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Queen's Pawn Game: London System

7.7M games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score53.3%Range (90% confident): 53.3% – 53.3%Based on 7.7M games
0%53.3%100%
Range (90% confident): 53.3% – 53.3%
Outcome Distribution
50.9%4.8%44.3%
Win
Draw
Loss
3.Bf4
Queen's Pawn Game: London System
Analyzen=7.7M
Avg Length36 moves
Sharpness95%
Draw Rate4.8%

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: London System expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Queen's Pawn Game: London System has a 53.3% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 53.3% and 53.3%), based on 7.7M Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 52% → 47%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 51.9% win rate (232,168 games)
  • 1000-1199: 52.9% win rate (514,320 games)
  • 1200-1399: 52.2% win rate (909,839 games)
  • 1400-1599: 51.3% win rate (1,315,106 games)
  • 1600-1799: 50.7% win rate (1,538,717 games)
  • 1800-1999: 50.3% win rate (1,538,822 games)
  • 2000-2199: 49.8% win rate (1,047,890 games)
  • 2200-2499: 50.2% win rate (497,351 games)
  • 2500+: 46.9% win rate (94,464 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (52%), worst in Classical (49%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 50.5% win rate (5,018 games)
  • Bullet: 51.7% win rate (2,564,622 games)
  • Blitz: 50.6% win rate (4,001,960 games)
  • Rapid: 50.2% win rate (1,072,228 games)
  • Classical: 48.6% win rate (44,849 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 44.0% expected score (139 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 54.1% expected score (69,546 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 53.5% expected score (110,788 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 53.2% expected score (51,302 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 45.2% expected score (393 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 49.3% expected score (368 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 54.6% expected score (168,107 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 54.7% expected score (247,240 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 54.0% expected score (96,987 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 53.8% expected score (1,618 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 49.8% expected score (774 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 53.9% expected score (303,469 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 53.9% expected score (443,540 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 53.7% expected score (156,938 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 52.9% expected score (5,118 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 49.4% expected score (1,462 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 53.3% expected score (422,496 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 53.2% expected score (666,192 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 52.9% expected score (213,766 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 51.2% expected score (11,190 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 53.1% expected score (969 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 53.1% expected score (490,931 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 53.0% expected score (812,585 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 52.5% expected score (221,000 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 52.1% expected score (13,232 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 55.3% expected score (902 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 53.1% expected score (458,713 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 52.9% expected score (871,077 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 52.4% expected score (198,802 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 52.0% expected score (9,328 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 51.4% expected score (314 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 53.2% expected score (362,080 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 52.9% expected score (581,322 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 52.6% expected score (101,096 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 54.8% expected score (3,078 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 59.5% expected score (88 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 53.6% expected score (232,277 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 53.8% expected score (233,921 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 55.1% expected score (30,359 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 58.0% expected score (706 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 54.0% expected score (57,003 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 57.5% expected score (35,295 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 54.5% expected score (1,978 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 54.0% expected score (186 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Queen's Pawn Game
50.0%
Variations (5)
Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System
51.6%
Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit
49.6%
Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit Accepted
45.9%
Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit, Morris Countergambit
49.9%
Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit, Morris Countergambit Accepted
49.8%
Continuations (2)
Queen's Pawn Game: London System, Pterodactyl Variation
50.4%
Queen's Pawn Game: London System, with e6
51.3%
Analyze Queen's Pawn Game: London System PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: London System win rate?

The Queen's Pawn Game: London System has a 50.9% (90% CI: 50.8%-50.9%) win rate for white, based on 7.7M rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Queen's Pawn Game: London System perform best?

The Queen's Pawn Game: London System performs best at 1000-1199 Elo with a 52.9% win rate for white (514K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Queen's Pawn Game: London System better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (51.7%) outperforms Classical (48.6%) by 3.1%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Queen's Pawn Game: London System?

The Queen's Pawn Game: London System has a sharpness score of 95.2 (very decisive), meaning 95.2% of games end decisively. Average game length is 36 moves.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: London System win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Queen's Pawn Game: London System has a 51.9% (90% CI: 51.8%-52.1%) win rate for white, based on 232K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: London System win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Queen's Pawn Game: London System has a 52.9% (90% CI: 52.8%-53.0%) win rate for white, based on 514K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: London System win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Queen's Pawn Game: London System has a 52.2% (90% CI: 52.1%-52.3%) win rate for white, based on 910K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: London System win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Queen's Pawn Game: London System has a 51.3% (90% CI: 51.2%-51.3%) win rate for white, based on 1.3M Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: London System win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Queen's Pawn Game: London System has a 50.7% (90% CI: 50.7%-50.8%) win rate for white, based on 1.5M Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.4% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: London System win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Queen's Pawn Game: London System has a 50.3% (90% CI: 50.2%-50.3%) win rate for white, based on 1.5M Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 5.3% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: London System win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Queen's Pawn Game: London System has a 49.8% (90% CI: 49.8%-49.9%) win rate for white, based on 1.0M Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 6.3% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: London System win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Queen's Pawn Game: London System has a 50.2% (90% CI: 50.1%-50.3%) win rate for white, based on 497K Lichess games. Average game length is 41 moves with a 7.1% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: London System win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Queen's Pawn Game: London System has a 46.9% (90% CI: 46.7%-47.2%) win rate for white, based on 94K Lichess games. Average game length is 45 moves with a 16.7% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: London System win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Queen's Pawn Game: London System has a 50.5% (90% CI: 49.3%-51.6%) win rate for white (5.0K Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.7%.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: London System win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Queen's Pawn Game: London System has a 51.7% (90% CI: 51.6%-51.7%) win rate for white (2.6M Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.6%.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: London System win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Queen's Pawn Game: London System has a 50.6% (90% CI: 50.6%-50.6%) win rate for white (4.0M Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.4%.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: London System win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Queen's Pawn Game: London System has a 50.2% (90% CI: 50.1%-50.2%) win rate for white (1.1M Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.6%.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: London System win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Queen's Pawn Game: London System has a 48.6% (90% CI: 48.2%-49.0%) win rate for white (45K Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.3%.

Is the Queen's Pawn Game: London System a good opening?

The Queen's Pawn Game: London System is statistically favors white with a 50.9% (90% CI: 50.8%-50.9%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1000-1199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.