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Nimzo-Indian Defense: Three Knights Variation, Duchamp Variation, Modern Line

611 games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score55.8%Range (90% confident): 52.5% – 59.1%Based on 611 games
0%55.8%100%
Range (90% confident): 52.5% – 59.1%
Outcome Distribution
51.8%7.9%40.2%
Win
Draw
Loss
No position data
Nimzo-Indian Defense: Three Knights Variation, Duchamp Variation, Modern Line
n=611
Avg Length42 moves
Sharpness92%
Draw Rate7.9%

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Three Knights Variation, Duchamp Variation, Modern Line expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Three Knights Variation, Duchamp Variation, Modern Line has a 55.8% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 52.5% and 59.1%), based on 611 Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 56% → 52%

1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 1200-1399: 55.6% win rate (3 games)
  • 1400-1599: 46.7% win rate (6 games)
  • 1600-1799: 25.7% win rate (16 games)
  • 1800-1999: 38.6% win rate (49 games)
  • 2000-2199: 51.3% win rate (97 games)
  • 2200-2499: 55.8% win rate (252 games)
  • 2500+: 52.0% win rate (188 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Blitz (54%), worst in Classical (41%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 49.0% win rate (214 games)
  • Blitz: 54.4% win rate (336 games)
  • Rapid: 47.7% win rate (54 games)
  • Classical: 41.2% win rate (7 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—————
1000-1199—————
1200-1399——
1400-1599——
1600-1799——
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 36.2% expected score (13 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 47.3% expected score (17 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 58.1% expected score (17 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 32.6% expected score (10 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 42.4% expected score (5 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 56.1% expected score (23 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 55.1% expected score (57 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (16 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 47.4% expected score (56 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 60.5% expected score (175 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 68.6% expected score (20 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 57.4% expected score (114 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 56.4% expected score (69 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 73.1% expected score (5 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Nimzo-Indian Defense
48.4%
Variations (5)
Nimzo-Indian Defense: Classical Variation
50.5%
Nimzo-Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Berlin Variation
48.9%
Nimzo-Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Berlin Variation, Macieja System
54.8%
Nimzo-Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Berlin Variation, Pirc Variation
47.2%
Nimzo-Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Berlin Variation, Steiner Variation
46.2%

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Three Knights Variation, Duchamp Variation, Modern Line win rate?

The Nimzo-Indian Defense: Three Knights Variation, Duchamp Variation, Modern Line has a 51.8% (90% CI: 48.5%-55.2%) win rate for white, based on 611 rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Three Knights Variation, Duchamp Variation, Modern Line perform best?

The Nimzo-Indian Defense: Three Knights Variation, Duchamp Variation, Modern Line performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 55.8% win rate for white (252 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Three Knights Variation, Duchamp Variation, Modern Line better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (54.4%) outperforms Rapid (47.7%) by 6.7%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Three Knights Variation, Duchamp Variation, Modern Line?

The Nimzo-Indian Defense: Three Knights Variation, Duchamp Variation, Modern Line has a sharpness score of 92.1 (decisive), meaning 92.1% of games end decisively. Average game length is 42 moves.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Three Knights Variation, Duchamp Variation, Modern Line win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Three Knights Variation, Duchamp Variation, Modern Line has a 55.8% (90% CI: 50.7%-60.9%) win rate for white, based on 252 Lichess games. Average game length is 41 moves with a 4.5% draw rate.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Three Knights Variation, Duchamp Variation, Modern Line win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Three Knights Variation, Duchamp Variation, Modern Line has a 52.0% (90% CI: 46.0%-57.9%) win rate for white, based on 188 Lichess games. Average game length is 41 moves with a 11.3% draw rate.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Three Knights Variation, Duchamp Variation, Modern Line win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Three Knights Variation, Duchamp Variation, Modern Line has a 49.0% (90% CI: 43.4%-54.6%) win rate for white (214 Lichess games). Draw rate is 8.6%.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Three Knights Variation, Duchamp Variation, Modern Line win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Three Knights Variation, Duchamp Variation, Modern Line has a 54.4% (90% CI: 49.9%-58.8%) win rate for white (336 Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.7%.

Is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Three Knights Variation, Duchamp Variation, Modern Line a good opening?

The Nimzo-Indian Defense: Three Knights Variation, Duchamp Variation, Modern Line is statistically favors white with a 51.8% (90% CI: 48.5%-55.2%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.