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Pirc Defense: Austrian Attack, Dragon Formation

93K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
Black Expected Score49.9%Range (90% confident): 49.6% – 50.2%Based on 93K games
0%49.9%100%
Range (90% confident): 49.6% – 50.2%
Outcome Distribution
47.3%5.2%47.5%
Win
Draw
Loss
5...c5
Pirc Defense: Austrian Attack, Dragon Formation
Analyzen=93K
Avg Length34 moves
Sharpness95%
Draw Rate5.2%

What is the Pirc Defense: Austrian Attack, Dragon Formation expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Pirc Defense: Austrian Attack, Dragon Formation has a 49.9% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 49.6% and 50.2%), based on 93K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 56% → 38%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 55.7% win rate (109 games)
  • 1000-1199: 45.7% win rate (459 games)
  • 1200-1399: 49.8% win rate (1,147 games)
  • 1400-1599: 50.1% win rate (3,091 games)
  • 1600-1799: 50.6% win rate (7,928 games)
  • 1800-1999: 50.7% win rate (20,380 games)
  • 2000-2199: 48.0% win rate (30,388 games)
  • 2200-2499: 43.8% win rate (25,988 games)
  • 2500+: 38.1% win rate (3,917 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (66%), worst in Classical (42%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 65.5% win rate (13 games)
  • Bullet: 46.6% win rate (29,814 games)
  • Blitz: 47.6% win rate (54,572 games)
  • Rapid: 48.3% win rate (8,546 games)
  • Classical: 42.2% win rate (462 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199—
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 59.1% expected score (54 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 56.4% expected score (38 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 58.2% expected score (17 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 46.7% expected score (223 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 46.7% expected score (180 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 49.1% expected score (55 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 86.4% expected score (4 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 48.0% expected score (495 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 52.7% expected score (516 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 54.3% expected score (127 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (5 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 50.5% expected score (1,167 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 51.9% expected score (1,557 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 51.3% expected score (344 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 56.7% expected score (21 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 57.7% expected score (5 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 51.5% expected score (2,553 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 52.7% expected score (4,444 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 52.2% expected score (868 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 49.2% expected score (58 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 51.5% expected score (5,301 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 53.4% expected score (12,745 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 53.3% expected score (2,135 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 45.8% expected score (199 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 50.2% expected score (7,288 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 50.2% expected score (19,678 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 53.9% expected score (3,287 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 47.1% expected score (135 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 46.4% expected score (10,173 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 47.9% expected score (14,129 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 43.0% expected score (1,649 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 47.4% expected score (37 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 43.0% expected score (2,560 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 42.8% expected score (1,285 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 46.2% expected score (64 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 36.7% expected score (6 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Pirc Defense
49.1%
Variations (5)
Pirc Defense: Classical Variation
49.2%
Pirc Defense: Byrne Variation
52.8%
Pirc Defense: Roscher Gambit
47.1%
Pirc Defense: Austrian Attack
51.7%
Pirc Defense: Classical Variation, Schlechter Variation
50.2%
Analyze Pirc Defense: Austrian Attack, Dragon Formation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Pirc Defense: Austrian Attack, Dragon Formation win rate?

The Pirc Defense: Austrian Attack, Dragon Formation has a 47.5% (90% CI: 47.2%-47.8%) win rate for white, based on 93K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Pirc Defense: Austrian Attack, Dragon Formation perform best?

The Pirc Defense: Austrian Attack, Dragon Formation performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 52.3% win rate for white (3.9K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Pirc Defense: Austrian Attack, Dragon Formation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (49.5%) outperforms Classical (48.2%) by 1.3%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Pirc Defense: Austrian Attack, Dragon Formation?

The Pirc Defense: Austrian Attack, Dragon Formation has a sharpness score of 94.8 (decisive), meaning 94.8% of games end decisively. Average game length is 34 moves.

What is the Pirc Defense: Austrian Attack, Dragon Formation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Pirc Defense: Austrian Attack, Dragon Formation has a 39.4% (90% CI: 31.9%-47.1%) win rate for white, based on 109 Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 5.0% draw rate.

What is the Pirc Defense: Austrian Attack, Dragon Formation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Pirc Defense: Austrian Attack, Dragon Formation has a 52.0% (90% CI: 48.2%-55.8%) win rate for white, based on 459 Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.3% draw rate.

What is the Pirc Defense: Austrian Attack, Dragon Formation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Pirc Defense: Austrian Attack, Dragon Formation has a 47.8% (90% CI: 45.4%-50.3%) win rate for white, based on 1.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.3% draw rate.

What is the Pirc Defense: Austrian Attack, Dragon Formation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Pirc Defense: Austrian Attack, Dragon Formation has a 47.5% (90% CI: 46.0%-49.0%) win rate for white, based on 3.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.

What is the Pirc Defense: Austrian Attack, Dragon Formation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Pirc Defense: Austrian Attack, Dragon Formation has a 46.2% (90% CI: 45.2%-47.1%) win rate for white, based on 7.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Pirc Defense: Austrian Attack, Dragon Formation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Pirc Defense: Austrian Attack, Dragon Formation has a 45.1% (90% CI: 44.5%-45.7%) win rate for white, based on 20K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 4.2% draw rate.

What is the Pirc Defense: Austrian Attack, Dragon Formation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Pirc Defense: Austrian Attack, Dragon Formation has a 46.9% (90% CI: 46.4%-47.4%) win rate for white, based on 30K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 5.1% draw rate.

What is the Pirc Defense: Austrian Attack, Dragon Formation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Pirc Defense: Austrian Attack, Dragon Formation has a 49.8% (90% CI: 49.3%-50.3%) win rate for white, based on 26K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 6.5% draw rate.

What is the Pirc Defense: Austrian Attack, Dragon Formation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Pirc Defense: Austrian Attack, Dragon Formation has a 52.3% (90% CI: 50.9%-53.6%) win rate for white, based on 3.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 9.6% draw rate.

What is the Pirc Defense: Austrian Attack, Dragon Formation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Pirc Defense: Austrian Attack, Dragon Formation has a 49.5% (90% CI: 49.0%-50.0%) win rate for white (30K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.9%.

What is the Pirc Defense: Austrian Attack, Dragon Formation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Pirc Defense: Austrian Attack, Dragon Formation has a 46.7% (90% CI: 46.4%-47.1%) win rate for white (55K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.7%.

What is the Pirc Defense: Austrian Attack, Dragon Formation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Pirc Defense: Austrian Attack, Dragon Formation has a 45.7% (90% CI: 44.8%-46.6%) win rate for white (8.5K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.0%.

What is the Pirc Defense: Austrian Attack, Dragon Formation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Pirc Defense: Austrian Attack, Dragon Formation has a 48.2% (90% CI: 44.4%-52.0%) win rate for white (462 Lichess games). Draw rate is 9.6%.

Is the Pirc Defense: Austrian Attack, Dragon Formation a good opening?

The Pirc Defense: Austrian Attack, Dragon Formation is statistically balanced with a 47.5% (90% CI: 47.2%-47.8%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.