What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Line expected score for White?
At all ratings, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Line has a 53.3% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 53.1% and 53.5%), based on 143K Lichess games.
143K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
At all ratings, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Line has a 53.3% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 53.1% and 53.5%), based on 143K Lichess games.
Improves with rating: 48% → 55%
Best in Rapid (52%), worst in UltraBullet (47%)
Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | — | ||||
| 1000-1199 | |||||
| 1200-1399 | |||||
| 1400-1599 | |||||
| 1600-1799 | |||||
| 1800-1999 | |||||
| 2000-2199 | |||||
| 2200-2499 | |||||
| 2500+ | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
The Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Line has a 51.3% (90% CI: 51.0%-51.5%) win rate for white, based on 143K rated games from Lichess.
The Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Line performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 55.1% win rate for white (4.7K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.
Rapid (52.0%) outperforms UltraBullet (47.0%) by 5.0%. Choose your time control wisely.
The Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Line has a sharpness score of 96.0 (very decisive), meaning 96.0% of games end decisively. Average game length is 35 moves.
At 0-999 Elo, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Line has a 48.4% (90% CI: 45.3%-51.5%) win rate for white, based on 702 Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 1.1% draw rate.
At 1000-1199 Elo, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Line has a 51.3% (90% CI: 49.8%-52.9%) win rate for white, based on 2.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 1.9% draw rate.
At 1200-1399 Elo, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Line has a 51.8% (90% CI: 50.9%-52.7%) win rate for white, based on 8.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.
At 1400-1599 Elo, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Line has a 52.1% (90% CI: 51.5%-52.7%) win rate for white, based on 18K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.
At 1600-1799 Elo, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Line has a 51.4% (90% CI: 50.9%-51.9%) win rate for white, based on 28K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.
At 1800-1999 Elo, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Line has a 50.8% (90% CI: 50.3%-51.3%) win rate for white, based on 33K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.1% draw rate.
At 2000-2199 Elo, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Line has a 50.0% (90% CI: 49.5%-50.5%) win rate for white, based on 27K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.6% draw rate.
At 2200-2499 Elo, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Line has a 51.6% (90% CI: 51.0%-52.2%) win rate for white, based on 20K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 5.1% draw rate.
At 2500+ Elo, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Line has a 55.1% (90% CI: 53.9%-56.3%) win rate for white, based on 4.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 41 moves with a 6.2% draw rate.
In UltraBullet games, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Line has a 47.0% (90% CI: 43.8%-50.2%) win rate for white (657 Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.2%.
In Bullet games, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Line has a 51.0% (90% CI: 50.6%-51.3%) win rate for white (58K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.0%.
In Blitz games, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Line has a 51.4% (90% CI: 51.1%-51.7%) win rate for white (71K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.6%.
In Rapid games, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Line has a 52.0% (90% CI: 51.3%-52.7%) win rate for white (13K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.5%.
In Classical games, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Line has a 51.8% (90% CI: 48.4%-55.2%) win rate for white (582 Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.9%.
The Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Line is statistically favors white with a 51.3% (90% CI: 51.0%-51.5%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.