21K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
At all ratings, the Queen's Indian Defense: Riumin Variation has a 52.9% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 52.3% and 53.4%), based on 21K Lichess games.
Deep-dive datasets for this opening
Stable across ratings (~48%)
Best in Classical (60%), worst in Rapid (47%)
Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | — | — | — | ||
| 1000-1199 | — | — | |||
| 1200-1399 | — | — | |||
| 1400-1599 | |||||
| 1600-1799 | |||||
| 1800-1999 | |||||
| 2000-2199 | |||||
| 2200-2499 | — | ||||
| 2500+ | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
The Queen's Indian Defense: Riumin Variation has a 49.1% (90% CI: 48.5%-49.7%) win rate for white, based on 21K rated games from Lichess.
The Queen's Indian Defense: Riumin Variation performs best at 1400-1599 Elo with a 53.5% win rate for white (467 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.
Classical (60.2%) outperforms Rapid (46.7%) by 13.5%. Choose your time control wisely.
The Queen's Indian Defense: Riumin Variation has a sharpness score of 92.5 (decisive), meaning 92.5% of games end decisively. Average game length is 40 moves.
At 1200-1399 Elo, the Queen's Indian Defense: Riumin Variation has a 51.2% (90% CI: 44.5%-57.9%) win rate for white, based on 148 Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.
At 1400-1599 Elo, the Queen's Indian Defense: Riumin Variation has a 53.5% (90% CI: 49.7%-57.2%) win rate for white, based on 467 Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.
At 1600-1799 Elo, the Queen's Indian Defense: Riumin Variation has a 50.8% (90% CI: 48.5%-53.1%) win rate for white, based on 1.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.3% draw rate.
At 1800-1999 Elo, the Queen's Indian Defense: Riumin Variation has a 48.8% (90% CI: 47.3%-50.3%) win rate for white, based on 3.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 5.5% draw rate.
At 2000-2199 Elo, the Queen's Indian Defense: Riumin Variation has a 49.4% (90% CI: 48.4%-50.5%) win rate for white, based on 6.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 7.5% draw rate.
At 2200-2499 Elo, the Queen's Indian Defense: Riumin Variation has a 48.3% (90% CI: 47.4%-49.3%) win rate for white, based on 7.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 41 moves with a 8.3% draw rate.
At 2500+ Elo, the Queen's Indian Defense: Riumin Variation has a 48.7% (90% CI: 46.8%-50.5%) win rate for white, based on 2.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 45 moves with a 11.2% draw rate.
In Bullet games, the Queen's Indian Defense: Riumin Variation has a 49.4% (90% CI: 48.3%-50.5%) win rate for white (5.4K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.3%.
In Blitz games, the Queen's Indian Defense: Riumin Variation has a 49.2% (90% CI: 48.5%-49.9%) win rate for white (13K Lichess games). Draw rate is 8.2%.
In Rapid games, the Queen's Indian Defense: Riumin Variation has a 46.7% (90% CI: 45.0%-48.5%) win rate for white (2.2K Lichess games). Draw rate is 8.9%.
In Classical games, the Queen's Indian Defense: Riumin Variation has a 60.2% (90% CI: 53.0%-67.1%) win rate for white (129 Lichess games). Draw rate is 8.8%.
The Queen's Indian Defense: Riumin Variation is statistically favors white with a 49.1% (90% CI: 48.5%-49.7%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1400-1599 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.