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Nimzo-Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Keres Variation

3.5K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score52.7%Range (90% confident): 51.3% – 54.1%Based on 3.5K games
0%52.7%100%
Range (90% confident): 51.3% – 54.1%
Outcome Distribution
47.5%10.4%42.1%
Win
Draw
Loss
8.dxc5
Nimzo-Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Keres Variation
Analyzen=3.5K
Avg Length40 moves
Sharpness90%
Draw Rate10.4%

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Keres Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Keres Variation has a 52.7% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 51.3% and 54.1%), based on 3.5K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 58% → 49%

1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 1400-1599: 57.9% win rate (8 games)
  • 1600-1799: 46.7% win rate (21 games)
  • 1800-1999: 46.9% win rate (104 games)
  • 2000-2199: 49.2% win rate (623 games)
  • 2200-2499: 46.4% win rate (1,817 games)
  • 2500+: 48.5% win rate (951 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (51%), worst in Classical (34%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 51.0% win rate (857 games)
  • Blitz: 46.3% win rate (2,378 games)
  • Rapid: 48.4% win rate (260 games)
  • Classical: 34.4% win rate (29 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—————
1000-1199—————
1200-1399—————
1400-1599——
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 76.7% expected score (6 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 61.8% expected score (7 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 46.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 60.9% expected score (17 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 51.5% expected score (66 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 44.3% expected score (16 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 34.7% expected score (5 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 57.2% expected score (75 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 52.1% expected score (484 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (54 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 71.8% expected score (10 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 51.4% expected score (340 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 50.3% expected score (1,332 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 57.2% expected score (138 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 26.5% expected score (7 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 59.0% expected score (417 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 53.4% expected score (479 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 59.7% expected score (50 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (5 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Nimzo-Indian Defense
48.4%
Variations (5)
Nimzo-Indian Defense: Classical Variation
50.5%
Nimzo-Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Berlin Variation
48.9%
Nimzo-Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Berlin Variation, Macieja System
54.8%
Nimzo-Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Berlin Variation, Pirc Variation
47.2%
Nimzo-Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Berlin Variation, Steiner Variation
46.2%
Analyze Nimzo-Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Keres Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Keres Variation win rate?

The Nimzo-Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Keres Variation has a 47.5% (90% CI: 46.1%-48.9%) win rate for white, based on 3.5K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Keres Variation perform best?

The Nimzo-Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Keres Variation performs best at 2000-2199 Elo with a 49.2% win rate for white (623 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Keres Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (51.0%) outperforms Rapid (48.4%) by 2.6%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Keres Variation?

The Nimzo-Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Keres Variation has a sharpness score of 89.6 (moderately decisive), meaning 89.6% of games end decisively. Average game length is 40 moves.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Keres Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Keres Variation has a 46.9% (90% CI: 39.0%-54.9%) win rate for white, based on 104 Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 8.1% draw rate.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Keres Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Keres Variation has a 49.2% (90% CI: 46.0%-52.5%) win rate for white, based on 623 Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 7.3% draw rate.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Keres Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Keres Variation has a 46.4% (90% CI: 44.5%-48.3%) win rate for white, based on 1.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 9.0% draw rate.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Keres Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Keres Variation has a 48.5% (90% CI: 45.8%-51.1%) win rate for white, based on 951 Lichess games. Average game length is 45 moves with a 15.4% draw rate.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Keres Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Keres Variation has a 51.0% (90% CI: 48.2%-53.8%) win rate for white (857 Lichess games). Draw rate is 9.7%.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Keres Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Keres Variation has a 46.3% (90% CI: 44.7%-48.0%) win rate for white (2.4K Lichess games). Draw rate is 10.0%.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Keres Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Keres Variation has a 48.4% (90% CI: 43.3%-53.5%) win rate for white (260 Lichess games). Draw rate is 14.0%.

Is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Keres Variation a good opening?

The Nimzo-Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Keres Variation is statistically balanced with a 47.5% (90% CI: 46.1%-48.9%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2000-2199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.