TrueEloPlay what wins.
Analyzer

Nimzo-Indian Defense: Three Knights Variation, Korchnoi Variation

26K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Play This
White Expected Score52.6%Range (90% confident): 52.1% – 53.1%Based on 26K games
0%52.6%100%
Range (90% confident): 52.1% – 53.1%
Outcome Distribution
50.7%3.7%45.6%
Win
Draw
Loss
5.d5
Nimzo-Indian Defense: Three Knights Variation, Korchnoi Variation
Analyzen=26K
Avg Length34 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate3.7%

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Three Knights Variation, Korchnoi Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Three Knights Variation, Korchnoi Variation has a 52.6% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 52.1% and 53.1%), based on 26K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 68% → 50%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 68.1% win rate (33 games)
  • 1000-1199: 55.0% win rate (214 games)
  • 1200-1399: 53.0% win rate (934 games)
  • 1400-1599: 53.0% win rate (2,494 games)
  • 1600-1799: 52.1% win rate (5,636 games)
  • 1800-1999: 49.6% win rate (8,238 games)
  • 2000-2199: 48.9% win rate (5,492 games)
  • 2200-2499: 51.1% win rate (2,628 games)
  • 2500+: 49.6% win rate (611 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (56%), worst in Classical (42%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 55.6% win rate (3 games)
  • Bullet: 52.5% win rate (11,210 games)
  • Blitz: 49.8% win rate (13,119 games)
  • Rapid: 46.0% win rate (1,889 games)
  • Classical: 42.1% win rate (59 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199——
1200-1399——
1400-1599—
1600-1799—
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 70.8% expected score (25 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 67.7% expected score (7 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 57.4% expected score (135 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 54.8% expected score (72 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (7 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 55.4% expected score (503 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 52.4% expected score (399 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 45.6% expected score (32 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 56.2% expected score (1,187 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 53.8% expected score (1,190 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 43.1% expected score (114 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 55.2% expected score (2,101 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 53.0% expected score (3,089 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 49.7% expected score (425 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 45.6% expected score (21 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 52.9% expected score (2,953 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 51.6% expected score (4,541 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 47.0% expected score (716 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 51.9% expected score (26 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 51.9% expected score (2,275 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 50.3% expected score (2,714 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 50.5% expected score (494 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 34.2% expected score (8 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 53.4% expected score (1,618 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 53.9% expected score (914 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 51.1% expected score (95 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 54.9% expected score (413 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 46.9% expected score (193 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 80.8% expected score (5 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Nimzo-Indian Defense
48.4%
Variations (5)
Nimzo-Indian Defense: Classical Variation
50.5%
Nimzo-Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Berlin Variation
48.9%
Nimzo-Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Berlin Variation, Macieja System
54.8%
Nimzo-Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Berlin Variation, Pirc Variation
47.2%
Nimzo-Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Berlin Variation, Steiner Variation
46.2%
Analyze Nimzo-Indian Defense: Three Knights Variation, Korchnoi Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Three Knights Variation, Korchnoi Variation win rate?

The Nimzo-Indian Defense: Three Knights Variation, Korchnoi Variation has a 50.7% (90% CI: 50.2%-51.2%) win rate for white, based on 26K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Three Knights Variation, Korchnoi Variation perform best?

The Nimzo-Indian Defense: Three Knights Variation, Korchnoi Variation performs best at 1400-1599 Elo with a 53.0% win rate for white (2.5K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Three Knights Variation, Korchnoi Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (52.5%) outperforms Classical (42.1%) by 10.4%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Three Knights Variation, Korchnoi Variation?

The Nimzo-Indian Defense: Three Knights Variation, Korchnoi Variation has a sharpness score of 96.3 (very decisive), meaning 96.3% of games end decisively. Average game length is 34 moves.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Three Knights Variation, Korchnoi Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Three Knights Variation, Korchnoi Variation has a 55.0% (90% CI: 49.4%-60.5%) win rate for white, based on 214 Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Three Knights Variation, Korchnoi Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Three Knights Variation, Korchnoi Variation has a 53.0% (90% CI: 50.3%-55.6%) win rate for white, based on 934 Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 1.5% draw rate.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Three Knights Variation, Korchnoi Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Three Knights Variation, Korchnoi Variation has a 53.0% (90% CI: 51.3%-54.6%) win rate for white, based on 2.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Three Knights Variation, Korchnoi Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Three Knights Variation, Korchnoi Variation has a 52.1% (90% CI: 51.0%-53.2%) win rate for white, based on 5.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Three Knights Variation, Korchnoi Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Three Knights Variation, Korchnoi Variation has a 49.6% (90% CI: 48.7%-50.5%) win rate for white, based on 8.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.1% draw rate.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Three Knights Variation, Korchnoi Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Three Knights Variation, Korchnoi Variation has a 48.9% (90% CI: 47.8%-50.0%) win rate for white, based on 5.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.1% draw rate.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Three Knights Variation, Korchnoi Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Three Knights Variation, Korchnoi Variation has a 51.1% (90% CI: 49.5%-52.7%) win rate for white, based on 2.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 4.7% draw rate.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Three Knights Variation, Korchnoi Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Three Knights Variation, Korchnoi Variation has a 49.6% (90% CI: 46.2%-52.9%) win rate for white, based on 611 Lichess games. Average game length is 41 moves with a 6.1% draw rate.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Three Knights Variation, Korchnoi Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Three Knights Variation, Korchnoi Variation has a 52.5% (90% CI: 51.7%-53.3%) win rate for white (11K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.7%.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Three Knights Variation, Korchnoi Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Three Knights Variation, Korchnoi Variation has a 49.8% (90% CI: 49.1%-50.5%) win rate for white (13K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.4%.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Three Knights Variation, Korchnoi Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Three Knights Variation, Korchnoi Variation has a 46.0% (90% CI: 44.2%-47.9%) win rate for white (1.9K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.9%.

Is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Three Knights Variation, Korchnoi Variation a good opening?

The Nimzo-Indian Defense: Three Knights Variation, Korchnoi Variation is statistically favors white with a 50.7% (90% CI: 50.2%-51.2%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1400-1599 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.