TrueEloPlay what wins.
Analyzer

Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Schlechter Variation

484K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Play This
White Expected Score52.6%Range (90% confident): 52.5% – 52.7%Based on 484K games
0%52.6%100%
Range (90% confident): 52.5% – 52.7%
Outcome Distribution
50.2%4.7%45.1%
Win
Draw
Loss
5.h3
Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Schlechter Variation
Analyzen=484K
Avg Length36 moves
Sharpness95%
Draw Rate4.7%

What is the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Schlechter Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Schlechter Variation has a 52.6% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 52.5% and 52.7%), based on 484K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 47% → 53%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 46.6% win rate (5,292 games)
  • 1000-1199: 49.6% win rate (16,909 games)
  • 1200-1399: 50.4% win rate (36,067 games)
  • 1400-1599: 50.9% win rate (64,152 games)
  • 1600-1799: 49.5% win rate (89,997 games)
  • 1800-1999: 49.7% win rate (101,821 games)
  • 2000-2199: 49.9% win rate (88,265 games)
  • 2200-2499: 51.5% win rate (67,117 games)
  • 2500+: 52.8% win rate (14,753 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Similar across time controls (~51%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 51.4% win rate (87 games)
  • Bullet: 50.5% win rate (122,262 games)
  • Blitz: 50.0% win rate (264,328 games)
  • Rapid: 50.4% win rate (93,344 games)
  • Classical: 50.3% win rate (4,352 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 44.7% expected score (1,652 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 49.6% expected score (2,758 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 50.8% expected score (874 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 55.9% expected score (7 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 49.2% expected score (4,325 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 51.5% expected score (9,001 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 53.1% expected score (3,531 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 44.0% expected score (48 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 23.9% expected score (10 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 50.1% expected score (7,443 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 52.5% expected score (19,126 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 53.3% expected score (9,239 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 48.2% expected score (249 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 60.3% expected score (18 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 51.5% expected score (10,781 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 52.8% expected score (34,778 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 53.5% expected score (17,543 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 56.5% expected score (1,032 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 83.4% expected score (9 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 50.5% expected score (13,764 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 51.6% expected score (49,671 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 52.4% expected score (25,076 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 54.1% expected score (1,477 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 43.6% expected score (14 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 51.8% expected score (18,247 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 51.9% expected score (59,539 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 53.0% expected score (22,861 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 49.2% expected score (1,160 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 56.9% expected score (13 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 52.1% expected score (21,863 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 52.5% expected score (55,141 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 53.3% expected score (10,931 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 58.0% expected score (317 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 55.5% expected score (17 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 53.6% expected score (32,014 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 55.0% expected score (31,821 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 56.9% expected score (3,207 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 63.5% expected score (58 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 55.7% expected score (12,173 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 58.9% expected score (2,493 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 66.8% expected score (82 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 59.1% expected score (4 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Pirc Defense
49.1%
Variations (5)
Pirc Defense: 150 Attack
48.0%
Pirc Defense: 150 Attack, Sveshnikov-Jansa Attack
51.7%
Pirc Defense: Austrian Attack
51.7%
Pirc Defense: Austrian Attack, Dragon Formation
47.5%
Pirc Defense: Austrian Attack, Kurajica Variation
49.9%
Analyze Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Schlechter Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Schlechter Variation win rate?

The Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Schlechter Variation has a 50.2% (90% CI: 50.1%-50.3%) win rate for white, based on 484K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Schlechter Variation perform best?

The Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Schlechter Variation performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 52.8% win rate for white (15K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Schlechter Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (50.5%) outperforms UltraBullet (51.4%) by -0.9%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Schlechter Variation?

The Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Schlechter Variation has a sharpness score of 95.3 (very decisive), meaning 95.3% of games end decisively. Average game length is 36 moves.

What is the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Schlechter Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Schlechter Variation has a 46.6% (90% CI: 45.5%-47.7%) win rate for white, based on 5.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Schlechter Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Schlechter Variation has a 49.6% (90% CI: 49.0%-50.2%) win rate for white, based on 17K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Schlechter Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Schlechter Variation has a 50.4% (90% CI: 50.0%-50.9%) win rate for white, based on 36K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Schlechter Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Schlechter Variation has a 50.9% (90% CI: 50.6%-51.3%) win rate for white, based on 64K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.

What is the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Schlechter Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Schlechter Variation has a 49.5% (90% CI: 49.2%-49.8%) win rate for white, based on 90K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.3% draw rate.

What is the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Schlechter Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Schlechter Variation has a 49.7% (90% CI: 49.4%-49.9%) win rate for white, based on 102K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.9% draw rate.

What is the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Schlechter Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Schlechter Variation has a 49.9% (90% CI: 49.6%-50.2%) win rate for white, based on 88K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 5.3% draw rate.

What is the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Schlechter Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Schlechter Variation has a 51.5% (90% CI: 51.2%-51.8%) win rate for white, based on 67K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 5.8% draw rate.

What is the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Schlechter Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Schlechter Variation has a 52.8% (90% CI: 52.1%-53.5%) win rate for white, based on 15K Lichess games. Average game length is 43 moves with a 6.9% draw rate.

What is the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Schlechter Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Schlechter Variation has a 50.5% (90% CI: 50.3%-50.7%) win rate for white (122K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.5%.

What is the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Schlechter Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Schlechter Variation has a 50.0% (90% CI: 49.9%-50.2%) win rate for white (264K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.0%.

What is the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Schlechter Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Schlechter Variation has a 50.4% (90% CI: 50.1%-50.7%) win rate for white (93K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.4%.

What is the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Schlechter Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Schlechter Variation has a 50.3% (90% CI: 49.0%-51.5%) win rate for white (4.4K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.1%.

Is the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Schlechter Variation a good opening?

The Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Schlechter Variation is statistically favors white with a 50.2% (90% CI: 50.1%-50.3%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.