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Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System, Czech Defense

47K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
Black Expected Score47.0%Range (90% confident): 46.6% – 47.4%Based on 47K games
0%47.0%100%
Range (90% confident): 46.6% – 47.4%
Outcome Distribution
44.0%6.0%50.1%
Win
Draw
Loss
6...c6
Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System, Czech Defense
Analyzen=47K
Avg Length38 moves
Sharpness94%
Draw Rate6.0%

What is the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System, Czech Defense expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System, Czech Defense has a 47.0% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 46.6% and 47.4%), based on 47K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 49% → 37%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 49.4% win rate (303 games)
  • 1000-1199: 48.8% win rate (1,085 games)
  • 1200-1399: 46.8% win rate (2,632 games)
  • 1400-1599: 47.1% win rate (5,308 games)
  • 1600-1799: 46.6% win rate (7,879 games)
  • 1800-1999: 44.1% win rate (9,067 games)
  • 2000-2199: 43.8% win rate (9,043 games)
  • 2200-2499: 40.5% win rate (9,760 games)
  • 2500+: 36.8% win rate (2,411 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (49%), worst in Classical (41%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 49.2% win rate (28 games)
  • Bullet: 44.6% win rate (12,970 games)
  • Blitz: 44.1% win rate (27,099 games)
  • Rapid: 42.6% win rate (6,911 games)
  • Classical: 41.0% win rate (480 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—
1000-1199—
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 54.3% expected score (164 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 43.6% expected score (99 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (39 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 52.2% expected score (449 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 48.2% expected score (484 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 50.3% expected score (149 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 49.3% expected score (859 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 49.1% expected score (1,354 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 45.4% expected score (408 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 54.8% expected score (9 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 31.9% expected score (4 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 49.5% expected score (1,148 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 49.9% expected score (3,094 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 47.1% expected score (982 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 46.9% expected score (80 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 49.9% expected score (1,480 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 49.4% expected score (4,504 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 48.4% expected score (1,778 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 47.4% expected score (113 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 57.7% expected score (5 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 47.7% expected score (1,637 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 47.1% expected score (5,403 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 46.8% expected score (1,868 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 47.4% expected score (154 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 76.7% expected score (6 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 46.3% expected score (2,096 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 47.8% expected score (5,694 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 43.3% expected score (1,161 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 41.5% expected score (86 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 31.9% expected score (4 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 45.1% expected score (3,470 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 44.4% expected score (5,755 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 38.9% expected score (495 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 44.7% expected score (36 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 42.3% expected score (1,667 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 40.9% expected score (712 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 34.7% expected score (31 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Pirc Defense
49.1%
Variations (5)
Pirc Defense: Classical Variation
49.2%
Pirc Defense: Byrne Variation
52.8%
Pirc Defense: Roscher Gambit
47.1%
Pirc Defense: Austrian Attack
51.7%
Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Schlechter Variation
50.2%
Analyze Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System, Czech Defense PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System, Czech Defense win rate?

The Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System, Czech Defense has a 50.1% (90% CI: 49.7%-50.4%) win rate for white, based on 47K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System, Czech Defense perform best?

The Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System, Czech Defense performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 53.2% win rate for white (2.4K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System, Czech Defense better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (50.9%) outperforms Classical (48.7%) by 2.2%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System, Czech Defense?

The Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System, Czech Defense has a sharpness score of 94.0 (decisive), meaning 94.0% of games end decisively. Average game length is 38 moves.

What is the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System, Czech Defense win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System, Czech Defense has a 49.4% (90% CI: 44.7%-54.1%) win rate for white, based on 303 Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 1.1% draw rate.

What is the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System, Czech Defense win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System, Czech Defense has a 48.5% (90% CI: 46.0%-51.0%) win rate for white, based on 1.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.

What is the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System, Czech Defense win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System, Czech Defense has a 49.7% (90% CI: 48.1%-51.3%) win rate for white, based on 2.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System, Czech Defense win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System, Czech Defense has a 48.6% (90% CI: 47.5%-49.8%) win rate for white, based on 5.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.3% draw rate.

What is the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System, Czech Defense win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System, Czech Defense has a 48.2% (90% CI: 47.2%-49.1%) win rate for white, based on 7.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 5.2% draw rate.

What is the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System, Czech Defense win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System, Czech Defense has a 49.8% (90% CI: 49.0%-50.7%) win rate for white, based on 9.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 6.0% draw rate.

What is the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System, Czech Defense win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System, Czech Defense has a 50.1% (90% CI: 49.3%-51.0%) win rate for white, based on 9.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 6.1% draw rate.

What is the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System, Czech Defense win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System, Czech Defense has a 51.9% (90% CI: 51.1%-52.7%) win rate for white, based on 9.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 41 moves with a 7.6% draw rate.

What is the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System, Czech Defense win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System, Czech Defense has a 53.2% (90% CI: 51.6%-54.9%) win rate for white, based on 2.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 45 moves with a 9.9% draw rate.

What is the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System, Czech Defense win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System, Czech Defense has a 50.9% (90% CI: 50.2%-51.6%) win rate for white (13K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.5%.

What is the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System, Czech Defense win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System, Czech Defense has a 49.5% (90% CI: 49.0%-50.0%) win rate for white (27K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.4%.

What is the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System, Czech Defense win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System, Czech Defense has a 50.5% (90% CI: 49.5%-51.5%) win rate for white (6.9K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.9%.

What is the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System, Czech Defense win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System, Czech Defense has a 48.7% (90% CI: 45.0%-52.4%) win rate for white (480 Lichess games). Draw rate is 10.3%.

Is the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System, Czech Defense a good opening?

The Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System, Czech Defense is statistically favors white with a 50.1% (90% CI: 49.7%-50.4%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.