3.1K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
At all ratings, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Rubinstein System, Hübner Variation has a 46.2% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 44.7% and 47.7%), based on 3.1K Lichess games.
Declines with rating: 60% → 42%
Best in Classical (55%), worst in Rapid (40%)
Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1000-1199 | — | — | — | ||
| 1200-1399 | — | — | — | ||
| 1400-1599 | — | — | |||
| 1600-1799 | — | ||||
| 1800-1999 | — | ||||
| 2000-2199 | — | ||||
| 2200-2499 | — | ||||
| 2500+ | — | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
The Nimzo-Indian Defense: Rubinstein System, Hübner Variation has a 43.2% (90% CI: 41.7%-44.6%) win rate for white, based on 3.1K rated games from Lichess.
The Nimzo-Indian Defense: Rubinstein System, Hübner Variation performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 45.0% win rate for white (1.2K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.
Bullet (46.1%) outperforms Rapid (40.2%) by 5.9%. Choose your time control wisely.
The Nimzo-Indian Defense: Rubinstein System, Hübner Variation has a sharpness score of 94.0 (decisive), meaning 94.0% of games end decisively. Average game length is 39 moves.
At 1600-1799 Elo, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Rubinstein System, Hübner Variation has a 42.3% (90% CI: 35.8%-48.9%) win rate for white, based on 151 Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 2.3% draw rate.
At 1800-1999 Elo, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Rubinstein System, Hübner Variation has a 38.1% (90% CI: 34.5%-41.6%) win rate for white, based on 507 Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 5.8% draw rate.
At 2000-2199 Elo, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Rubinstein System, Hübner Variation has a 44.3% (90% CI: 41.7%-47.0%) win rate for white, based on 936 Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 5.1% draw rate.
At 2200-2499 Elo, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Rubinstein System, Hübner Variation has a 45.0% (90% CI: 42.6%-47.4%) win rate for white, based on 1.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 6.7% draw rate.
At 2500+ Elo, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Rubinstein System, Hübner Variation has a 41.9% (90% CI: 37.4%-46.5%) win rate for white, based on 317 Lichess games. Average game length is 44 moves with a 9.6% draw rate.
In Bullet games, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Rubinstein System, Hübner Variation has a 46.1% (90% CI: 43.3%-49.0%) win rate for white (828 Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.8%.
In Blitz games, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Rubinstein System, Hübner Variation has a 42.2% (90% CI: 40.4%-43.9%) win rate for white (2.1K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.9%.
In Rapid games, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Rubinstein System, Hübner Variation has a 40.2% (90% CI: 34.1%-46.4%) win rate for white (169 Lichess games). Draw rate is 11.4%.
The Nimzo-Indian Defense: Rubinstein System, Hübner Variation is slightly favors black with a 43.2% (90% CI: 41.7%-44.6%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.