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Mieses Opening

4 variations · 16M games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

8
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a1
b
c
d
e
f
g
h
1.d3
Analyze this line move by move

White expected score · Overall

50.5%

45%55%
Floor50.5%

the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. Its best is the same figure — the band is too tight to plot.

Measured over 16M games at this level and clock.

Playablewins about as often as it loses at this level

Roughly even — the middlegame decides more than this opening choice does.

Outcomes for White

Draw 3.7 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 16M games

Rank among the families White can choose here
#39 of 56
Games in this context
16M
Best context
59.5% at 2500+ UltraBullet
Worst context
42.0% at 1400-1599 Classical
Variations measured
4
Average game length
36 moves

Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.

What to play from here

White · Overall
#1Mieses OpeningBest here
1.d3
Floor 50.6% · 13M games
50.6%
#2Mieses Opening: Myers Spike Attack
1.d3 g6 2.g4
Floor 45.9% · 2.0K games
47.8%
#3Mieses Opening: Venezolana Variation
1.d3 c5 2.Nc3 Nc6 3.g3
Floor 45.3% · 1.3K games
47.5%

These are the moves players actually choose from here, ranked by how they score. A higher score is a better bet on the numbers alone — familiarity and playstyle still matter.

Where it holds · White score by rating × clock

Green is clearly ahead for White, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It gets better as the rating rises: 46.3% at 0-999, 55.1% at 2500+.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 46.7% expected score (6,148 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 47.9% expected score (237,436 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 47.6% expected score (381,260 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 46.1% expected score (158,139 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 43.2% expected score (2,225 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 51.2% expected score (22,448 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 50.4% expected score (452,003 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 49.3% expected score (460,815 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 47.7% expected score (140,592 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 44.3% expected score (4,538 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (56,609 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 50.4% expected score (841,675 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 49.6% expected score (681,416 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 48.4% expected score (153,402 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 44.2% expected score (7,659 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 50.4% expected score (125,044 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 50.3% expected score (1,277,518 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 49.4% expected score (842,524 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 47.4% expected score (176,705 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 42.0% expected score (13,747 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 50.8% expected score (212,745 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 50.6% expected score (1,701,779 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (918,318 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 49.1% expected score (150,405 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 47.7% expected score (8,032 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 52.0% expected score (152,693 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 50.7% expected score (1,829,932 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 50.4% expected score (745,902 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 49.7% expected score (94,990 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 50.7% expected score (3,369 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 55.0% expected score (48,988 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 51.2% expected score (1,652,974 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 51.4% expected score (376,008 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 50.6% expected score (36,430 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 54.6% expected score (722 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 55.4% expected score (22,909 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 52.4% expected score (1,261,382 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 53.5% expected score (130,419 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 53.3% expected score (5,405 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 61.3% expected score (87 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 59.5% expected score (1,387 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 54.8% expected score (317,566 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 53.4% expected score (11,040 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 51.5% expected score (427 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 56.1% expected score (90 games)

4 variations · ranked by floor

Floor — the worst score you would still get, 90% confident.

1
Mieses Opening13M games
50.6%Floor 50.6%
2
Mieses Opening: Reversed Rat2.5M games
49.9%Floor 49.8%
3
Mieses Opening: Myers Spike Attack2.0K games
47.8%Floor 45.9%
Mieses Opening: Venezolana Variation1.3K games
47.5%Floor 45.3%
Analyze Mieses Opening PositionsSee what each move is worth at your rating, move by move

Methodology

Across every rating and clock, the Mieses Opening family scores 50.5% for White — we are 90% confident it is 50.5% — from 16M Lichess games across 4 variations. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.

How the figures are made
Whose games these are
16M+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
Which games we count
  • Rated games only — nothing casual.
  • Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
  • At least 2 moves played.
  • A game is filed under White’s rating.
Why every number comes with a range
A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
How much we need before we say anything
An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Mieses Opening win rate?

Across the Mieses Opening's 4 variations, White wins 48.6%, draws 3.7% and loses 47.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 50.5%. It rests on 16M rated games from Lichess.

How many Mieses Opening variations are there?

4 Mieses Opening variations have a page of their own, each broken down by rating and by clock.

At what rating does the Mieses Opening perform best?

The Mieses Opening family performs best for White at 2500+, with an Expected Score of 54.8% (331K games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read. Performance may vary by specific variation.

Is the Mieses Opening better in blitz or rapid?

For White, the Mieses Opening scores higher in Blitz: an Expected Score of 49.8% in Blitz (4.5M games) against 48.1% in Rapid (916K games).

How sharp is the Mieses Opening?

Mieses Opening games are 96.3% decisive (non-draws), with an average length of 36 moves. Sharpness varies by specific variation.

Is the Mieses Opening a good opening family?

The Mieses Opening family is about level overall. Across its games, White wins 48.6% and loses 47.7%. Results differ between its 4 variations, so open the one you play for its own figures.