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Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov Variation

265K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score50.8%Range (90% confident): 50.6% – 50.9%Based on 265K games
0%50.8%100%
Range (90% confident): 50.6% – 50.9%
Outcome Distribution
48.3%5.0%46.7%
Win
Draw
Loss
6...Bb7
Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov Variation
Analyzen=265K
Avg Length37 moves
Sharpness95%
Draw Rate5.0%

What is the Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov Variation has a 50.8% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 50.6% and 50.9%), based on 265K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Stable across ratings (~51%)

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 50.5% win rate (649 games)
  • 1000-1199: 51.0% win rate (2,429 games)
  • 1200-1399: 49.6% win rate (7,803 games)
  • 1400-1599: 49.3% win rate (19,617 games)
  • 1600-1799: 48.8% win rate (39,665 games)
  • 1800-1999: 48.0% win rate (62,090 games)
  • 2000-2199: 47.5% win rate (68,763 games)
  • 2200-2499: 48.3% win rate (52,309 games)
  • 2500+: 49.1% win rate (11,211 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (49%), worst in Classical (46%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 47.5% win rate (69 games)
  • Bullet: 48.9% win rate (102,832 games)
  • Blitz: 48.0% win rate (135,823 games)
  • Rapid: 47.2% win rate (24,532 games)
  • Classical: 45.6% win rate (1,280 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 50.9% expected score (285 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 53.2% expected score (293 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 48.6% expected score (70 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 55.5% expected score (1,053 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 50.4% expected score (1,131 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 48.3% expected score (237 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 27.0% expected score (5 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 22.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 50.9% expected score (3,010 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 51.5% expected score (4,020 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 48.7% expected score (751 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 62.2% expected score (19 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 50.4% expected score (7,015 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 51.2% expected score (10,247 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 51.7% expected score (2,236 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 52.5% expected score (100 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 47.5% expected score (18 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 50.6% expected score (12,804 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 50.7% expected score (21,764 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 51.0% expected score (4,716 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 51.1% expected score (363 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 56.5% expected score (14 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 50.8% expected score (18,221 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 50.5% expected score (36,196 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 49.5% expected score (7,179 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 46.4% expected score (480 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 16.7% expected score (3 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 50.3% expected score (22,723 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 50.3% expected score (39,147 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (6,631 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 53.3% expected score (259 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 50.7% expected score (28,219 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 52.0% expected score (21,451 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 52.5% expected score (2,585 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 49.1% expected score (54 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 52.5% expected score (9,502 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 55.0% expected score (1,574 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 57.8% expected score (127 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 60.6% expected score (8 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Queen's Indian Defense
47.9%
Variations (5)
Queen's Indian Defense: Anti-Queen's Indian System
50.1%
Queen's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation
42.1%
Queen's Indian Defense: Buerger Variation
55.0%
Queen's Indian Defense: Capablanca Variation
49.7%
Queen's Indian Defense: Classical Variation
51.1%
Continuations (1)
Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov Variation, Botvinnik Attack
49.3%
Analyze Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov Variation win rate?

The Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov Variation has a 48.3% (90% CI: 48.1%-48.4%) win rate for white, based on 265K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov Variation perform best?

The Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov Variation performs best at 1000-1199 Elo with a 51.0% win rate for white (2.4K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (48.9%) outperforms UltraBullet (47.5%) by 1.4%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov Variation?

The Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov Variation has a sharpness score of 95.0 (very decisive), meaning 95.0% of games end decisively. Average game length is 37 moves.

What is the Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov Variation has a 50.5% (90% CI: 47.3%-53.7%) win rate for white, based on 649 Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov Variation has a 51.0% (90% CI: 49.4%-52.7%) win rate for white, based on 2.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov Variation has a 49.6% (90% CI: 48.7%-50.6%) win rate for white, based on 7.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov Variation has a 49.3% (90% CI: 48.7%-49.9%) win rate for white, based on 20K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov Variation has a 48.8% (90% CI: 48.4%-49.2%) win rate for white, based on 40K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov Variation has a 48.0% (90% CI: 47.7%-48.3%) win rate for white, based on 62K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.8% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov Variation has a 47.5% (90% CI: 47.2%-47.8%) win rate for white, based on 69K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 5.6% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov Variation has a 48.3% (90% CI: 48.0%-48.7%) win rate for white, based on 52K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 5.9% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov Variation has a 49.1% (90% CI: 48.3%-49.8%) win rate for white, based on 11K Lichess games. Average game length is 43 moves with a 7.7% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov Variation has a 48.9% (90% CI: 48.6%-49.2%) win rate for white (103K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.8%.

What is the Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov Variation has a 48.0% (90% CI: 47.8%-48.3%) win rate for white (136K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.6%.

What is the Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov Variation has a 47.2% (90% CI: 46.6%-47.7%) win rate for white (25K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.5%.

What is the Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov Variation has a 45.6% (90% CI: 43.3%-47.9%) win rate for white (1.3K Lichess games). Draw rate is 8.6%.

Is the Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov Variation a good opening?

The Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov Variation is statistically balanced with a 48.3% (90% CI: 48.1%-48.4%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1000-1199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.