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Nimzo-Indian Defense: St. Petersburg Variation, with Ne4

10K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score51.7%Range (90% confident): 50.8% – 52.5%Based on 10K games
0%51.7%100%
Range (90% confident): 50.8% – 52.5%
Outcome Distribution
49.4%4.5%46.1%
Win
Draw
Loss
6...Ne4
Nimzo-Indian Defense: St. Petersburg Variation, with Ne4
Analyzen=10K
Avg Length35 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.5%

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: St. Petersburg Variation, with Ne4 expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: St. Petersburg Variation, with Ne4 has a 51.7% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 50.8% and 52.5%), based on 10K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 58% → 52%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 58.1% win rate (20 games)
  • 1000-1199: 51.8% win rate (67 games)
  • 1200-1399: 47.0% win rate (293 games)
  • 1400-1599: 51.2% win rate (878 games)
  • 1600-1799: 49.0% win rate (1,783 games)
  • 1800-1999: 48.9% win rate (2,582 games)
  • 2000-2199: 47.5% win rate (2,292 games)
  • 2200-2499: 51.5% win rate (1,667 games)
  • 2500+: 52.0% win rate (430 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (71%), worst in Classical (44%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 71.4% win rate (2 games)
  • Bullet: 50.7% win rate (4,376 games)
  • Blitz: 48.8% win rate (4,835 games)
  • Rapid: 45.8% win rate (761 games)
  • Classical: 44.3% win rate (38 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199——
1200-1399—
1400-1599
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 67.3% expected score (13 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 27.0% expected score (5 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 58.8% expected score (27 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (31 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 45.3% expected score (9 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 50.3% expected score (151 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 48.4% expected score (121 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 22.1% expected score (20 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 56.1% expected score (417 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 48.5% expected score (397 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 53.3% expected score (60 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 83.4% expected score (3 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 50.3% expected score (744 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 51.4% expected score (883 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 51.0% expected score (150 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 23.4% expected score (6 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 50.8% expected score (1,000 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 51.2% expected score (1,310 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 49.3% expected score (255 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 44.6% expected score (17 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 50.2% expected score (1,005 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 50.2% expected score (1,101 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 48.9% expected score (175 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 58.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 56.1% expected score (772 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 54.1% expected score (811 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 46.5% expected score (83 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 53.2% expected score (247 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 61.6% expected score (176 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 44.2% expected score (7 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Nimzo-Indian Defense
48.4%
Variations (5)
Nimzo-Indian Defense: Classical Variation
50.5%
Nimzo-Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Berlin Variation
48.9%
Nimzo-Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Berlin Variation, Macieja System
54.8%
Nimzo-Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Berlin Variation, Pirc Variation
47.2%
Nimzo-Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Berlin Variation, Steiner Variation
46.2%
Analyze Nimzo-Indian Defense: St. Petersburg Variation, with Ne4 PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: St. Petersburg Variation, with Ne4 win rate?

The Nimzo-Indian Defense: St. Petersburg Variation, with Ne4 has a 49.4% (90% CI: 48.6%-50.2%) win rate for white, based on 10K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Nimzo-Indian Defense: St. Petersburg Variation, with Ne4 perform best?

The Nimzo-Indian Defense: St. Petersburg Variation, with Ne4 performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 51.5% win rate for white (1.7K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: St. Petersburg Variation, with Ne4 better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (50.7%) outperforms Rapid (45.8%) by 4.9%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: St. Petersburg Variation, with Ne4?

The Nimzo-Indian Defense: St. Petersburg Variation, with Ne4 has a sharpness score of 95.5 (very decisive), meaning 95.5% of games end decisively. Average game length is 35 moves.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: St. Petersburg Variation, with Ne4 win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: St. Petersburg Variation, with Ne4 has a 47.0% (90% CI: 42.3%-51.8%) win rate for white, based on 293 Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 1.2% draw rate.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: St. Petersburg Variation, with Ne4 win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: St. Petersburg Variation, with Ne4 has a 51.2% (90% CI: 48.4%-54.0%) win rate for white, based on 878 Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: St. Petersburg Variation, with Ne4 win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: St. Petersburg Variation, with Ne4 has a 49.0% (90% CI: 47.1%-51.0%) win rate for white, based on 1.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: St. Petersburg Variation, with Ne4 win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: St. Petersburg Variation, with Ne4 has a 48.9% (90% CI: 47.3%-50.6%) win rate for white, based on 2.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: St. Petersburg Variation, with Ne4 win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: St. Petersburg Variation, with Ne4 has a 47.5% (90% CI: 45.8%-49.3%) win rate for white, based on 2.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 5.2% draw rate.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: St. Petersburg Variation, with Ne4 win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: St. Petersburg Variation, with Ne4 has a 51.5% (90% CI: 49.4%-53.5%) win rate for white, based on 1.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 6.3% draw rate.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: St. Petersburg Variation, with Ne4 win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: St. Petersburg Variation, with Ne4 has a 52.0% (90% CI: 48.1%-56.0%) win rate for white, based on 430 Lichess games. Average game length is 41 moves with a 8.9% draw rate.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: St. Petersburg Variation, with Ne4 win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: St. Petersburg Variation, with Ne4 has a 50.7% (90% CI: 49.5%-51.9%) win rate for white (4.4K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.1%.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: St. Petersburg Variation, with Ne4 win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: St. Petersburg Variation, with Ne4 has a 48.8% (90% CI: 47.6%-49.9%) win rate for white (4.8K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.5%.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: St. Petersburg Variation, with Ne4 win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: St. Petersburg Variation, with Ne4 has a 45.8% (90% CI: 42.9%-48.8%) win rate for white (761 Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.8%.

Is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: St. Petersburg Variation, with Ne4 a good opening?

The Nimzo-Indian Defense: St. Petersburg Variation, with Ne4 is statistically balanced with a 49.4% (90% CI: 48.6%-50.2%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.