54.8% expected score (9,160 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 53.3% expected score (708,804 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 52.8% expected score (1,152,075 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 52.7% expected score (374,415 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 52.8% expected score (22,876 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 55.8% expected score (9,746 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 53.6% expected score (882,754 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 52.8% expected score (1,344,936 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 52.9% expected score (379,630 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 54.4% expected score (20,747 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 56.2% expected score (7,213 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 53.6% expected score (942,222 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 53.2% expected score (1,266,555 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 53.5% expected score (292,712 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 54.6% expected score (10,730 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 56.2% expected score (4,534 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 53.9% expected score (807,683 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 54.3% expected score (745,306 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 55.1% expected score (107,762 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 61.8% expected score (2,333 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 57.7% expected score (1,471 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 54.2% expected score (581,513 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 55.6% expected score (248,532 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 57.2% expected score (19,964 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 63.1% expected score (331 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 60.9% expected score (72 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 55.4% expected score (139,234 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 57.9% expected score (15,718 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 56.1% expected score (622 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 56.5% expected score (91 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Queen's Pawn Game
50.0%
Variations (5)
Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System
51.6%
Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit
49.6%
Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit Accepted
45.9%
Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit, Morris Countergambit
49.9%
Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit, Morris Countergambit Accepted
49.8%
Analyze Queen's Pawn Game: Zukertort Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Zukertort Variation win rate?

The Queen's Pawn Game: Zukertort Variation has a 51.1% (90% CI: 51.1%-51.1%) win rate for white, based on 13M rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Queen's Pawn Game: Zukertort Variation perform best?

The Queen's Pawn Game: Zukertort Variation performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 51.6% win rate for white (852K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Queen's Pawn Game: Zukertort Variation better in blitz or rapid?

UltraBullet (54.2%) outperforms Rapid (50.4%) by 3.8%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Queen's Pawn Game: Zukertort Variation?

The Queen's Pawn Game: Zukertort Variation has a sharpness score of 95.6 (very decisive), meaning 95.6% of games end decisively. Average game length is 35 moves.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Zukertort Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Queen's Pawn Game: Zukertort Variation has a 49.9% (90% CI: 49.8%-50.0%) win rate for white, based on 691K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Zukertort Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Queen's Pawn Game: Zukertort Variation has a 51.4% (90% CI: 51.4%-51.5%) win rate for white, based on 1.1M Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Zukertort Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Queen's Pawn Game: Zukertort Variation has a 51.4% (90% CI: 51.3%-51.4%) win rate for white, based on 1.6M Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Zukertort Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Queen's Pawn Game: Zukertort Variation has a 51.1% (90% CI: 51.0%-51.1%) win rate for white, based on 2.3M Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Zukertort Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Queen's Pawn Game: Zukertort Variation has a 51.0% (90% CI: 51.0%-51.1%) win rate for white, based on 2.6M Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.2% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Zukertort Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Queen's Pawn Game: Zukertort Variation has a 50.9% (90% CI: 50.9%-51.0%) win rate for white, based on 2.5M Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.9% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Zukertort Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Queen's Pawn Game: Zukertort Variation has a 51.4% (90% CI: 51.3%-51.5%) win rate for white, based on 1.7M Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 5.5% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Zukertort Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Queen's Pawn Game: Zukertort Variation has a 51.6% (90% CI: 51.5%-51.7%) win rate for white, based on 852K Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 6.1% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Zukertort Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Queen's Pawn Game: Zukertort Variation has a 51.7% (90% CI: 51.5%-51.9%) win rate for white, based on 156K Lichess games. Average game length is 43 moves with a 7.9% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Zukertort Variation win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Queen's Pawn Game: Zukertort Variation has a 54.2% (90% CI: 53.8%-54.6%) win rate for white (41K Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.7%.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Zukertort Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Queen's Pawn Game: Zukertort Variation has a 52.0% (90% CI: 52.0%-52.0%) win rate for white (5.0M Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.2%.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Zukertort Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Queen's Pawn Game: Zukertort Variation has a 50.6% (90% CI: 50.6%-50.7%) win rate for white (6.5M Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.0%.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Zukertort Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Queen's Pawn Game: Zukertort Variation has a 50.4% (90% CI: 50.4%-50.5%) win rate for white (1.8M Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.3%.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Zukertort Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Queen's Pawn Game: Zukertort Variation has a 50.9% (90% CI: 50.6%-51.2%) win rate for white (77K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.9%.

Is the Queen's Pawn Game: Zukertort Variation a good opening?

The Queen's Pawn Game: Zukertort Variation is statistically favors white with a 51.1% (90% CI: 51.1%-51.1%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.