Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System

247K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Play This
White Expected Score52.6%Range (90% confident): 52.4% – 52.7%Based on 247K games
0%52.6%100%
Range (90% confident): 52.4% – 52.7%
Outcome Distribution
50.0%5.0%44.9%
Win
Draw
Loss
5.Be2
Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System
Analyzen=247K
Avg Length36 moves
Sharpness95%
Draw Rate5.0%

What is the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System has a 52.6% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 52.4% and 52.7%), based on 247K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 47% → 51%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 46.9% win rate (3,681 games)
  • 1000-1199: 49.6% win rate (11,095 games)
  • 1200-1399: 50.6% win rate (24,337 games)
  • 1400-1599: 49.5% win rate (39,502 games)
  • 1600-1799: 49.3% win rate (47,844 games)
  • 1800-1999: 49.3% win rate (46,109 games)
  • 2000-2199: 50.6% win rate (36,395 games)
  • 2200-2499: 52.0% win rate (30,646 games)
  • 2500+: 51.0% win rate (7,701 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Similar across time controls (~51%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 50.9% win rate (245 games)
  • Bullet: 49.8% win rate (75,635 games)
  • Blitz: 49.9% win rate (131,107 games)
  • Rapid: 50.9% win rate (38,594 games)
  • Classical: 49.8% win rate (1,729 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 16.7% expected score (3 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 45.4% expected score (1,631 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 50.1% expected score (1,561 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 51.9% expected score (482 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 59.1% expected score (4 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 47.3% expected score (17 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 48.4% expected score (4,302 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 52.3% expected score (5,214 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 56.6% expected score (1,539 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 58.2% expected score (23 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 48.2% expected score (25 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 50.7% expected score (7,728 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 52.8% expected score (12,505 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 55.1% expected score (3,996 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 51.2% expected score (83 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 31.2% expected score (33 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 49.9% expected score (10,093 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 52.1% expected score (21,367 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 52.9% expected score (7,660 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 53.8% expected score (349 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 44.1% expected score (32 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 51.3% expected score (10,878 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 51.3% expected score (26,373 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 53.0% expected score (10,086 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 54.6% expected score (475 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 60.7% expected score (36 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 51.7% expected score (11,019 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 51.6% expected score (25,847 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 53.1% expected score (8,665 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 55.2% expected score (542 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 65.9% expected score (52 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 52.3% expected score (10,674 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 53.5% expected score (20,922 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 54.8% expected score (4,541 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 55.1% expected score (206 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 56.9% expected score (35 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 54.0% expected score (13,874 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 55.8% expected score (15,167 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 61.0% expected score (1,541 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 54.9% expected score (29 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 53.7% expected score (12 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 54.9% expected score (5,436 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 57.6% expected score (2,151 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 58.8% expected score (84 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 47.5% expected score (18 games)

Related Openings

Analyze Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System win rate?

The Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System has a 50.0% (90% CI: 49.9%-50.2%) win rate for white, based on 247K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System perform best?

The Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 52.0% win rate for white (31K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System better in blitz or rapid?

Rapid (50.9%) outperforms UltraBullet (50.9%) by 0.0%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System?

The Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System has a sharpness score of 95.0 (very decisive), meaning 95.0% of games end decisively. Average game length is 36 moves.

What is the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System has a 46.9% (90% CI: 45.6%-48.3%) win rate for white, based on 3.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System has a 49.6% (90% CI: 48.8%-50.4%) win rate for white, based on 11K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System has a 50.6% (90% CI: 50.1%-51.1%) win rate for white, based on 24K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System has a 49.5% (90% CI: 49.1%-50.0%) win rate for white, based on 40K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.3% draw rate.

What is the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System has a 49.3% (90% CI: 49.0%-49.7%) win rate for white, based on 48K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.7% draw rate.

What is the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System has a 49.3% (90% CI: 49.0%-49.7%) win rate for white, based on 46K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 5.2% draw rate.

What is the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System has a 50.6% (90% CI: 50.1%-51.0%) win rate for white, based on 36K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 5.6% draw rate.

What is the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System has a 52.0% (90% CI: 51.5%-52.5%) win rate for white, based on 31K Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 6.4% draw rate.

What is the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System has a 51.0% (90% CI: 50.1%-52.0%) win rate for white, based on 7.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 44 moves with a 9.3% draw rate.

What is the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System has a 50.9% (90% CI: 45.7%-56.1%) win rate for white (245 Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.8%.

What is the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System has a 49.8% (90% CI: 49.5%-50.1%) win rate for white (76K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.7%.

What is the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System has a 49.9% (90% CI: 49.6%-50.1%) win rate for white (131K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.5%.

What is the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System has a 50.9% (90% CI: 50.5%-51.4%) win rate for white (39K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.9%.

What is the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System has a 49.8% (90% CI: 47.9%-51.8%) win rate for white (1.7K Lichess games). Draw rate is 9.3%.

Is the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System a good opening?

The Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System is statistically favors white with a 50.0% (90% CI: 49.9%-50.2%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.