TrueEloPlay what wins.
Analyzer

Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System, Chigorin Line

56K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
Black Expected Score49.2%Range (90% confident): 48.9% – 49.6%Based on 56K games
0%49.2%100%
Range (90% confident): 48.9% – 49.6%
Outcome Distribution
46.4%5.6%48.0%
Win
Draw
Loss
6...Nc6
Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System, Chigorin Line
Analyzen=56K
Avg Length38 moves
Sharpness94%
Draw Rate5.6%

What is the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System, Chigorin Line expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System, Chigorin Line has a 49.2% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 48.9% and 49.6%), based on 56K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 46% → 42%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 46.3% win rate (658 games)
  • 1000-1199: 48.4% win rate (1,736 games)
  • 1200-1399: 48.7% win rate (3,847 games)
  • 1400-1599: 46.9% win rate (6,227 games)
  • 1600-1799: 48.2% win rate (8,709 games)
  • 1800-1999: 48.5% win rate (10,127 games)
  • 2000-2199: 46.0% win rate (10,575 games)
  • 2200-2499: 43.5% win rate (11,286 games)
  • 2500+: 41.5% win rate (3,293 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (48%), worst in Classical (40%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 42.9% win rate (9 games)
  • Bullet: 47.7% win rate (16,708 games)
  • Blitz: 46.2% win rate (32,360 games)
  • Rapid: 44.3% win rate (7,112 games)
  • Classical: 40.1% win rate (269 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199—
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999—
2000-2199
2200-2499—
2500+

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 54.8% expected score (242 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 46.4% expected score (275 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 40.5% expected score (141 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 52.2% expected score (630 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 49.5% expected score (792 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 47.6% expected score (309 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (5 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 54.0% expected score (1,231 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 50.5% expected score (1,937 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 45.5% expected score (657 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 45.2% expected score (19 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 51.8% expected score (1,688 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 47.9% expected score (3,389 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 48.9% expected score (1,094 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 44.6% expected score (54 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 49.8% expected score (1,974 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 51.5% expected score (5,077 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (1,588 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 35.9% expected score (69 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 51.4% expected score (2,229 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 51.0% expected score (6,204 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 50.8% expected score (1,612 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 55.4% expected score (82 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 48.6% expected score (2,640 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 49.8% expected score (6,737 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 45.8% expected score (1,164 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 35.1% expected score (32 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 48.3% expected score (3,842 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 46.8% expected score (6,928 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 38.8% expected score (509 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 44.1% expected score (7 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 46.3% expected score (2,232 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 45.6% expected score (1,021 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 42.4% expected score (38 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Pirc Defense
49.1%
Variations (5)
Pirc Defense: Classical Variation
49.2%
Pirc Defense: Byrne Variation
52.8%
Pirc Defense: Roscher Gambit
47.1%
Pirc Defense: Austrian Attack
51.7%
Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Schlechter Variation
50.2%
Analyze Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System, Chigorin Line PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System, Chigorin Line win rate?

The Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System, Chigorin Line has a 48.0% (90% CI: 47.6%-48.3%) win rate for white, based on 56K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System, Chigorin Line perform best?

The Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System, Chigorin Line performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 49.7% win rate for white (11K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System, Chigorin Line better in blitz or rapid?

Rapid (48.8%) outperforms Classical (51.2%) by -2.4%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System, Chigorin Line?

The Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System, Chigorin Line has a sharpness score of 94.4 (decisive), meaning 94.4% of games end decisively. Average game length is 38 moves.

What is the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System, Chigorin Line win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System, Chigorin Line has a 50.0% (90% CI: 46.8%-53.2%) win rate for white, based on 658 Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System, Chigorin Line win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System, Chigorin Line has a 48.1% (90% CI: 46.2%-50.1%) win rate for white, based on 1.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System, Chigorin Line win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System, Chigorin Line has a 47.3% (90% CI: 46.0%-48.6%) win rate for white, based on 3.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 4.0% draw rate.

What is the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System, Chigorin Line win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System, Chigorin Line has a 48.7% (90% CI: 47.7%-49.8%) win rate for white, based on 6.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.4% draw rate.

What is the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System, Chigorin Line win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System, Chigorin Line has a 46.8% (90% CI: 45.9%-47.7%) win rate for white, based on 8.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 5.0% draw rate.

What is the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System, Chigorin Line win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System, Chigorin Line has a 46.3% (90% CI: 45.5%-47.1%) win rate for white, based on 10K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 5.2% draw rate.

What is the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System, Chigorin Line win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System, Chigorin Line has a 48.0% (90% CI: 47.2%-48.8%) win rate for white, based on 11K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 6.0% draw rate.

What is the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System, Chigorin Line win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System, Chigorin Line has a 49.7% (90% CI: 48.9%-50.5%) win rate for white, based on 11K Lichess games. Average game length is 41 moves with a 6.8% draw rate.

What is the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System, Chigorin Line win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System, Chigorin Line has a 49.4% (90% CI: 48.0%-50.8%) win rate for white, based on 3.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 45 moves with a 9.1% draw rate.

What is the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System, Chigorin Line win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System, Chigorin Line has a 48.3% (90% CI: 47.7%-49.0%) win rate for white (17K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.0%.

What is the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System, Chigorin Line win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System, Chigorin Line has a 47.6% (90% CI: 47.1%-48.1%) win rate for white (32K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.2%.

What is the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System, Chigorin Line win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System, Chigorin Line has a 48.8% (90% CI: 47.8%-49.8%) win rate for white (7.1K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.9%.

What is the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System, Chigorin Line win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System, Chigorin Line has a 51.2% (90% CI: 46.2%-56.2%) win rate for white (269 Lichess games). Draw rate is 8.7%.

Is the Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System, Chigorin Line a good opening?

The Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Quiet System, Chigorin Line is statistically balanced with a 48.0% (90% CI: 47.6%-48.3%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.