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Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Botvinnik System

19K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score54.8%Range (90% confident): 54.3% – 55.4%Based on 19K games
0%54.8%100%
Range (90% confident): 54.3% – 55.4%
Outcome Distribution
51.7%6.2%42.1%
Win
Draw
Loss
7.bxc3
Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Botvinnik System
Analyzen=19K
Avg Length37 moves
Sharpness94%
Draw Rate6.2%

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Botvinnik System expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Botvinnik System has a 54.8% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 54.3% and 55.4%), based on 19K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Stable across ratings (~52%)

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 51.7% win rate (102 games)
  • 1000-1199: 46.4% win rate (299 games)
  • 1200-1399: 51.3% win rate (731 games)
  • 1400-1599: 51.3% win rate (1,527 games)
  • 1600-1799: 50.8% win rate (2,329 games)
  • 1800-1999: 52.4% win rate (3,127 games)
  • 2000-2199: 51.0% win rate (2,983 games)
  • 2200-2499: 51.9% win rate (5,085 games)
  • 2500+: 52.9% win rate (3,222 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (53%), worst in Classical (37%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 42.9% win rate (2 games)
  • Bullet: 53.2% win rate (3,758 games)
  • Blitz: 51.9% win rate (13,446 games)
  • Rapid: 48.5% win rate (2,115 games)
  • Classical: 36.8% win rate (84 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199—
1200-1399—
1400-1599—
1600-1799
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 48.2% expected score (25 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 63.5% expected score (58 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 25.7% expected score (19 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 55.5% expected score (81 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 45.3% expected score (168 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 44.1% expected score (49 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 58.9% expected score (231 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 53.3% expected score (382 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 39.8% expected score (116 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 53.9% expected score (408 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 53.2% expected score (889 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 53.6% expected score (222 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 29.0% expected score (8 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 64.3% expected score (2 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 56.0% expected score (428 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 52.5% expected score (1,511 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 51.6% expected score (373 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (15 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 56.6% expected score (456 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 54.8% expected score (2,062 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 52.0% expected score (582 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 41.2% expected score (27 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 52.0% expected score (534 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 54.4% expected score (2,076 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 54.9% expected score (351 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 56.4% expected score (22 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 55.8% expected score (729 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 55.2% expected score (4,054 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 53.2% expected score (295 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 38.3% expected score (7 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 57.5% expected score (866 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 59.0% expected score (2,246 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 63.3% expected score (108 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Nimzo-Indian Defense
48.4%
Variations (5)
Nimzo-Indian Defense: Classical Variation
50.5%
Nimzo-Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Berlin Variation
48.9%
Nimzo-Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Berlin Variation, Macieja System
54.8%
Nimzo-Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Berlin Variation, Pirc Variation
47.2%
Nimzo-Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Berlin Variation, Steiner Variation
46.2%
Analyze Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Botvinnik System PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Botvinnik System win rate?

The Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Botvinnik System has a 51.7% (90% CI: 51.2%-52.3%) win rate for white, based on 19K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Botvinnik System perform best?

The Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Botvinnik System performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 52.9% win rate for white (3.2K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Botvinnik System better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (53.2%) outperforms Classical (36.8%) by 16.4%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Botvinnik System?

The Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Botvinnik System has a sharpness score of 93.8 (decisive), meaning 93.8% of games end decisively. Average game length is 37 moves.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Botvinnik System win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Botvinnik System has a 51.7% (90% CI: 43.6%-59.7%) win rate for white, based on 102 Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 1.4% draw rate.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Botvinnik System win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Botvinnik System has a 46.4% (90% CI: 41.7%-51.2%) win rate for white, based on 299 Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Botvinnik System win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Botvinnik System has a 51.3% (90% CI: 48.2%-54.3%) win rate for white, based on 731 Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Botvinnik System win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Botvinnik System has a 51.3% (90% CI: 49.2%-53.4%) win rate for white, based on 1.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 4.0% draw rate.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Botvinnik System win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Botvinnik System has a 50.8% (90% CI: 49.1%-52.5%) win rate for white, based on 2.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.3% draw rate.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Botvinnik System win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Botvinnik System has a 52.4% (90% CI: 50.9%-53.9%) win rate for white, based on 3.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.0% draw rate.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Botvinnik System win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Botvinnik System has a 51.0% (90% CI: 49.5%-52.5%) win rate for white, based on 3.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 6.0% draw rate.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Botvinnik System win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Botvinnik System has a 51.9% (90% CI: 50.7%-53.0%) win rate for white, based on 5.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 6.5% draw rate.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Botvinnik System win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Botvinnik System has a 52.9% (90% CI: 51.5%-54.4%) win rate for white, based on 3.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 43 moves with a 11.6% draw rate.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Botvinnik System win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Botvinnik System has a 53.2% (90% CI: 51.8%-54.5%) win rate for white (3.8K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.1%.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Botvinnik System win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Botvinnik System has a 51.9% (90% CI: 51.2%-52.6%) win rate for white (13K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.3%.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Botvinnik System win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Botvinnik System has a 48.5% (90% CI: 46.8%-50.3%) win rate for white (2.1K Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.3%.

Is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Botvinnik System a good opening?

The Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Botvinnik System is statistically favors white with a 51.7% (90% CI: 51.2%-52.3%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.