What is the Mieses Opening expected score for White?
Snapshot
Overall, the Mieses Opening family has a 50.5% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 50.5% and 50.5%), aggregated from 4 variations and 16M Lichess games.
Mieses Opening
4 variations · 16M games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
Key Finding
Mieses Opening is balanced for White at 50.5% expected score.
This opening produces roughly even results, with outcomes depending more on middlegame play than opening choice.
You play
Playable
Rating
Time
White Expected Score0.0%Range (90% confident): 50.5% – 50.5%Aggregated from 4 variations
0%50.5%100%
Range (90% confident): 50.5% – 50.5%
ContextOverall · n=16M
Outcome Distribution
48.6%3.7%47.7%
Win
Draw
Loss
1.d3
Mieses Opening
Variations4
Games (Context)16M
Avg Length36 moves
Draw Rate3.7%
What Should I Play?
Player-controlled continuations for White · Overall
Continuations show the most common variations from this opening. Higher expected scores indicate better statistical outcomes, but familiarity and playstyle matter too.
White Win% by Rating
Improves with rating: 45% → 52%
0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+
- 0-999: 45.1% win rate (785,208 games)
- 1000-1199: 47.9% win rate (1,080,396 games)
- 1200-1399: 48.3% win rate (1,740,761 games)
- 1400-1599: 48.1% win rate (2,435,538 games)
- 1600-1799: 48.7% win rate (2,991,279 games)
- 1800-1999: 48.7% win rate (2,826,886 games)
- 2000-2199: 49.3% win rate (2,115,122 games)
- 2200-2499: 50.3% win rate (1,420,202 games)
- 2500+: 51.6% win rate (330,510 games)
White Win% by Time Control
Best in UltraBullet (50%), worst in Classical (42%)
UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical
- UltraBullet: 50.3% win rate (648,971 games)
- Bullet: 49.4% win rate (9,572,265 games)
- Blitz: 47.5% win rate (4,547,702 games)
- Rapid: 45.4% win rate (916,495 games)
- Classical: 42.2% win rate (40,469 games)
Rating vs Time Control Matrix
Click cells to filter · White expected scores
White% by Rating × Time Control
Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | |||||
| 1000-1199 | |||||
| 1200-1399 | |||||
| 1400-1599 | |||||
| 1600-1799 | |||||
| 1800-1999 | |||||
| 2000-2199 | |||||
| 2200-2499 | |||||
| 2500+ |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
- 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 46.7% expected score (6,148 games)
- 0-999 rating, Bullet: 47.9% expected score (237,436 games)
- 0-999 rating, Blitz: 47.6% expected score (381,260 games)
- 0-999 rating, Rapid: 46.1% expected score (158,139 games)
- 0-999 rating, Classical: 43.2% expected score (2,225 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 51.2% expected score (22,448 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 50.4% expected score (452,003 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 49.3% expected score (460,815 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 47.7% expected score (140,592 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 44.3% expected score (4,538 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (56,609 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 50.4% expected score (841,675 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 49.6% expected score (681,416 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 48.4% expected score (153,402 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 44.2% expected score (7,659 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 50.4% expected score (125,044 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 50.3% expected score (1,277,518 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 49.4% expected score (842,524 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 47.4% expected score (176,705 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 42.0% expected score (13,747 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 50.8% expected score (212,745 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 50.6% expected score (1,701,779 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (918,318 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 49.1% expected score (150,405 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 47.7% expected score (8,032 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 52.0% expected score (152,693 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 50.7% expected score (1,829,932 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 50.4% expected score (745,902 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 49.7% expected score (94,990 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 50.7% expected score (3,369 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 55.0% expected score (48,988 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 51.2% expected score (1,652,974 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 51.4% expected score (376,008 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 50.6% expected score (36,430 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 54.6% expected score (722 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 55.4% expected score (22,909 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 52.4% expected score (1,261,382 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 53.5% expected score (130,419 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 53.3% expected score (5,405 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 61.3% expected score (87 games)
- 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 59.5% expected score (1,387 games)
- 2500+ rating, Bullet: 54.8% expected score (317,566 games)
- 2500+ rating, Blitz: 53.4% expected score (11,040 games)
- 2500+ rating, Rapid: 51.5% expected score (427 games)
- 2500+ rating, Classical: 56.1% expected score (90 games)
Matrix view reveals how performance varies across rating brackets and time controls. Green indicates favorable, red indicates challenging contexts.
Variations (4)
Analyze Mieses Opening PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Mieses Opening win rate?
The Mieses Opening family has a 48.6% (90% CI: 48.6%-48.6%) win rate for white, aggregated from 4 variations and 16M rated games from Lichess.
How many Mieses Opening variations are there?
This analysis covers 4 Mieses Opening variations with sufficient game data. Each variation has its own statistics page with detailed win rates by rating and time control.
At what rating does the Mieses Opening perform best?
The Mieses Opening family performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 51.6% win rate for white (331K games). Performance may vary by specific variation.
Is the Mieses Opening better in blitz or rapid?
UltraBullet (50.3%) outperforms Classical (42.2%) by 8.1% across all Mieses Opening variations.
How sharp is the Mieses Opening?
Mieses Opening games are 96.3% decisive (non-draws), with an average length of 36 moves. Sharpness varies by specific variation.
Is the Mieses Opening a good opening family?
The Mieses Opening family is statistically balanced overall with a 48.6% (90% CI: 48.6%-48.6%) aggregated win rate. However, win rates vary significantly between the 4 variations—explore individual lines to find the best fit for your style.