TrueEloPlay what wins.
Analyzer

Polish Defense: Spassky Gambit Accepted

23K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
White Expected Score46.0%Range (90% confident): 45.5% – 46.5%Based on 23K games
0%46.0%100%
Range (90% confident): 45.5% – 46.5%
Outcome Distribution
44.3%3.3%52.4%
Win
Draw
Loss
3.Bxb5
Polish Defense: Spassky Gambit Accepted
Analyzen=23K
Avg Length30 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.3%

What is the Polish Defense: Spassky Gambit Accepted expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Polish Defense: Spassky Gambit Accepted has a 46.0% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 45.5% and 46.5%), based on 23K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +0.5% · Breakpoint: 0-999

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 45% → 47%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 44.5% win rate (1,563 games)
  • 1000-1199: 44.9% win rate (1,535 games)
  • 1200-1399: 41.8% win rate (2,182 games)
  • 1400-1599: 40.1% win rate (3,302 games)
  • 1600-1799: 41.4% win rate (4,245 games)
  • 1800-1999: 44.8% win rate (4,114 games)
  • 2000-2199: 48.6% win rate (3,404 games)
  • 2200-2499: 49.4% win rate (2,595 games)
  • 2500+: 46.6% win rate (555 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (49%), worst in UltraBullet (29%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 29.4% win rate (24 games)
  • Bullet: 44.5% win rate (7,964 games)
  • Blitz: 43.7% win rate (11,944 games)
  • Rapid: 46.0% win rate (3,378 games)
  • Classical: 49.1% win rate (185 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 45.2% expected score (298 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 45.4% expected score (793 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 50.8% expected score (459 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 58.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 49.3% expected score (384 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 43.1% expected score (783 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 49.2% expected score (354 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 60.4% expected score (13 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 27.0% expected score (5 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 42.7% expected score (682 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 40.8% expected score (1,037 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 46.5% expected score (426 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 53.0% expected score (32 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 23.4% expected score (6 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 40.0% expected score (1,296 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 41.3% expected score (1,439 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 43.6% expected score (512 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 53.0% expected score (49 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 42.4% expected score (5 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 41.7% expected score (1,250 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 42.0% expected score (2,342 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 47.0% expected score (614 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 41.6% expected score (34 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 46.2% expected score (1,418 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 45.9% expected score (2,093 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 49.5% expected score (566 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 48.7% expected score (35 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 49.9% expected score (1,475 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 50.5% expected score (1,632 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 53.2% expected score (285 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (10 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 51.8% expected score (911 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 52.2% expected score (1,525 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 48.4% expected score (158 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 47.6% expected score (250 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 55.5% expected score (300 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 13.7% expected score (4 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Polish Defense
50.7%
Analyze Polish Defense: Spassky Gambit Accepted PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Polish Defense: Spassky Gambit Accepted win rate?

The Polish Defense: Spassky Gambit Accepted has a 44.3% (90% CI: 43.8%-44.9%) win rate for white, based on 23K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Polish Defense: Spassky Gambit Accepted perform best?

The Polish Defense: Spassky Gambit Accepted performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 49.4% win rate for white (2.6K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Polish Defense: Spassky Gambit Accepted better in blitz or rapid?

Rapid (46.0%) outperforms Blitz (43.7%) by 2.3%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Polish Defense: Spassky Gambit Accepted?

The Polish Defense: Spassky Gambit Accepted has a sharpness score of 96.7 (very decisive), meaning 96.7% of games end decisively. Average game length is 30 moves.

What is the Polish Defense: Spassky Gambit Accepted win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Polish Defense: Spassky Gambit Accepted has a 44.5% (90% CI: 42.5%-46.6%) win rate for white, based on 1.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 5.1% draw rate.

What is the Polish Defense: Spassky Gambit Accepted win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Polish Defense: Spassky Gambit Accepted has a 44.9% (90% CI: 42.8%-47.0%) win rate for white, based on 1.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 24 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.

What is the Polish Defense: Spassky Gambit Accepted win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Polish Defense: Spassky Gambit Accepted has a 41.8% (90% CI: 40.1%-43.5%) win rate for white, based on 2.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 1.7% draw rate.

What is the Polish Defense: Spassky Gambit Accepted win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Polish Defense: Spassky Gambit Accepted has a 40.1% (90% CI: 38.7%-41.5%) win rate for white, based on 3.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.3% draw rate.

What is the Polish Defense: Spassky Gambit Accepted win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Polish Defense: Spassky Gambit Accepted has a 41.4% (90% CI: 40.1%-42.6%) win rate for white, based on 4.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.

What is the Polish Defense: Spassky Gambit Accepted win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Polish Defense: Spassky Gambit Accepted has a 44.8% (90% CI: 43.6%-46.1%) win rate for white, based on 4.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Polish Defense: Spassky Gambit Accepted win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Polish Defense: Spassky Gambit Accepted has a 48.6% (90% CI: 47.2%-50.1%) win rate for white, based on 3.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the Polish Defense: Spassky Gambit Accepted win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Polish Defense: Spassky Gambit Accepted has a 49.4% (90% CI: 47.8%-51.0%) win rate for white, based on 2.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.9% draw rate.

What is the Polish Defense: Spassky Gambit Accepted win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Polish Defense: Spassky Gambit Accepted has a 46.6% (90% CI: 43.2%-50.1%) win rate for white, based on 555 Lichess games. Average game length is 42 moves with a 9.6% draw rate.

What is the Polish Defense: Spassky Gambit Accepted win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Polish Defense: Spassky Gambit Accepted has a 44.5% (90% CI: 43.6%-45.4%) win rate for white (8.0K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.3%.

What is the Polish Defense: Spassky Gambit Accepted win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Polish Defense: Spassky Gambit Accepted has a 43.7% (90% CI: 43.0%-44.5%) win rate for white (12K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.6%.

What is the Polish Defense: Spassky Gambit Accepted win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Polish Defense: Spassky Gambit Accepted has a 46.0% (90% CI: 44.6%-47.4%) win rate for white (3.4K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.2%.

What is the Polish Defense: Spassky Gambit Accepted win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Polish Defense: Spassky Gambit Accepted has a 49.1% (90% CI: 43.1%-55.1%) win rate for white (185 Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.0%.

Is the Polish Defense: Spassky Gambit Accepted a good opening?

The Polish Defense: Spassky Gambit Accepted is slightly favors black with a 44.3% (90% CI: 43.8%-44.9%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.