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Nimzo-Indian Defense: Kmoch Variation

211K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score54.0%Range (90% confident): 53.8% – 54.2%Based on 211K games
0%54.0%100%
Range (90% confident): 53.8% – 54.2%
Outcome Distribution
51.8%4.4%43.8%
Win
Draw
Loss
4.f3
Nimzo-Indian Defense: Kmoch Variation
Analyzen=211K
Avg Length35 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.4%

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Kmoch Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Kmoch Variation has a 54.0% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 53.8% and 54.2%), based on 211K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 51% → 54%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 50.9% win rate (188 games)
  • 1000-1199: 48.8% win rate (984 games)
  • 1200-1399: 51.0% win rate (2,370 games)
  • 1400-1599: 51.7% win rate (6,301 games)
  • 1600-1799: 50.8% win rate (16,817 games)
  • 1800-1999: 50.9% win rate (41,439 games)
  • 2000-2199: 51.5% win rate (61,527 games)
  • 2200-2499: 52.5% win rate (65,692 games)
  • 2500+: 53.6% win rate (15,499 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (53%), worst in Classical (47%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 52.5% win rate (28 games)
  • Bullet: 52.8% win rate (64,605 games)
  • Blitz: 51.5% win rate (127,441 games)
  • Rapid: 49.8% win rate (17,702 games)
  • Classical: 47.3% win rate (1,041 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 48.5% expected score (66 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 53.5% expected score (100 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 58.9% expected score (21 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 31.9% expected score (4 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 50.1% expected score (520 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 49.3% expected score (367 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 54.8% expected score (92 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 42.4% expected score (5 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 54.8% expected score (1,138 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (972 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 46.8% expected score (251 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 86.4% expected score (4 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 55.9% expected score (7 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 54.9% expected score (2,542 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 51.6% expected score (3,163 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 51.9% expected score (557 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 56.0% expected score (32 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 54.8% expected score (9 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 53.9% expected score (5,551 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 51.6% expected score (9,582 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 51.8% expected score (1,579 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 54.6% expected score (96 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 54.4% expected score (10,076 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 52.5% expected score (26,522 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 51.2% expected score (4,482 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 49.2% expected score (357 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 53.0% expected score (14,648 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 54.1% expected score (40,187 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 52.1% expected score (6,247 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 52.2% expected score (444 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 54.3% expected score (21,821 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 55.6% expected score (39,653 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 55.1% expected score (4,119 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 54.5% expected score (99 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 57.4% expected score (8,243 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 56.5% expected score (6,895 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 61.1% expected score (354 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 61.8% expected score (7 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Nimzo-Indian Defense
48.4%
Variations (5)
Nimzo-Indian Defense: Classical Variation
50.5%
Nimzo-Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Berlin Variation
48.9%
Nimzo-Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Berlin Variation, Macieja System
54.8%
Nimzo-Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Berlin Variation, Pirc Variation
47.2%
Nimzo-Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Berlin Variation, Steiner Variation
46.2%
Analyze Nimzo-Indian Defense: Kmoch Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Kmoch Variation win rate?

The Nimzo-Indian Defense: Kmoch Variation has a 51.8% (90% CI: 51.6%-52.0%) win rate for white, based on 211K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Kmoch Variation perform best?

The Nimzo-Indian Defense: Kmoch Variation performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 53.6% win rate for white (15K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Kmoch Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (52.8%) outperforms Classical (47.3%) by 5.5%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Kmoch Variation?

The Nimzo-Indian Defense: Kmoch Variation has a sharpness score of 95.6 (very decisive), meaning 95.6% of games end decisively. Average game length is 35 moves.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Kmoch Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Kmoch Variation has a 50.9% (90% CI: 45.0%-56.9%) win rate for white, based on 188 Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Kmoch Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Kmoch Variation has a 48.8% (90% CI: 46.1%-51.4%) win rate for white, based on 984 Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Kmoch Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Kmoch Variation has a 51.0% (90% CI: 49.3%-52.6%) win rate for white, based on 2.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.1% draw rate.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Kmoch Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Kmoch Variation has a 51.7% (90% CI: 50.7%-52.7%) win rate for white, based on 6.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Kmoch Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Kmoch Variation has a 50.8% (90% CI: 50.2%-51.4%) win rate for white, based on 17K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Kmoch Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Kmoch Variation has a 50.9% (90% CI: 50.5%-51.3%) win rate for white, based on 41K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Kmoch Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Kmoch Variation has a 51.5% (90% CI: 51.1%-51.8%) win rate for white, based on 62K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.2% draw rate.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Kmoch Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Kmoch Variation has a 52.5% (90% CI: 52.2%-52.8%) win rate for white, based on 66K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 5.2% draw rate.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Kmoch Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Kmoch Variation has a 53.6% (90% CI: 52.9%-54.2%) win rate for white, based on 15K Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 6.9% draw rate.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Kmoch Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Kmoch Variation has a 52.8% (90% CI: 52.5%-53.2%) win rate for white (65K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.0%.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Kmoch Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Kmoch Variation has a 51.5% (90% CI: 51.3%-51.8%) win rate for white (127K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.9%.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Kmoch Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Kmoch Variation has a 49.8% (90% CI: 49.2%-50.4%) win rate for white (18K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.7%.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Kmoch Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Kmoch Variation has a 47.3% (90% CI: 44.8%-49.9%) win rate for white (1.0K Lichess games). Draw rate is 9.4%.

Is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Kmoch Variation a good opening?

The Nimzo-Indian Defense: Kmoch Variation is statistically favors white with a 51.8% (90% CI: 51.6%-52.0%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.