TrueEloPlay what wins.
Analyzer

Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Sämisch Deferred

46K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Play This
White Expected Score54.7%Range (90% confident): 54.3% – 55.1%Based on 46K games
0%54.7%100%
Range (90% confident): 54.3% – 55.1%
Outcome Distribution
52.7%4.0%43.3%
Win
Draw
Loss
6.a3
Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Sämisch Deferred
Analyzen=46K
Avg Length35 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.0%

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Sämisch Deferred expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Sämisch Deferred has a 54.7% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 54.3% and 55.1%), based on 46K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Stable across ratings (~52%)

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 51.9% win rate (495 games)
  • 1000-1199: 53.6% win rate (2,064 games)
  • 1200-1399: 55.9% win rate (5,492 games)
  • 1400-1599: 54.4% win rate (10,191 games)
  • 1600-1799: 52.5% win rate (12,368 games)
  • 1800-1999: 51.2% win rate (9,398 games)
  • 2000-2199: 49.6% win rate (4,113 games)
  • 2200-2499: 47.4% win rate (1,641 games)
  • 2500+: 51.8% win rate (370 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (55%), worst in UltraBullet (33%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 33.3% win rate (6 games)
  • Bullet: 54.9% win rate (16,844 games)
  • Blitz: 52.0% win rate (24,080 games)
  • Rapid: 48.4% win rate (5,021 games)
  • Classical: 48.5% win rate (181 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—
1000-1199—
1200-1399—
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 55.3% expected score (189 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 52.4% expected score (232 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (72 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 55.3% expected score (944 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 53.5% expected score (956 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 55.8% expected score (162 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 59.2% expected score (2,229 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 56.6% expected score (2,826 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 53.5% expected score (430 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 44.2% expected score (7 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 16.7% expected score (3 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 57.4% expected score (3,661 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 55.7% expected score (5,566 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 53.4% expected score (933 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 60.2% expected score (28 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 56.4% expected score (4,175 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 54.0% expected score (6,740 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 51.2% expected score (1,389 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 46.9% expected score (63 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 55.6% expected score (3,244 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 52.8% expected score (4,763 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 51.1% expected score (1,348 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 56.8% expected score (43 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 55.0% expected score (1,549 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 51.8% expected score (2,004 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 48.4% expected score (534 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 40.9% expected score (26 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 49.1% expected score (650 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 52.6% expected score (832 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 46.1% expected score (150 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 64.3% expected score (9 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 53.5% expected score (203 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 59.9% expected score (161 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 72.3% expected score (3 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (3 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Nimzo-Indian Defense
48.4%
Variations (5)
Nimzo-Indian Defense: Classical Variation
50.5%
Nimzo-Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Berlin Variation
48.9%
Nimzo-Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Berlin Variation, Macieja System
54.8%
Nimzo-Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Berlin Variation, Pirc Variation
47.2%
Nimzo-Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Berlin Variation, Steiner Variation
46.2%
Analyze Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Sämisch Deferred PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Sämisch Deferred win rate?

The Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Sämisch Deferred has a 52.7% (90% CI: 52.3%-53.0%) win rate for white, based on 46K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Sämisch Deferred perform best?

The Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Sämisch Deferred performs best at 1200-1399 Elo with a 55.9% win rate for white (5.5K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Sämisch Deferred better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (54.9%) outperforms Classical (48.5%) by 6.4%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Sämisch Deferred?

The Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Sämisch Deferred has a sharpness score of 96.0 (very decisive), meaning 96.0% of games end decisively. Average game length is 35 moves.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Sämisch Deferred win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Sämisch Deferred has a 51.9% (90% CI: 48.2%-55.5%) win rate for white, based on 495 Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Sämisch Deferred win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Sämisch Deferred has a 53.6% (90% CI: 51.8%-55.4%) win rate for white, based on 2.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 1.9% draw rate.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Sämisch Deferred win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Sämisch Deferred has a 55.9% (90% CI: 54.8%-57.0%) win rate for white, based on 5.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Sämisch Deferred win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Sämisch Deferred has a 54.4% (90% CI: 53.6%-55.2%) win rate for white, based on 10K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Sämisch Deferred win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Sämisch Deferred has a 52.5% (90% CI: 51.7%-53.2%) win rate for white, based on 12K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Sämisch Deferred win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Sämisch Deferred has a 51.2% (90% CI: 50.4%-52.1%) win rate for white, based on 9.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.5% draw rate.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Sämisch Deferred win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Sämisch Deferred has a 49.6% (90% CI: 48.3%-50.9%) win rate for white, based on 4.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 5.8% draw rate.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Sämisch Deferred win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Sämisch Deferred has a 47.4% (90% CI: 45.4%-49.4%) win rate for white, based on 1.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 6.5% draw rate.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Sämisch Deferred win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Sämisch Deferred has a 51.8% (90% CI: 47.6%-56.1%) win rate for white, based on 370 Lichess games. Average game length is 43 moves with a 9.3% draw rate.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Sämisch Deferred win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Sämisch Deferred has a 54.9% (90% CI: 54.3%-55.6%) win rate for white (17K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.7%.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Sämisch Deferred win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Sämisch Deferred has a 52.0% (90% CI: 51.5%-52.5%) win rate for white (24K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.5%.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Sämisch Deferred win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Sämisch Deferred has a 48.4% (90% CI: 47.2%-49.6%) win rate for white (5.0K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.1%.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Sämisch Deferred win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Sämisch Deferred has a 48.5% (90% CI: 42.4%-54.6%) win rate for white (181 Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.8%.

Is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Sämisch Deferred a good opening?

The Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Sämisch Deferred is statistically favors white with a 52.7% (90% CI: 52.3%-53.0%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1200-1399 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.