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Pirc Defense: Chinese Variation

25K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score57.5%Range (90% confident): 57.0% – 58.0%Based on 25K games
0%57.5%100%
Range (90% confident): 57.0% – 58.0%
Outcome Distribution
55.7%3.5%40.8%
Win
Draw
Loss
5.g4
Pirc Defense: Chinese Variation
Analyzen=25K
Avg Length34 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.5%

What is the Pirc Defense: Chinese Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Pirc Defense: Chinese Variation has a 57.5% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 57.0% and 58.0%), based on 25K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 32% → 58%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 31.7% win rate (19 games)
  • 1000-1199: 51.7% win rate (104 games)
  • 1200-1399: 54.0% win rate (257 games)
  • 1400-1599: 56.2% win rate (510 games)
  • 1600-1799: 57.6% win rate (1,132 games)
  • 1800-1999: 54.6% win rate (3,314 games)
  • 2000-2199: 54.8% win rate (9,548 games)
  • 2200-2499: 56.5% win rate (8,896 games)
  • 2500+: 57.7% win rate (1,613 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (65%), worst in Blitz (55%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 65.2% win rate (10 games)
  • Bullet: 56.7% win rate (11,387 games)
  • Blitz: 54.6% win rate (12,722 games)
  • Rapid: 56.9% win rate (1,220 games)
  • Classical: 58.6% win rate (54 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199——
1200-1399——
1400-1599—
1600-1799
1800-1999—
2000-2199
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 42.6% expected score (12 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 36.7% expected score (6 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 54.9% expected score (29 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 48.4% expected score (62 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 60.4% expected score (13 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 50.6% expected score (84 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 55.4% expected score (138 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 62.3% expected score (35 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 50.8% expected score (130 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 58.7% expected score (312 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 63.1% expected score (67 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 55.9% expected score (7 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 59.1% expected score (400 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 57.8% expected score (544 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 61.2% expected score (169 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 79.7% expected score (12 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 56.6% expected score (897 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 55.3% expected score (2,131 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 61.7% expected score (269 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 63.6% expected score (17 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 83.4% expected score (3 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 57.9% expected score (3,247 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 55.9% expected score (5,806 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 56.3% expected score (470 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 56.4% expected score (22 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 58.6% expected score (5,303 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 57.8% expected score (3,400 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 59.1% expected score (191 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 58.5% expected score (1,285 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 65.0% expected score (323 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 73.1% expected score (5 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Pirc Defense
49.1%
Variations (5)
Pirc Defense: 150 Attack
48.0%
Pirc Defense: 150 Attack, Sveshnikov-Jansa Attack
51.7%
Pirc Defense: Austrian Attack
51.7%
Pirc Defense: Austrian Attack, Dragon Formation
47.5%
Pirc Defense: Austrian Attack, Kurajica Variation
49.9%
Analyze Pirc Defense: Chinese Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Pirc Defense: Chinese Variation win rate?

The Pirc Defense: Chinese Variation has a 55.7% (90% CI: 55.2%-56.2%) win rate for white, based on 25K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Pirc Defense: Chinese Variation perform best?

The Pirc Defense: Chinese Variation performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 56.5% win rate for white (8.9K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Pirc Defense: Chinese Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (56.7%) outperforms Classical (58.6%) by -1.9%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Pirc Defense: Chinese Variation?

The Pirc Defense: Chinese Variation has a sharpness score of 96.5 (very decisive), meaning 96.5% of games end decisively. Average game length is 34 moves.

What is the Pirc Defense: Chinese Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Pirc Defense: Chinese Variation has a 51.7% (90% CI: 43.7%-59.6%) win rate for white, based on 104 Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 0.5% draw rate.

What is the Pirc Defense: Chinese Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Pirc Defense: Chinese Variation has a 54.0% (90% CI: 48.9%-59.0%) win rate for white, based on 257 Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 1.7% draw rate.

What is the Pirc Defense: Chinese Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Pirc Defense: Chinese Variation has a 56.2% (90% CI: 52.6%-59.8%) win rate for white, based on 510 Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 1.9% draw rate.

What is the Pirc Defense: Chinese Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Pirc Defense: Chinese Variation has a 57.6% (90% CI: 55.1%-60.0%) win rate for white, based on 1.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the Pirc Defense: Chinese Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Pirc Defense: Chinese Variation has a 54.6% (90% CI: 53.2%-56.0%) win rate for white, based on 3.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Pirc Defense: Chinese Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Pirc Defense: Chinese Variation has a 54.8% (90% CI: 53.9%-55.6%) win rate for white, based on 9.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the Pirc Defense: Chinese Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Pirc Defense: Chinese Variation has a 56.5% (90% CI: 55.7%-57.4%) win rate for white, based on 8.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the Pirc Defense: Chinese Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Pirc Defense: Chinese Variation has a 57.7% (90% CI: 55.7%-59.7%) win rate for white, based on 1.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 4.4% draw rate.

What is the Pirc Defense: Chinese Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Pirc Defense: Chinese Variation has a 56.7% (90% CI: 55.9%-57.4%) win rate for white (11K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.8%.

What is the Pirc Defense: Chinese Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Pirc Defense: Chinese Variation has a 54.6% (90% CI: 53.9%-55.4%) win rate for white (13K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.0%.

What is the Pirc Defense: Chinese Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Pirc Defense: Chinese Variation has a 56.9% (90% CI: 54.6%-59.3%) win rate for white (1.2K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.7%.

Is the Pirc Defense: Chinese Variation a good opening?

The Pirc Defense: Chinese Variation is statistically favors white with a 55.7% (90% CI: 55.2%-56.2%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.