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Nimzo-Indian Defense: Ragozin Defense

21K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score55.7%Range (90% confident): 55.2% – 56.3%Based on 21K games
0%55.7%100%
Range (90% confident): 55.2% – 56.3%
Outcome Distribution
54.2%3.1%42.8%
Win
Draw
Loss
7.O-O
Nimzo-Indian Defense: Ragozin Defense
Analyzen=21K
Avg Length33 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.1%

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Ragozin Defense expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Ragozin Defense has a 55.7% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 55.2% and 56.3%), based on 21K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 53% → 49%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 53.1% win rate (595 games)
  • 1000-1199: 53.7% win rate (1,499 games)
  • 1200-1399: 54.7% win rate (3,038 games)
  • 1400-1599: 53.7% win rate (4,118 games)
  • 1600-1799: 53.9% win rate (5,085 games)
  • 1800-1999: 54.4% win rate (4,317 games)
  • 2000-2199: 55.3% win rate (1,920 games)
  • 2200-2499: 53.4% win rate (630 games)
  • 2500+: 49.0% win rate (71 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (58%), worst in UltraBullet (20%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 20.0% win rate (1 games)
  • Bullet: 54.8% win rate (5,622 games)
  • Blitz: 53.5% win rate (11,881 games)
  • Rapid: 55.1% win rate (3,621 games)
  • Classical: 57.9% win rate (148 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—
1000-1199—
1200-1399—
1400-1599
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+———

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 55.0% expected score (148 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 54.9% expected score (297 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 53.7% expected score (149 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 57.1% expected score (423 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 54.1% expected score (734 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 53.7% expected score (339 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 56.2% expected score (840 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 55.4% expected score (1,661 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 58.3% expected score (517 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 47.7% expected score (20 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 56.4% expected score (1,022 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 54.1% expected score (2,367 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 56.6% expected score (695 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 54.4% expected score (33 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 56.4% expected score (1,230 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 54.7% expected score (2,932 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 55.9% expected score (871 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 54.7% expected score (52 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 54.5% expected score (972 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 55.9% expected score (2,596 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 59.0% expected score (721 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 80.5% expected score (28 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 52.8% expected score (629 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 58.7% expected score (998 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 61.3% expected score (283 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 80.5% expected score (10 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 59.4% expected score (314 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 50.8% expected score (269 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 67.9% expected score (46 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 48.9% expected score (44 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 53.5% expected score (27 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Nimzo-Indian Defense
48.4%
Variations (5)
Nimzo-Indian Defense: Classical Variation
50.5%
Nimzo-Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Berlin Variation
48.9%
Nimzo-Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Berlin Variation, Macieja System
54.8%
Nimzo-Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Berlin Variation, Pirc Variation
47.2%
Nimzo-Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Berlin Variation, Steiner Variation
46.2%
Analyze Nimzo-Indian Defense: Ragozin Defense PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Ragozin Defense win rate?

The Nimzo-Indian Defense: Ragozin Defense has a 54.2% (90% CI: 53.6%-54.7%) win rate for white, based on 21K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Ragozin Defense perform best?

The Nimzo-Indian Defense: Ragozin Defense performs best at 2000-2199 Elo with a 55.3% win rate for white (1.9K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Ragozin Defense better in blitz or rapid?

Rapid (55.1%) outperforms Classical (57.9%) by -2.8%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Ragozin Defense?

The Nimzo-Indian Defense: Ragozin Defense has a sharpness score of 96.9 (very decisive), meaning 96.9% of games end decisively. Average game length is 33 moves.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Ragozin Defense win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Ragozin Defense has a 53.1% (90% CI: 49.7%-56.4%) win rate for white, based on 595 Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Ragozin Defense win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Ragozin Defense has a 53.7% (90% CI: 51.6%-55.8%) win rate for white, based on 1.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.2% draw rate.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Ragozin Defense win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Ragozin Defense has a 54.7% (90% CI: 53.2%-56.2%) win rate for white, based on 3.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Ragozin Defense win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Ragozin Defense has a 53.7% (90% CI: 52.4%-55.0%) win rate for white, based on 4.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Ragozin Defense win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Ragozin Defense has a 53.9% (90% CI: 52.8%-55.1%) win rate for white, based on 5.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Ragozin Defense win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Ragozin Defense has a 54.4% (90% CI: 53.2%-55.7%) win rate for white, based on 4.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Ragozin Defense win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Ragozin Defense has a 55.3% (90% CI: 53.5%-57.2%) win rate for white, based on 1.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Ragozin Defense win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Ragozin Defense has a 53.4% (90% CI: 50.2%-56.7%) win rate for white, based on 630 Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 5.6% draw rate.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Ragozin Defense win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Ragozin Defense has a 54.8% (90% CI: 53.7%-55.9%) win rate for white (5.6K Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.8%.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Ragozin Defense win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Ragozin Defense has a 53.5% (90% CI: 52.7%-54.2%) win rate for white (12K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.3%.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Ragozin Defense win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Ragozin Defense has a 55.1% (90% CI: 53.8%-56.5%) win rate for white (3.6K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.3%.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Ragozin Defense win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Ragozin Defense has a 57.9% (90% CI: 51.2%-64.4%) win rate for white (148 Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.0%.

Is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Ragozin Defense a good opening?

The Nimzo-Indian Defense: Ragozin Defense is statistically favors white with a 54.2% (90% CI: 53.6%-54.7%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2000-2199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.