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Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System, Parma Defense

49K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
Black Expected Score47.5%Range (90% confident): 47.1% – 47.9%Based on 49K games
0%47.5%100%
Range (90% confident): 47.1% – 47.9%
Outcome Distribution
44.5%5.9%49.6%
Win
Draw
Loss
6...Bg4
Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System, Parma Defense
Analyzen=49K
Avg Length37 moves
Sharpness94%
Draw Rate5.9%

What is the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System, Parma Defense expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System, Parma Defense has a 47.5% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 47.1% and 47.9%), based on 49K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 48% → 38%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 47.8% win rate (1,212 games)
  • 1000-1199: 46.7% win rate (3,565 games)
  • 1200-1399: 45.0% win rate (6,341 games)
  • 1400-1599: 45.0% win rate (9,092 games)
  • 1600-1799: 44.7% win rate (8,598 games)
  • 1800-1999: 45.0% win rate (7,201 games)
  • 2000-2199: 43.5% win rate (5,483 games)
  • 2200-2499: 43.1% win rate (5,823 games)
  • 2500+: 37.5% win rate (1,604 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (47%), worst in UltraBullet (32%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 31.7% win rate (19 games)
  • Bullet: 47.1% win rate (13,691 games)
  • Blitz: 43.9% win rate (26,667 games)
  • Rapid: 42.2% win rate (8,165 games)
  • Classical: 44.3% win rate (377 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 55.0% expected score (491 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 45.8% expected score (507 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 45.6% expected score (213 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 52.8% expected score (1,375 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 47.0% expected score (1,643 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 44.4% expected score (541 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 27.0% expected score (5 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 49.7% expected score (1,999 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 46.7% expected score (3,193 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 43.5% expected score (1,124 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (21 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 27.0% expected score (5 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 49.6% expected score (2,262 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 47.1% expected score (4,887 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 45.9% expected score (1,862 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 53.3% expected score (76 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 40.9% expected score (4 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 49.8% expected score (1,922 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 47.2% expected score (4,712 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 45.8% expected score (1,845 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 47.5% expected score (115 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 48.6% expected score (1,568 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 48.0% expected score (4,090 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 47.0% expected score (1,430 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 54.9% expected score (112 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 35.7% expected score (2 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 46.3% expected score (1,365 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 48.1% expected score (3,350 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 47.6% expected score (727 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 38.9% expected score (39 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (1,761 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 46.9% expected score (3,650 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 42.1% expected score (403 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 23.7% expected score (8 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 43.5% expected score (948 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 41.3% expected score (635 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 24.5% expected score (20 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Pirc Defense
49.1%
Variations (5)
Pirc Defense: Classical Variation
49.2%
Pirc Defense: Byrne Variation
52.8%
Pirc Defense: Roscher Gambit
47.1%
Pirc Defense: Austrian Attack
51.7%
Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Schlechter Variation
50.2%
Analyze Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System, Parma Defense PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System, Parma Defense win rate?

The Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System, Parma Defense has a 49.6% (90% CI: 49.2%-50.0%) win rate for white, based on 49K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System, Parma Defense perform best?

The Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System, Parma Defense performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 53.0% win rate for white (1.6K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System, Parma Defense better in blitz or rapid?

Rapid (51.2%) outperforms Classical (46.4%) by 4.8%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System, Parma Defense?

The Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System, Parma Defense has a sharpness score of 94.1 (decisive), meaning 94.1% of games end decisively. Average game length is 37 moves.

What is the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System, Parma Defense win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System, Parma Defense has a 48.8% (90% CI: 46.5%-51.2%) win rate for white, based on 1.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System, Parma Defense win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System, Parma Defense has a 49.1% (90% CI: 47.8%-50.5%) win rate for white, based on 3.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 4.2% draw rate.

What is the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System, Parma Defense win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System, Parma Defense has a 50.8% (90% CI: 49.8%-51.9%) win rate for white, based on 6.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 4.1% draw rate.

What is the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System, Parma Defense win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System, Parma Defense has a 50.1% (90% CI: 49.2%-50.9%) win rate for white, based on 9.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.9% draw rate.

What is the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System, Parma Defense win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System, Parma Defense has a 49.7% (90% CI: 48.8%-50.6%) win rate for white, based on 8.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 5.6% draw rate.

What is the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System, Parma Defense win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System, Parma Defense has a 49.0% (90% CI: 48.1%-50.0%) win rate for white, based on 7.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 5.9% draw rate.

What is the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System, Parma Defense win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System, Parma Defense has a 48.6% (90% CI: 47.5%-49.7%) win rate for white, based on 5.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 7.9% draw rate.

What is the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System, Parma Defense win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System, Parma Defense has a 48.3% (90% CI: 47.2%-49.4%) win rate for white, based on 5.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 42 moves with a 8.6% draw rate.

What is the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System, Parma Defense win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System, Parma Defense has a 53.0% (90% CI: 50.9%-55.0%) win rate for white, based on 1.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 46 moves with a 9.5% draw rate.

What is the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System, Parma Defense win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System, Parma Defense has a 48.5% (90% CI: 47.8%-49.2%) win rate for white (14K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.4%.

What is the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System, Parma Defense win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System, Parma Defense has a 49.7% (90% CI: 49.2%-50.2%) win rate for white (27K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.5%.

What is the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System, Parma Defense win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System, Parma Defense has a 51.2% (90% CI: 50.3%-52.1%) win rate for white (8.2K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.6%.

What is the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System, Parma Defense win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System, Parma Defense has a 46.4% (90% CI: 42.2%-50.6%) win rate for white (377 Lichess games). Draw rate is 9.4%.

Is the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System, Parma Defense a good opening?

The Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System, Parma Defense is statistically favors white with a 49.6% (90% CI: 49.2%-50.0%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.